[AusRace] Cox Plate Winx

Stuart Mackay pfjg1g at gmail.com
Thu Jun 29 19:59:10 AEST 2017


If you know anyone who wants $1.75 or less now send them my way 🤑

Sent from my iPad

> On 29 Jun 2017, at 6:15 PM, Race Stats <RaceStats at hotmail.com> wrote:
> 
> Hi all,
> When the initial odds went up for Winx in the Cox Plate I believe it was $2.00 with most bookies.
> I thought at the time, that's short for a future race so far away.
> She has hoof filler in one of her hooves, so has hoof problems, but continues to dominate.
> However, it has emerged that there is a strong contingent of quality overseas horses coming to do battle.
> She could go lame, pull a suspensory ligament, or muscle tear and miss the Cox Plate altogether plus Waller is considering running Egg Tart in the Cox Plate, but definitely in the Caulfield Cup.
> One punter placed $30,000 on her @ $2.00, the bookies responded by crushing her odds to $1.65 (the best I could find), some $1.60, but most $1.50.
> There is simply no value to be had at $1.50 considering she hasn't won a race this preparation, she is coming back into work.
> Things go wrong, and I certainly won't be taking even $1.65 in a race that she may or may not contest or win.
> When she returns and wins a couple I can see her odds will further plummet, but there are some quality English horses coming over.
> Hartnell has lost all form for some reason, so whether she wins or not, the odds are definitely well on the bookies side this time.
> I'd rather take $1.50 or more the place on another quality horse. 
> Lindsay
> 
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