[AusRace] "Blake Shinn's results from his last 50 rides are astounding" Really?

[sean mclaren]

hey Len,

meticulously kept records, encapsulate you and your chosen vocation.

me, in Dyers words .... I strive to arrive lol

i think you are your own harshest critic.

if you didn't pull this one up then? the silence would still be deafening.

appreciate your honesty and putting your hand up.

wading through a sea of data ..... sometimes we simply make errors.

some more costly than others.

Len, thanks again, for correcting the record.

I couldn't think of you not correcting, actually.

cheers Sean












On Wed, Jul 17, 2019 at 6:09 AM L.B.Loveday <lloveday at ozemail.com.au> wrote:

> And Mea Culpa, I F'd up.
>
>
>
> All figures were 14 understated (I woke up at 2:30am in a cold sweat when
> I realised), so should be:
>
>
>
> SP (SOP) 44.6
>
> Best final price of the 10 bookmakers I monitor:  47.2
>
> At my normalised 100% prices: 50.0
>
>
>
> So, Shinn has performed at perfectly average Returns, and I am putting
> myself out to agist for a spell.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> *From:* Racing *On Behalf Of *Tony Moffat
> *Sent:* Monday, 15 July 2019 12:51 PM
> *To:* 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
> *Subject:* Re: [AusRace] "Blake Shinn's results from his last 50 rides
> are astounding" Really?
>
>
>
> ‘Innumeracy’ by JohnAllen PAULOS (Penguin) is about mathematical
> illiteracy and its consequences.
>
>
>
> *From:* Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com
> <racing-bounces at ausrace.com>] *On Behalf Of *Robbie Waterhouse
> *Sent:* Monday, July 15, 2019 8:18 AM
> *To:* 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
> *Subject:* Re: [AusRace] "Blake Shinn's results from his last 50 rides
> are astounding" Really?
>
>
>
> Well done, Len
>
>
>
> Rob W
>
>
>
> *From:* Racing <racing-bounces at ausrace.com> *On Behalf Of *L.B.Loveday
> *Sent:* Saturday, 13 July 2019 5:00 PM
> *To:* 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
> *Subject:* [AusRace] "Blake Shinn's results from his last 50 rides are
> astounding" Really?
>
>
> Inside mail: All the big bets, work whispers and bookies’ tips for
> Rosehill Gardens
>
> Champion jockey Blake Shinn’s results from his last 50 rides are
> astounding and he is set for another successful day at Rosehill Gardens.
>
> *Ray Thomas*, Racing editor, The Daily Telegraph
>
> Subscriber only
>
> |
>
> Champion jockey Blake Shinn continues to ride in peerless form and is set
> for another successful day at Rosehill Gardens.
>
> Shinn’s results from his last 50 rides makes for stunning reading.
>
> During this period, he has ridden 13 winners or a strike-rate of 26 per
> cent winners to rides. He has also ridden 14 seconds and seven third
> placings.
>
> *********************
>
> I make it 14 winners, 14 seconds and 6 thirds, but let's not quibble.
>
>
>
> The 14 winners have returned for $1 on each:
>
>
>
> SP (SOP) 30.6
>
> Best final price of the 10 bookmakers I monitor:  33.2
>
> At my normalised 100% prices: 36.0
>
>
>
> That is you* lose* a massive 39% at level stake SP and that's
> "astounding", "stunning", peerless! In line with that is 7 of the 50 were
> odds on, and only 3 won.
>
>
>
> I'm not knocking Shinn, just the writer.
>
>
>
>
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