[AusRace] Sydney Cup re run
Mike McBain
mikemcb at southcom.com.au
Sat Apr 22 15:58:03 AEST 2017
Well done Tony you got the winner in your top 5 on past market and
highlighted it on Rated Speed!
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Todays winner should be in the top five horses and my Trifecta is a box of
6-3-4-1-2
Mike
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The runners from the first race and the numbers after their names
represent their ranking
1,Who Shot Thebarman,6
2,Libran,9
3,Almoonqith,11
4,Tally,4
5,Assign,3
6,Chance To Dance,12
7,Big Duke,1
8,Annus Mirabilis,10
9,Mister Impatience,13
10,Penglai Pavilion, 2
11,Kinema,7
12,Pentathlon, 14
13,Vengeur Masque,8
14, Polarisation ,5
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Polarisation ran a 3250 metre race won in 210.91 seconds. So,
3250/2.75/210.91 = 5.60 lengths a second.
It finished 25.8 lengths from the winner. 25.8/5.60 lengths = 4.60
seconds. You now have all the values
needed to calculate a final value for this runner -
3250/2.75/(210.91+4.60)= 5.48 lengths a second. Average.
In its most recent run it covered 2920 in 188.92 seconds beaten 4.5
lengths.
2920/2.75/188.92 = 5.62
Beaten lengths 4.5/5.62 = .800 second
2920/2.75/(188.92+.800) = 5.59 lengths a second.
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In all these examples Polarisation is carrying 60kg or more, 69 in the
hurdle. It has 51.5 in the Cup.
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