<html><head><meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"></head><body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; line-break: after-white-space;" class="">I asked a colleague to run this for Oliver through his database:<div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><img apple-inline="yes" id="AE82A8D9-83B3-4F78-943B-025A44609C5A" width="640" height="350" src="cid:611EBBAB-A66B-451C-AE23-D4D99A7C6166@modem" class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class="">"<span style="color: rgb(29, 28, 29); font-family: Slack-Lato, appleLogo, sans-serif; font-variant-ligatures: common-ligatures; orphans: 2; widows: 2; background-color: rgb(248, 248, 248);" class="">Oliver. 1.4.2015 onward so slightly more than the last 5 years or so where DOliver rode the horse last start and is did not ride it this start. At my prices and BFSP discount.</span><span class="c-mrkdwn__br" data-stringify-type="paragraph-break" style="box-sizing: inherit; display: block; height: 8px; color: rgb(29, 28, 29); font-family: Slack-Lato, appleLogo, sans-serif; font-variant-ligatures: common-ligatures; orphans: 2; widows: 2; background-color: rgb(248, 248, 248);"></span><span style="color: rgb(29, 28, 29); font-family: Slack-Lato, appleLogo, sans-serif; font-variant-ligatures: common-ligatures; orphans: 2; widows: 2; background-color: rgb(248, 248, 248);" class="">13.9% SR and 15.9% POT.”</span></div><div class=""><div style="orphans: 2; widows: 2;" class=""><font color="#1d1c1d" face="Slack-Lato, appleLogo, sans-serif" class=""><span style="caret-color: rgb(29, 28, 29); background-color: rgb(248, 248, 248);" class=""><br class=""></span></font></div><div style="orphans: 2; widows: 2;" class=""><font color="#1d1c1d" face="Slack-Lato, appleLogo, sans-serif" class=""><span style="caret-color: rgb(29, 28, 29); background-color: rgb(248, 248, 248);" class=""><br class=""></span></font></div><div class="">
<div dir="auto" style="caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration: none; word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div dir="auto" style="caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration: none; word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div class=""><div class="">Greg Conroy, Inventor of Award Winning and Free:</div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><font class="Apple-style-span" color="#425af6"><font face="Calibri, sans-serif" class=""><a href="http://www.rewardbet.com" class="">www.rewardbet.com</a> … read more: </font></font><font face="Calibri, sans-serif" class=""><a href="https://about.rewardbet.com/" class="">https://about.rewardbet.com/</a></font></div></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class="">And author of<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span><a href="https://winwithoutform" class="">https://winwithoutform</a>.com</div><div class=""><br class=""></div></div><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"></div><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"></div><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"><br class="Apple-interchange-newline">
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<div><br class=""><blockquote type="cite" class=""><div class="">On 24 Sep 2020, at 5:03 pm, Tony Moffat <<a href="mailto:tonymoffat@bigpond.com" class="">tonymoffat@bigpond.com</a>> wrote:</div><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"><div class=""><div class="">Len - as always, dependable, and thanks.<br class=""><br class="">I get 9429 = 2328 + 7101<br class=""><br class="">Ollie on a winner = (2328/100) * 17.6 equals 410 winners from 2328 rides<br class="">and he needs $5.70 each runner (2328/410 = 5.70)<br class=""><br class="">Joe Average (aka NotOllie) = (7101/100) * 13.7 equals 973 winners from 7101<br class="">rides and s/he needs $7.30 each runner (7101/973 = 7.30)<br class=""><br class="">Ollie when placed = (2328/100) * 43.2 equals 1006 placed so 2328/1006 =<br class="">$2.30(5/4 - 5/1)<br class="">NotOllie when placed = (7101/100) * 36.3 equals 2578 placed so 7101/2578 =<br class="">$2.75 (7/4 - 7/1)<br class=""><br class="">Cheers<br class=""><br class="">Tony. <br class=""><br class="">-----Original Message-----<br class="">From: Racing [<a href="mailto:racing-bounces@ausrace.com" class="">mailto:racing-bounces@ausrace.com</a>] On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday<br class="">Sent: Thursday, 24 September 2020 12:47 PM<br class="">To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <<a href="mailto:racing@ausrace.com" class="">racing@ausrace.com</a>><br class="">Subject: Re: [AusRace] Ollie discards - a system (maybe)<br class=""><br class="">Tony, <br class=""><br class="">I have an easily accessed data base with jockey this start and last start<br class="">for the past 20 years, with my ratings of both jockeys, which will be<br class="">different to others' jockey ratings, which makes agreement as to who is a<br class="">"top jockey" impossible - and assessing someone as top based on rating will<br class="">mean at some times a jockey may be rated "top", at others, not top. <br class=""><br class="">So for DOliver:<br class=""><br class="">9429 horses DOliver rode last start,<br class=""><br class="">This start DOliver again rides:<br class=""><br class="">2328 starts, 17.6% win, 43.2% place, return at level stake SP 78%, at my<br class="">100% normalised SP - 90%<br class=""><br class="">This start a different jockey:<br class=""><br class="">7101 starts, 13.7% win, 36.3% place, return at level stake SP 79%, at my<br class="">100% normalised SP - 104%.<br class=""><br class=""><br class=""><br class=""><br class=""><br class=""><br class=""><br class="">-----Original Message-----<br class="">From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat<br class="">Sent: Thursday, 24 September 2020 10:09 AM<br class="">To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <<a href="mailto:racing@ausrace.com" class="">racing@ausrace.com</a>><br class="">Subject: [AusRace] Ollie discards - a system (maybe)<br class=""><br class="">Is there a database gun who can assist with this query please?<br class=""><br class="">If Damien Oliver rides one and it fails then DOESN'T ride it next time out,<br class="">how often does it win/place it's next race?<br class=""><br class="">It doesn't have to be Ollie, it's just that he rides so many.<br class=""><br class="">It doesn't have to be a long term study either, say since Mid August until<br class="">recently. <br class=""><br class="">Why? - it's the basis of a system from the 60's that I want to tell you<br class="">about.<br class=""><br class="">The rules:<br class="">Top jockey rode the selection last start.<br class="">This start the jockey is an apprentice, or another jockey (rated top or<br class="">not).<br class=""><br class="">The authors claim 60% place at 14/1+ win - (and they are selling this secret<br class="">to us).<br class=""><br class="">Cheers<br class=""><br class="">Tony<br class=""><br class=""><br class=""><br class=""><br class=""><br class=""><br class="">--<br class="">This email has been checked for viruses by AVG.<br class=""><a href="https://www.avg.com" class="">https://www.avg.com</a><br class=""><br class=""><br class="">_______________________________________________<br class="">Racing mailing list<br class="">Racing@ausrace.com<br class="">http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com<br class=""><br class=""><br class="">_______________________________________________<br class="">Racing mailing list<br class="">Racing@ausrace.com<br class="">http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com<br class=""><br class=""><br class="">-- <br class="">This email has been checked for viruses by AVG.<br class="">https://www.avg.com<br class=""><br class=""><br class="">_______________________________________________<br class="">Racing mailing list<br class="">Racing@ausrace.com<br class="">http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com<br class=""></div></div></blockquote></div><br class=""></div></body></html>