[AusRace] BFSP

[L.B.Loveday]

I've said I don't trust the computation of BFSP; here's a little preliminary
back-up from my collection of 4,894 prices from 15/2/2020-23/2. That's
limited data but will quickly increase.

 

1002 were exact $ values, being 20% compared to an expected 1%. That is so
far outside normal expectation that I can't think of a rational reason other
than manipulation or providing misleading figures. 

 

It's not because the higher prices are rounded - the 10 highest prices are:


511.84


557.25


567.44


571.09


580.88


592.44


604.27


668.85


671.44


833.61

the 10 lowest prices are:


1.23 


1.30 


1.30 


1.36 


1.39 


1.51 


1.52 


1.53 


1.53 


1.54 

 

Of the 3,892 prices that are not exact $ values, 850 were to 10 cents ala
TAB (eg 1.30 as above), being 22% compared to an expected 10%.

 

If I get around to it, I'll conjure up a theoretical (it has to be
theoretical as BF don't provide data to enable checking) example of how the
calculations can be rigged to favour certain people, including BF.

 

LBL 

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