[AusRace] Data Bases

[sean mclaren]

i have it as scratched.

On Mon, Oct 5, 2020 at 3:52 AM L.B.Loveday <lloveday at ozemail.com.au> wrote:

> Then yesterday, Hobart 6/8 Our Artie, definitely ran - I've seen the
> replay, but given as a scratching on TasRacing's web-site, and on WATAB,
> albeit with tote prices displayed, but not on TAB's site which displays
> Fixed and tote prices.
>
>
>
> Weighed in light? Have to wait for the Steward's report for that one. Or
> Mike McBain.
>
>
>
> *From:* Racing *On Behalf Of *L.B.Loveday
> *Sent:* Monday, 5 October 2020 4:16 AM
> *To:* 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
> *Subject:* Re: [AusRace] Data Bases
>
>
>
> Then there are the SP markets, which in about 0.6% of times are <100%
> because of barrier scratchings, and in many other cases low 100s, not
> reflecting the real SP after deductions, but are still used by touts to
> promote their systems.
>
> I calculate a normalised 100% market for every race, not by the simple
> method of dividing each price by the market%*100, but taking into account
> the "long shot effect" and use that as the basis for comparing returns.
>
>
>
> Using on-line bookmakers prices is also fraught.
>
>
>
> Here's the final prices as per Dynamic Odds from a number of bookmakers on
> Race 7 at the Sunshine Coast 27/9/2020:
>
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> The discrepancy between the BBet and the others is obvious from the first
> 2 favourites, #2 and #6:
>
>
>
> However, the SPs are right, so the SOPs have been determined considering
> actual final prices from the (10?) designated bookmakers and the formula
> used to determine SOP.
>
>
>
> Why is BBet the only one right? I can't know, but there were 21 races that
> day so impacted, the others were ok.
>
>
>
> And so on; Life was not meant to be easy, and is not easy for punters.
>
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> *From:* Racing *On Behalf Of *sean mclaren
> *Sent:* Sunday, 4 October 2020 10:43 AM
> *To:* AusRace Racing Discussion List <racing at ausrace.com>
> *Subject:* Re: [AusRace] Data Bases
>
>
>
> Len, go to hong kong.
>
>
>
> the top weight gets scratched.
>
>
>
> the emergency no 13, gets a run; and in HK it's TAB number now has changed
> to no 1.
>
>
>
> when the emergency wins, and as it is now no. 1.
>
>
>
> my data provider credits the scratched horse as the winner !
>
>
>
> cleaning data the bane of my life.
>
>
>
> cheers sean
>
>
>
> On Sun, Oct 4, 2020 at 2:15 AM L.B.Loveday <lloveday at ozemail.com.au>
> wrote:
>
> An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate:
>
>
>
>
>
> The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site
> show:
>
> 2 Presley Road
>
> T: Damien Rideout
>
> J: Matthew McGillivray
>
> 6 Blame It On Paris
>
> T: Zoe Hohn
>
> J: Emma Bell
>
>
>
> While the Stewards' report shows:
>
>
>
> Summary of rider changes/Late notifications
>
> Race 5.  PRESLEY ROAD – M McGillivray
>
>               BLAME IT ON PARIS – Z White
>
>
>
> This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep
> trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at:
>
>
>
> Adelaide River,
>
> Atherton,
>
> Barraba,
>
> Bluff,
>
> Bundarra,
>
> Buchan
>
>
>
> And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't
> trust the data I have.
>
>
>
> LBL
>
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