[AusRace] How to Get Better Odds Than TAB

[L.B.Loveday]

Peter, you are still around!

 

Quick and maybe a little dirty (any one old enough to remember QDOS?)

 

I isolated 13735 favourites in TAB races this YTD for which I had TAB (NSW)
dividend/price for the winner, outright Fav only (no equal), no late
scratchings (after I collect fixed prices at around 9am Qld, NSW, Vic, Tas,
SA, NT, after scratchings are in for WA ), no Dead Heats.

 

4806 won, the de rigueur 35% strike rate.

 

Top morning fixed price for those 4806 was on average 21% greater than TAB.
Top fixed morning odds for those 4806 was on average 43% greater than TAB.

 

How you determine what will be favourite at 9am is in your hands.

 

Betfair SP can be affected by your bet, especially with big bets (and don't
forget their disclaimer "Price comparison removes Betfair commission
charges" - that commission is as high as 10%), as can TAB dividend. 

 

LBL

 

 

 

From: Racing On Behalf Of Peter Dean
Sent: Tuesday, 17 December 2019 18:27 PM
To: AusRace Racing Discussion List <racing at ausrace.com>
Subject: [AusRace] How to Get Better Odds Than TAB

 

Hi,

 

Looking for advice on how to avg. about  12% better than what you would
receive on the TAB for a favourite.

 

Betfair SP advertises they achieve 14% or so in general, not sure how this
applies specifically to favourites. Are there other better ways that people
are happy to advise on.

 

Thanks in advance,

 

Peter

-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://ausrace.com/pipermail/racing_ausrace.com/attachments/20191217/c2573a62/attachment.html>