[AusRace] Brisbane Best - a system

Tony Moffat tonymoffat at bigpond.com
Mon Jul 29 21:38:54 AEST 2019


Brisbane Best.
subtitled a system for betting on colts

By definition a colt is a male horse 3 years of age or younger.

This book, printed in Australia, bound in the Phillipines, seems to be an
American adaptation of one or some of their ideas about racing here. 
Colts racing are a rarity. Yes, there are a lot of 3 year old males running,
but a colt, with everything intact, is not often seen. There are 3 entered
today.
RULES
(i)Selection is a colt (see definition) running over less than 6.5 furlongs
(1300 metres) today on a track condition it has raced on before (good
then-good now). The race today can be a sex, age, or other restriction
event, or a race for all ages, sex, and a distance up to 1300 metres. I
think they mean it can run in anything less than 1301 metres today. 
(ii) In its last race it must have finished within 3 lengths, or won by 1.5
lengths. Which asks more questions than it answers.
(ii) Its last race must have been within 18 days of today
(iii) If first up today, ignore 18 day rule, and the runner must have
finished 'in the money' in its two runs prior to spelling.
There is a discussion about the method of backing these.
There are no results, no names or prices etc. The author does advise that
the system picked 61.9% winners, with 5 places, and 3 unplaced. Then
mentions 21 'goes' which, if you extrapolate that back gives you 13 winners
from 21 runners, 5 places, and 3 unplaced - which makes it selective because
this was over '71-'72. 
Bathurst R7 today had nearly qualified Patron Black off 288 days, excluded
because of his pre-spell form (128) and perhaps its finish distance, and
running 4th today at $3.60. A host of races today were won by 2 and 3yos,
but geldings and fillies. 
Brisbane Best? - I don't know, there is a mention of Brisbane courses in the
text but no other reference, and no results, as I said.  
This is book two in a series of four. There is a system on fillies and
mares, on jockeys, on Classic racing and this one on colts.

Cheers Tony


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