[AusRace] Racing Digest, Vol 30, Issue 12

norsaintpublishing at gmail.com norsaintpublishing at gmail.com
Thu Jul 18 12:19:57 AEST 2019


Tony,
  interesting but sometimes I think it might be just easier doing the form!

On Thu, 18 Jul 2019 at 12:00, <racing-request at ausrace.com> wrote:

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>    1. The Abbott - calculators in racing (Tony Moffat)
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> ----------------------------------------------------------------------
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> Message: 1
> Date: Wed, 17 Jul 2019 11:49:44 +0800
> From: "Tony Moffat" <tonymoffat at bigpond.com>
> To: "'AusRace Racing Discussion List'" <racing at ausrace.com>
> Subject: [AusRace] The Abbott - calculators in racing
> Message-ID: <000301d53c52$aceb3c20$06c1b460$@bigpond.com>
> Content-Type: text/plain;       charset="us-ascii"
>
> The Abbott is a calculator based on the writings of Adkin Abbott in the UK
> -
> he promoted himself as a tutor.
>
> The first version of his calculator is a printed page showing the quotient
> resulting from dividing 100 with a figure
> representing the finishing position of a runner in each of its last three
> starts. So, a form figure of 281 would be
> decided as 50,12.5,100 which sums to 162.5. Now turn the page over and here
> is the calculated 'finals' , out to three decimal places
> when you divide 300 by the 162.5 calculated earlier - the 'final' is 1.8
> which Adkin advises is the place dividend meant for
> this runner off its form figure of 281, all things being equal. Abbott
> assists by rounding up, and down, early in his calculations
> so that 162.5 is 160, although he retains the three decimal places
> mentioned. Next to the 1.8 is the bookmaker win price, '13/4 in this case
> which is the win price associated with the dividend displayed (strictly
> 4.25/1.81 in todays money)
>
> The second version, triple the cost, is a wheel device whereby five wheels
> must be aligned to provide a dividend. The three
> outside wheels, rims, are aligned with a window so that 281 (the form
> finish
> figure) shows in the window then turning it over and reading off
> the other side after moving the wheel it again shows 1.8 and 4.25 in the
> windows there.
>
> The battery powered calculator is the latest, last, version, and the form
> figures are entered, as you would expect, and the decimal data is
> displayed.
> It is/was expensive - 100's when new. I bought my suite, second hand, off a
> shop in Newtown, this and a few other books, and a Joe Powell 3 wood
> (golfers will unnerstan).
>
> There is no discussion from the author about the use of the form figure as
> he does - 2-8-1 becomes (100/2 =50),(100/8 = 12.5),(100/1= 100) which sums
> to
> 50+12.5+100 = 162.5 although on the sheet he does state 'he has not seen
> any
> proof other than this' that the place chance can be calculated as it is,
> and
> from that
> the win price, using place dividend -1, x 4, +1, so 1.8 - 1, becomes .8 *
> 4=
> 3.2, + 1 = 3.2+1= 4.20 (3/1-13/4).
>
> The calculation goes close, not often, to the actual dividend, eg Cairns
> R10
> 16/07/2019
> 1-133-(100+33+33 =167)-300/167 = 1.80, actual 1.70
> 5-314-(33+100+25 = 158)-300/158= 1.90, actual 2.00
> Other dividends are widely,wildly different, varying from 8-380% over.
>
> The Abbott uses celtic drawings, and a picture of himself, presumably, in
> robes representing a druid like the subject of a Uriah Heep or Led Zepplin
> song on his wheel and booklet associated with it.
>
> The calculations, defining the place price, and from them, the win
> approximates, does reveal a group of runners inside $10 that score as they
> should. Do you need a calculator for that?.
>
> Abbott writes at length about ante-post betting in their classics in the UK
> and it seems that is what the calculator was for, determining prices before
> declaration in the (several) days before the race.
> Perhaps it was popular there but is lost, a little somewhat, in the hurly
> burly of Australian racing?
>
> Cheers
>
> Tony
>
>
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> End of Racing Digest, Vol 30, Issue 12
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