[AusRace] Blue Gum Theories - a system

Tony Moffat tonymoffat at bigpond.com
Sun Feb 28 15:52:58 AEDT 2021


This is a variation on 'The New England Plus' - thanks to Vim for the
reminder. There is one known copy (and it was mine)

The New England system concentrated selection around the price, barrier and
TAB number 

Blue Gum number 7 (of 17) keeps its selection criteria amongst the lesser
numbers by multiplication

You need:
(A) the BARRIER number
(B the TAB number
(C)the PRICE at the five minute pre-race time


You are required to
(i) multiply the BARRIER number with the TAB number - then record the
product where it ends up less than or equal to 25 (5*5) -rank these values
(ii) at the 5 minute pre-race time multiply the PRICE with the score
recorded in (i) - circle those runners with a product score of less than or
equal to 125
Rank these values
(ii) ALL runners and their scores are considered - those with the lesser
scores become selections.

NOTE: There is no recommendation regarding apprentices - all riders are
considered

Ignore fields in WFA, SW, Maiden SW. The system is meant to be operated on
Novice, Encourage, Trial, Graduation, Handicaps, Cups in the metro area and
main race handicaps during the week.
It is meant for operation on course (the price/time requirement).

There are results in the form of winners only, not fields, elimination or
inclusion of runners, and why. The staple(s) rusted on mine and so a quite
thick booklet ended up as a series of 25/28 loose pages

27/02 Randwick
Liverpool City Cup
Tab 1, ranked 2, ranked 1 $6.10 3rd
Tab 2, ranked 5, ranked 2 $6.20 Unp
Tab 3, ranked 3, ranked 4 $11.70 Unp
Tab 5, ranked 1, ranked 5 $45.50/6.90 WON
Tab 7 and Tab 10 were also considered but
Excluded because either there early or late rankings 
were beyond 5
==========================
Heineken 
Tab 2 Yonkers ranked 4 and 4 21.60/4.70 WON
==========================
R9 Hcp
Fail
==========================
MR 2
TAB 1 RANKED 1 AND 1 UNP
TAB 2 RANKED 3 AND 4 WON
TAB 3 RANKED 3 AND 2 UNP
TAB 4 RANKED 2 AND 3 2ND
===========================
MR 4 FAIL
===========================
MR5
TAB 2 RANKED 5 AND 1 WON
===========================

Another way, may be. Or is it just the price/market affecting the
selections.

I think that future posts from me will be scant - it has been an enjoyable
couple of years but

I might post up a bibliography list later 

Cheers

Tony



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