[AusRace] Apprentice Power - a system

[sean mclaren]

lol

On Mon, Jun 7, 2021 at 3:37 PM L.B.Loveday <lloveday at ozemail.com.au> wrote:

> We used to have it a little differently Tony, albeit we used "rules" rather
> than "laws" -
>
> "Rules are for the guidance of wise men and the blind obedience of fools".
>
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat
> Sent: Monday, 7 June 2021 13:28 PM
> To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
> Subject: [AusRace] Apprentice Power - a system
>
> I'm not doing it right, obviously, as the instructions with this system are
> promising a 'succession of good priced winners' and what I have is a win at
> $83, then 34 probables, and a winner at $49.
>
> That/those 34 were not strictly system selects, although they were ridden
> by
> apprentices, and their previous race criteria were within the selection
> parameters. No, strictly I had a winner way back, then a winner recently
> ($83 + $49) with a dearth of picks in between, how disappointing, how
> useless, what a waste of money!, he types attempting irony.
>
> The rules
>
> The runner today is to be ridden by a claiming apprentice (those who have
> out ridden their claim are NOT considered)
>
> The race distance is less than 'a mile and no more' (1609 metres) Handicaps
> only
>
> There has to be a reason for the apprentice claim today
> (i) weight off
> (ii) up in distance
> (iii) drawn 'awkwardly' (wide)
> (iv) last run within 31 days
>
> The author uses the universal value of 3lbs off for all riders and was sure
> everybody (this was then) could make the weight.
> The rider, using his claim, must ride at the new weight. If the rider could
> not make the weight, utilise their full claim (of 3lbs) then that horse was
> discarded. No examples were given although some statistics were given, most
> favourable to the system rules.
>
> Some sums
>
> MR5 Muswellbrook (Josh Richards 2 kg) won this but its selection was
> discarded because of the barrier, got to have laws (for the protection of
> honest persons and the guidance of fools)
> MR6 Alana Kelly had won on this previously, the weight off clause works,
> barrier ok, except it was up in distance (discarded)
> MR7 Mikaela Lawrence (3kg) could not get the handicap weight below that in
> the previous race (when she rode also), barrier, discard
> MR8 Josh Richards (2Kg) could not get the handicap below that in the
> previous race (when he rode also) -discard Bairnsdale R$ Celine Gaudray
> qualified - 2nd $4.40 Bairnsdale R6 Celine Gaudray qualified - fail SR 3
> Dylan Gibbons qualified (@54.5, he rides at 54Kg) third $26 SR 4 Dylan
> Gibbons again - fail - others(2) discarded because of weight clause SR 7
> Casey Waddell rides at 51kg, her ride had 55kg less 2 kg claim, ridden at
> 53
> kg - fail $10
>
> Not good examples are they?, but typical of the past runs I looked at.
>
> The author writes ' horses often run well for 'boys' (this was then)
> because
> the young men take their rides forward early, forward and 1 or two wide in
> running, which is often a position the horse has not been in before, for a
> while, and often this is the pattern of its last win, forward and in clean
> air'.
>
> I have not seen too many systems involving/including apprentices, most
> often
> those apprentices are to be ignored, as are their rides. In reality, money
> squawkes, and riders in-the-money score better than their average.
>
> Another way, perhaps not
>
> Cheers
>
> Tony
>
>
>
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