[AusRace] Is Favourite-Longshot Bias dead ?

Sun Mar 26 09:41:30 AEDT 2017

Hi Mike,

Thanks for your reply. It's good to know there is still some Ausracers
remaining :)

The results data currently only includes the  on-the-day data. 

But in the future I do intend to extend it to include past form data.
Including barrier trials. 

For example below is the list of today's runners that have had 2 or more
barrier trials since their last run. The best being 03 Specific Choice 7yo g
(Ben_Looker) at Scone.

Cheers,

AN

Ratings values   Max Bookie Odds            Fin Pos  rce sts

Sunday, 26 March 2017                                  

13:30 Ballarat R2                                               

Ballarat R02 Eclipse Ford Mdn Plate 1200m Mdn 3yo+  1:30 PM GOOD (9->8)

03 River Fox 5yo g (Jarrod_Todd)              34           0              3

13:40 Scone R2                                  

Scone R02 Dimmock's Quality Meats Mdn 1000m Mdn   1:40 PM SOFT (18->14)

12 Lady Iveagh 3yo f (Glyn_Schofield)    5.5          0              2

14:15 Naracoorte R2                                       

Naracoorte R02 Tdc Livestock Mdn Plate 1430m Mdn 3yo+  2:15 PM SOFT (13->12)

03 Need Pragmatism 4yo g (Kayla_Crowther)     3.4          0              7

14:30 Ballarat R4                                               

Ballarat R04 C.E Bartlett Mdn Plate 1600m Mdn   2:30 PM GOOD (10->9) 

04 Paradise Cove [USA] 3yo c (Beau_Mertens) 2.8          0              2

15:25 Naracoorte R4                                       

Naracoorte R04 Pph&S (Bm72) 1200m BM72   3:25 PM SOFT (8->8)           

02 Edgewood 7yo g (Kayla_Crowther)    2.6          0              37

15:45 Sunshine Coast R4                                               

Sunshine Coast R04 Yalumba Mdn Hcp 1200m Mdn 3yo+  3:45 PM HEAVY (12->8)

05 Ernie's Ego 3yo g (James_Orman)       13           0              1

15:50 Hobart R4                                

Hobart R04 Gee Gee Horse Stud Hcp (C1) 1100m Cls 1   3:50 PM SOFT (9->8)

09 Kirribilli Kid 5yo m (Mehmet_Ulucinar)             51           0
22

16:10 Scone R6                                  

Scone R06 Balmoral Hcp 1300m Open   4:10 PM SOFT (11->9)

03 Specific Choice 7yo g (Ben_Looker)    3.9          0              39

16:35 Ballarat R8                                               

Ballarat R08 Sportsbet's Racing Form (Bm78) 1400m BM78   4:35 PM GOOD (9->7)

05 Grand Dreamer 6yo g (Ben#E_Thompson)     3.6          0              30

16:53 Mount Barker R2                                  

Mt Barker R02 Triangulee Mdn 1200m Mdn 2yo+  4:53 PM GOOD (13->11)

13 Exexcel 3yo f (Tayla_Stone)   41           0              3

12 Ying Yang Middle 5yo m (Lee_Newman)          41           0
1

17:25 Scone R8                                  

Scone R08 Jts Realty Hcp (C1) 1300m Cls 1   5:25 PM SOFT (18->11)

08 Schedule 5yo g (Chad_Lever)               6.5          0              4

07 Hunter Caulfield 5yo g (Alison_Threadwell)    17           0
2

From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of Mike McBain
Sent: Sunday, 26 March 2017 9:19 AM
To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
Subject: Re: [AusRace] Is Favourite-Longshot Bias dead ?

Nick & Co

Thanks again for your interesting work using that MS BI program.

I have been playing with Bet Selector recently and found a profitable
relationship between last start Barrier Trial winners and close seconds and
next start winners.

Not sure if you have that Stat available to investigate further?

Cheers

Mike.

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