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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-AU link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>And Mea Culpa, I F'd up.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>All figures were 14 understated (I woke up at 2:30am in a cold sweat when I realised), so should be:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'>SP (SOP) 44.6<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'>Best final price of the 10 bookmakers I monitor: 47.2<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'>At my normalised 100% prices: 50.0<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>So, Shinn has performed at perfectly average Returns, and I am putting myself out to agist for a spell.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><div><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0cm 0cm 0cm'><p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US>From:</span></b><span lang=EN-US> Racing <b>On Behalf Of </b>Tony Moffat<br><b>Sent:</b> Monday, 15 July 2019 12:51 PM<br><b>To:</b> 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing@ausrace.com><br><b>Subject:</b> Re: [AusRace] "Blake Shinn's results from his last 50 rides are astounding" Really?<o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='color:#1F497D'>‘Innumeracy’ by JohnAllen PAULOS (Penguin) is about mathematical illiteracy and its consequences. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><div><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0cm 0cm 0cm'><p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US>From:</span></b><span lang=EN-US> Racing [<a href="mailto:racing-bounces@ausrace.com">mailto:racing-bounces@ausrace.com</a>] <b>On Behalf Of </b>Robbie Waterhouse<br><b>Sent:</b> Monday, July 15, 2019 8:18 AM<br><b>To:</b> 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <<a href="mailto:racing@ausrace.com">racing@ausrace.com</a>><br><b>Subject:</b> Re: [AusRace] "Blake Shinn's results from his last 50 rides are astounding" Really?<o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal>Well done, Len<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Rob W<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0cm 0cm 0cm'><p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US>From:</span></b><span lang=EN-US> Racing <<a href="mailto:racing-bounces@ausrace.com">racing-bounces@ausrace.com</a>> <b>On Behalf Of </b>L.B.Loveday<br><b>Sent:</b> Saturday, 13 July 2019 5:00 PM<br><b>To:</b> 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <<a href="mailto:racing@ausrace.com">racing@ausrace.com</a>><br><b>Subject:</b> [AusRace] "Blake Shinn's results from his last 50 rides are astounding" Really?<o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><h1><span style='font-size:16.0pt'>Inside mail: All the big bets, work whispers and bookies’ tips for Rosehill Gardens<o:p></o:p></span></h1><p>Champion jockey Blake Shinn’s results from his last 50 rides are astounding and he is set for another successful day at Rosehill Gardens. <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><b>Ray Thomas</b>, Racing editor, The Daily Telegraph<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Subscriber only<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>| <o:p></o:p></p><p>Champion jockey Blake Shinn continues to ride in peerless form and is set for another successful day at Rosehill Gardens.<o:p></o:p></p><p>Shinn’s results from his last 50 rides makes for stunning reading.<o:p></o:p></p><p>During this period, he has ridden 13 winners or a strike-rate of 26 per cent winners to rides. He has also ridden 14 seconds and seven third placings.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'>*********************<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'>I make it 14 winners, 14 seconds and 6 thirds, but let's not quibble.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'>The 14 winners have returned for $1 on each:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'>SP (SOP) 30.6<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'>Best final price of the 10 bookmakers I monitor: 33.2<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'>At my normalised 100% prices: 36.0<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'>That is you<b><i> lose</i></b> a massive 39% at level stake SP and that's "astounding", "stunning", peerless! In line with that is 7 of the 50 were odds on, and only 3 won.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black'>I'm not knocking Shinn, just the writer.<o:p></o:p></span></p><div id=DAB4FAD8-2DD7-40BB-A1B8-4E2AA1F9FDF2><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></span></p><table class=MsoNormalTable border=1 cellpadding=0 style='border:none;border-top:solid #D3D4DE 1.0pt'><tr><td width=55 style='width:41.25pt;border:none;padding:9.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'><p class=MsoNormal><a href="http://www.avg.com/email-signature?utm_medium=email&utm_source=link&utm_campaign=sig-email&utm_content=emailclient&utm_term=oa-4885-b" target="_blank"><span style='text-decoration:none'><img border=0 width=46 height=29 style='width:.4791in;height:.302in' id="_x0000_i1025" src="https://static2.avg.com/2000491/web/i/ipm/icon-envelope-tick-green-avg-v1.png"></span></a><o:p></o:p></p></td><td width=470 style='width:352.5pt;border:none;padding:9.0pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'><p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:13.5pt'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#41424E'>Virus-free. <a href="http://www.avg.com/email-signature?utm_medium=email&utm_source=link&utm_campaign=sig-email&utm_content=emailclient&utm_term=oa-4885-b" target="_blank"><span style='color:#4453EA'>www.avg.com</span></a> <o:p></o:p></span></p></td></tr></table><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></div></body></html>