[AusRace] Asniak Betting Tables - a system

Tony Moffat tonymoffat at bigpond.com
Sun Oct 20 01:27:17 AEDT 2019


Asniak is American (aka Francisco) but lived in Australia (Pitt Town Bottoms
- yes that is the locality name) and these tables were published here.
They may be a copy of a similar set published by several other persons
(including Gamblers Book Club) and are identical to the theories espoused by
Adkin Abott (see The Abbott email)

Asniak advises that NO runner deserves to be priced longer than 8/1 (11.11%)
all things considered, although the tables only consider the individual
runners, not an overall, all runner score.

The last three finishing positions of each runner are considered. The finish
position number is divided into 100, in each case, and that quotient is
again divided by three. 
So a finish position of 6 would score 100/6/3 =  5.55 and that number is
ADDED to the other results calculations for that runner. 642 =
100/6/3+100/4/3+100/2/3 = 5.55+ 8.33 + 16.55= 30.43.

The form figure 642 has a calculated price of 100/30.43 = 3.30 = 2.30/1. The
worst is form figures of 999 (100/9/3 =3.70+3.70+3.70 = 11.1) 8/1 (100/11.1
=9 - 1, 8/1)

642 has a quotient of 30.43, as does 624,462,426,246,264. It seems to be a
mechanical mathematical thing. The overs are built in when you use these
numbers.

In the Caulfield Cup winner Mer De Glace had 111(100) and was first pick,
2nd pick Vow and Declare had 214 (58.33) as did Gold Mount (eq.2nd,off 412),
3rd pick Finche (56.67,512) was unplaced and
fourth pick was Mustajeer and Wolfe. The values, in order, are
100+58.33+58.33(equals)+56.67+51.11+51.11= 375.55 so 100/375.55 to get the
reduction ratio = 0.266. Are you keeping up?
Now multiply those values with the reduction ratio  to get their calculated
prices 100*.266 ($3.75) - it won paying $7.70, 2nd 58.33*.266 = $6.40,
paying $7.80, and the equal second was paying $28.90 (7.80 place)

Back in the day Asniak did not have the benefit of Excel/Lotus and so the
purpose of the tables, a ready reckoner which had a calculator explanation
also.. The reason for the division by three is not discussed, nor is the
reason for any of it really except it seems to work, most times.

The last three finish positions only are considered. Ignore spells, dnf,
trials, only the runners efforts in a race are used.

Another way again

Cheers

Tony


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