[AusRace] The Editors Method - a system

Sat Jun 20 23:32:18 AEST 2020

LBL did a big exam of these rules for the Editors Method

SUMMARY: 100K races  sorted  out  to 20 000 with criteria that matched (top
rated only) resulted in 16% better strike rate, 7.5% better return at level
stake SP.

Thanks for your endeavours Len.

Cannot get DynamicOdds today - pages won't load past 1100 hours? So cannot
tease with todays results.

Cheers

Tony

LBL wrote:

It returned a slight loss at SP, but who takes SP? Average SP Market% is
running at 120%, average Top Final Price market from the 9 bookmakers I
monitor at 110% (117% and 108% for Syd, Mel, Bri metro).

Average Top Fluctuation % = 111% (109%  for Syd, Mel, Bri metro).

No problem quoting.

From: Tony Moffat 
Sent: Thursday, 18 June 2020 12:15 PM
To: 'L.B.Loveday' <lloveday at ozemail.com.au <mailto:lloveday at ozemail.com.au>
>
Subject: RE: The Editors Method - exact wording

Len - thanks

(a)  You didn't say, and I assume, the return was positive?

(b)  It may be hard, not impossible, to get a single pick into profit
(Wizard maintain their top pick returns 11% - although this was calculated
some years ago now. Malcolm Knowles makes a similar claim, again in the
past.)

That was a big examination, thanks again, and can I quote you?

Cheers

Tony

From: L.B.Loveday [mailto:lloveday at ozemail.com.au] 
Sent: Tuesday, 16 June 2020 10:59 AM
To: 'Tony Moffat' <tonymoffat at bigpond.com <mailto:tonymoffat at bigpond.com> >
Subject: RE: The Editors Method - exact wording

Tony,

I looked at 100,000+ races and my top-rated (being the only ones I look at
let alone record) and 20,000+ of my top rated fitted the criterion (I did
not find any that went from Good to Heavy although my data does include
Original Condition and Race Condition).

The 20,000 had a 16% better strike rate and a 7.5% better return at level
stake SP. 

Cheers,

LBL

From: Tony Moffat 
Sent: Friday, 22 May 2020 23:08 PM
To: lloveday at ozemail.com.au <mailto:lloveday at ozemail.com.au> 
Subject: The Editors Method - exact wording

Len - thanks. I would be keen to see the result of your exam.

Cheers

Tony           

And still, golly! Aziz Jamil Coureur. How come there is never a Gay Whatever
horse name now - prudes

Re:-

I make it 32 days!

I intend to get around to a long-term analysis of results.

-----Original Message-----

From: Racing On Behalf Of i8work at aussiebb.com.au
<mailto:i8work at aussiebb.com.au> 

Sent: Friday, 22 May 2020 16:42 PM

To: AusRace Racing Discussion List <racing at ausrace.com
<mailto:racing at ausrace.com> >

Subject: Re: [AusRace] The Editors Method - a system

Aziz Jamil Coureur raced 17 days ago didn't it so ineligible

Sent: Wednesday, 20 May 2020 7:35 PM
To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
Subject: The Editors Method - a system

This one, and two variations, have been around for many years.

It seeks to improve the strike rate of a public selector - meaning a
newspaper tipster

The version 'Reckoner' sold in Melbourne claims that the elements under
consideration are those present in the past form of 99% of winners .

The Editor featured here is one discussed in Racing Review Issue 562 by
Anthony Scott on November 9 1977 - his version is that of Edgar Horn (USA)
circa 1930 (as they say)

The runners to consider are those tipped by your choice of public selector. 

(a)    The runner must have raced on the track

(b)    The runner must have raced within the last 15 days

(c)    The runner must have finished within 5 lengths of the winner last
start (or won, of course)

(d)    The runner must have finished not further back than 4th last start
(including 4th, of course)

(e)    No maiden races for 3yo or older are to be considered

(f)     There is directions (rules) regarding changing conditions on race
day - the selections were made for a good track and the racing is now heavy
- no bets

(g)    Mr Scott added a rule of his own - the runner must have form at the
distance ( a start, a place, a win - in ascending power)

Some results from today

Pinjarra R5 Fingermark 1st 11.30/2.90

Sunny Coast R8 Aziz Jamil Coureur (golly!) 1st 8.90/3.40

Pinjarra R6 Fire Sale 1st 3.30/1.3 - equal Bombardment unplaced

Sunny Coast R9 Je Suis Belle 1st, 2nd, 3rd had identical scores

Pinjarra R7 Trutiara 1st 4.10/1.40

Sunny Coast R10 Redstone 1st 3.20/1.40 - Dam Lovable had identical scores
3rd 23.10/6.20

Pinjarra R8 Wild Front 2nd 8.30/2.00 - that's the quaddie as well

Cheers

Tony

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