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Yeah, still kicking Len. <br>
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I monitored the morning fixed and for my selections it ended 7% over so was a bit worse than BSP and VicBet BOB.
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I like your 21% but I guess if I was that smart and knew who would be fav at 9am I could just lay and crush.<br>
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As you say, the bet size impacts BSP hence I am trying to kick up turnover with bet volume rather than raising stake.<br>
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Hmmmm.. need to keep pondering.<br>
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<div id="divRplyFwdMsg" dir="ltr"><font face="Calibri, sans-serif" style="font-size:11pt" color="#000000"><b>From:</b> Racing <racing-bounces@ausrace.com> on behalf of L.B.Loveday <lloveday@ozemail.com.au><br>
<b>Sent:</b> Tuesday, December 17, 2019 8:34:14 PM<br>
<b>To:</b> 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing@ausrace.com><br>
<b>Subject:</b> Re: [AusRace] How to Get Better Odds Than TAB</font>
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<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="color:black">Peter, you are still around!</span></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="color:black"> </span></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="color:black">Quick and maybe a little dirty (any one old enough to remember QDOS?)</span></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="color:black"> </span></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="color:black">I isolated 13735 favourites in TAB races this YTD for which I had TAB (NSW) dividend/price for the winner, outright Fav only (no equal), no late scratchings (after I collect fixed prices at around 9am Qld, NSW,
Vic, Tas, SA, NT, after scratchings are in for WA ), no Dead Heats.</span></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="color:black"> </span></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="color:black">4806 won, the de rigueur 35% strike rate.</span></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="color:black"> </span></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="color:black">Top morning fixed price for those 4806 was on average 21% greater than TAB. Top fixed morning odds for those 4806 was on average 43% greater than TAB.</span></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="color:black"> </span></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="color:black">How you determine what will be favourite at 9am is in your hands.</span></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="color:black"> </span></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="color:black">Betfair SP can be affected by your bet, especially with big bets (and don't forget their disclaimer "</span><strong><span style="font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif">Price comparison removes Betfair commission charges"
</span></strong><strong><span style="font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif; font-weight:normal">- that commission is as high as 10%), as can TAB dividend.</span></strong><b><span style="color:black">
</span></b></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><b><span style="color:black"> </span></b></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><b><span style="color:black">LBL</span></b></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><b><span style="color:black"> </span></b></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><b><span style="color:black"> </span></b></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="color:black"> </span></p>
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<p class="x_MsoNormal"><b><span lang="EN-US">From:</span></b><span lang="EN-US"> Racing
<b>On Behalf Of </b>Peter Dean<br>
<b>Sent:</b> Tuesday, 17 December 2019 18:27 PM<br>
<b>To:</b> AusRace Racing Discussion List <racing@ausrace.com><br>
<b>Subject:</b> [AusRace] How to Get Better Odds Than TAB</span></p>
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<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt; color:black">Hi,</span></p>
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<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt; color:black">Looking for advice on how to avg. about 12% better than what you would receive on the TAB for a favourite.</span></p>
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<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt; color:black"> </span></p>
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<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt; color:black">Betfair SP advertises they achieve 14% or so in general, not sure how this applies specifically to favourites. Are there other better ways that people are happy to advise on.</span></p>
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<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt; color:black"> </span></p>
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<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt; color:black">Thanks in advance,</span></p>
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<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt; color:black"> </span></p>
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<p class="x_MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt; color:black">Peter</span></p>
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