[AusRace] Apprentice Power - a system

[norsaintpublishing at gmail.com]

Have you ever coded/programmed these systems, Tony?
Not sure how else you'd run them all or keep tabs on how they're
performing.

On Mon, 7 Jun 2021 at 13:29, Tony Moffat <tonymoffat at bigpond.com> wrote:

> I'm not doing it right, obviously, as the instructions with this system are
> promising a 'succession of good priced winners' and what I have is a win at
> $83, then 34 probables, and a winner at $49.
>
> That/those 34 were not strictly system selects, although they were ridden
> by
> apprentices, and their previous race criteria were within the selection
> parameters. No, strictly I had a winner way back, then a winner recently
> ($83 + $49) with a dearth of picks in between, how disappointing, how
> useless, what a waste of money!, he types attempting irony.
>
> The rules
>
> The runner today is to be ridden by a claiming apprentice (those who have
> out ridden their claim are NOT considered)
>
> The race distance is less than 'a mile and no more' (1609 metres)
> Handicaps only
>
> There has to be a reason for the apprentice claim today
> (i) weight off
> (ii) up in distance
> (iii) drawn 'awkwardly' (wide)
> (iv) last run within 31 days
>
> The author uses the universal value of 3lbs off for all riders and was sure
> everybody (this was then) could make the weight.
> The rider, using his claim, must ride at the new weight. If the rider could
> not make the weight, utilise their full claim (of 3lbs) then that horse was
> discarded. No examples were given although some statistics were given, most
> favourable to the system rules.
>
> Some sums
>
> MR5 Muswellbrook (Josh Richards 2 kg) won this but its selection was
> discarded because of the barrier, got to have laws (for the protection of
> honest persons and the guidance of fools)
> MR6 Alana Kelly had won on this previously, the weight off clause works,
> barrier ok, except it was up in distance (discarded)
> MR7 Mikaela Lawrence (3kg) could not get the handicap weight below that in
> the previous race (when she rode also), barrier, discard
> MR8 Josh Richards (2Kg) could not get the handicap below that in the
> previous race (when he rode also) -discard
> Bairnsdale R$ Celine Gaudray qualified - 2nd $4.40
> Bairnsdale R6 Celine Gaudray qualified - fail
> SR 3 Dylan Gibbons qualified (@54.5, he rides at 54Kg) third $26
> SR 4 Dylan Gibbons again - fail - others(2) discarded because of weight
> clause
> SR 7 Casey Waddell rides at 51kg, her ride had 55kg less 2 kg claim, ridden
> at 53 kg - fail $10
>
> Not good examples are they?, but typical of the past runs I looked at.
>
> The author writes ' horses often run well for 'boys' (this was then)
> because
> the young men take their rides forward early, forward and 1 or two wide in
> running, which is often a position the horse has not been in before, for a
> while, and often this is the pattern of its last win, forward and in clean
> air'.
>
> I have not seen too many systems involving/including apprentices, most
> often
> those apprentices are to be ignored, as are their rides. In reality, money
> squawkes, and riders in-the-money score better than their average.
>
> Another way, perhaps not
>
> Cheers
>
> Tony
>
>
>
> --
> This email has been checked for viruses by AVG.
> https://www.avg.com
>
>
> _______________________________________________
> Racing mailing list
> Racing at ausrace.com
> http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com
>
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://ausrace.com/pipermail/racing_ausrace.com/attachments/20210607/19c31d0e/attachment-0001.html>