[AusRace] "Blake Shinn's results from his last 50 rides are astounding" Really?

[L.B.Loveday]

And Mea Culpa, I F'd up.

 

All figures were 14 understated (I woke up at 2:30am in a cold sweat when I
realised), so should be:

 

SP (SOP) 44.6

Best final price of the 10 bookmakers I monitor:  47.2

At my normalised 100% prices: 50.0

 

So, Shinn has performed at perfectly average Returns, and I am putting
myself out to agist for a spell.

 

 

 

From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat
Sent: Monday, 15 July 2019 12:51 PM
To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
Subject: Re: [AusRace] "Blake Shinn's results from his last 50 rides are
astounding" Really?

 

'Innumeracy' by JohnAllen PAULOS (Penguin) is about mathematical illiteracy
and its consequences. 

 

From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of Robbie
Waterhouse
Sent: Monday, July 15, 2019 8:18 AM
To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com
<mailto:racing at ausrace.com> >
Subject: Re: [AusRace] "Blake Shinn's results from his last 50 rides are
astounding" Really?

 

Well done, Len

 

Rob W

 

From: Racing <racing-bounces at ausrace.com <mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com>
> On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday
Sent: Saturday, 13 July 2019 5:00 PM
To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com
<mailto:racing at ausrace.com> >
Subject: [AusRace] "Blake Shinn's results from his last 50 rides are
astounding" Really?

 


Inside mail: All the big bets, work whispers and bookies' tips for Rosehill
Gardens


Champion jockey Blake Shinn's results from his last 50 rides are astounding
and he is set for another successful day at Rosehill Gardens. 

Ray Thomas, Racing editor, The Daily Telegraph

Subscriber only

| 

Champion jockey Blake Shinn continues to ride in peerless form and is set
for another successful day at Rosehill Gardens.

Shinn's results from his last 50 rides makes for stunning reading.

During this period, he has ridden 13 winners or a strike-rate of 26 per cent
winners to rides. He has also ridden 14 seconds and seven third placings.

*********************

I make it 14 winners, 14 seconds and 6 thirds, but let's not quibble.

 

The 14 winners have returned for $1 on each:

 

SP (SOP) 30.6

Best final price of the 10 bookmakers I monitor:  33.2

At my normalised 100% prices: 36.0

 

That is you lose a massive 39% at level stake SP and that's "astounding",
"stunning", peerless! In line with that is 7 of the 50 were odds on, and
only 3 won.

 

I'm not knocking Shinn, just the writer.

 


 
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