[AusRace] Blue Gum Theories - a system

norsaintpublishing at gmail.com norsaintpublishing at gmail.com
Mon Mar 1 07:27:58 AEDT 2021


*"I think that future posts from me will be scant - it has been an
enjoyablecouple of years but I might post up a bibliography list later "*

Why so, Tony?
Be keen to see any bibliography.

On Sun, 28 Feb 2021 at 15:53, Tony Moffat <tonymoffat at bigpond.com> wrote:

> This is a variation on 'The New England Plus' - thanks to Vim for the
> reminder. There is one known copy (and it was mine)
>
> The New England system concentrated selection around the price, barrier and
> TAB number
>
> Blue Gum number 7 (of 17) keeps its selection criteria amongst the lesser
> numbers by multiplication
>
> You need:
> (A) the BARRIER number
> (B the TAB number
> (C)the PRICE at the five minute pre-race time
>
>
> You are required to
> (i) multiply the BARRIER number with the TAB number - then record the
> product where it ends up less than or equal to 25 (5*5) -rank these values
> (ii) at the 5 minute pre-race time multiply the PRICE with the score
> recorded in (i) - circle those runners with a product score of less than or
> equal to 125
> Rank these values
> (ii) ALL runners and their scores are considered - those with the lesser
> scores become selections.
>
> NOTE: There is no recommendation regarding apprentices - all riders are
> considered
>
> Ignore fields in WFA, SW, Maiden SW. The system is meant to be operated on
> Novice, Encourage, Trial, Graduation, Handicaps, Cups in the metro area and
> main race handicaps during the week.
> It is meant for operation on course (the price/time requirement).
>
> There are results in the form of winners only, not fields, elimination or
> inclusion of runners, and why. The staple(s) rusted on mine and so a quite
> thick booklet ended up as a series of 25/28 loose pages
>
> 27/02 Randwick
> Liverpool City Cup
> Tab 1, ranked 2, ranked 1 $6.10 3rd
> Tab 2, ranked 5, ranked 2 $6.20 Unp
> Tab 3, ranked 3, ranked 4 $11.70 Unp
> Tab 5, ranked 1, ranked 5 $45.50/6.90 WON
> Tab 7 and Tab 10 were also considered but
> Excluded because either there early or late rankings
> were beyond 5
> ==========================
> Heineken
> Tab 2 Yonkers ranked 4 and 4 21.60/4.70 WON
> ==========================
> R9 Hcp
> Fail
> ==========================
> MR 2
> TAB 1 RANKED 1 AND 1 UNP
> TAB 2 RANKED 3 AND 4 WON
> TAB 3 RANKED 3 AND 2 UNP
> TAB 4 RANKED 2 AND 3 2ND
> ===========================
> MR 4 FAIL
> ===========================
> MR5
> TAB 2 RANKED 5 AND 1 WON
> ===========================
>
> Another way, may be. Or is it just the price/market affecting the
> selections.
>
> I think that future posts from me will be scant - it has been an enjoyable
> couple of years but
>
> I might post up a bibliography list later
>
> Cheers
>
> Tony
>
>
>
> --
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>
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