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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>Hi Sean,<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>Had a ripper New Years eve. Had no alcohol for the night (10000/1 in the old days: I must be getting wiser??!!) and woke up fitter than the proverbial Mallee bull.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>I am about to do a study of jockeys and trainers for Vic and SA over the last couple of years using figures based on proportional betting of their rides. Thus if $101 the bet is $1 and if $11 the bet is $10.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>My prelims show some jockeys are much better than the public realizes. Obviously the likes of J Allen D Yendall, just to name two, who ride for DK Weir are overbet, especially in the non metro tracks. Then there’s the issue of rides on well fancied horses which I suggest is $5 and under. Again some surprises but to be fair I have really only glanced. I don’t have W Pike WA figures but I suspect he is way over bet with Williams and Durrant runners which , of course, means, to a certain extent, that other jockeys are under rated by the public. I suppose the issue is by how much. On everything I see from your postings it seems Lucy Warwick is up there in most distance ranges.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>Re P Hall: well it is a matter of how you use your various ratings. Bet them both if you have time and jockey ratings , maybe?<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>I will contact you re Perth figures in due time. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>Cheers<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>Roman Koz<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>From:</span></b><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'> Racing [mailto:racing-bounces@ausrace.com] <b>On Behalf Of </b>sean mclaren<br><b>Sent:</b> Wednesday, January 23, 2019 7:32 AM<br><b>To:</b> AusRace Racing Discussion List<br><b>Subject:</b> Re: [AusRace] Jockeys generally<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal>Hey roman<o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Trust you are well and brought in the New Year with plenty of cheer. <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Oddly enough my bathroom scales has a missing battery. Convenient<span style='font-family:"Segoe UI Symbol","sans-serif"'>😃</span><o:p></o:p></p></div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>To the business at hand, I was just illustrating how the A2E method works as a jockey rating method. The list is a small extract. <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>The reason for Hall having nothing for say 2400? is that I put a minimum of 50 rides. <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Interesting you mention P Hall. My speed ratings had Star Exhibit rated on top in the Perth Cup. If I had referred to the A2E list I would have been tipped out. Lol. <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>I confess that I have dug into the A2E side of things many years ago. Although I had no joy, I believe that Len incorporates A2E somewhere in his setup. So does Nick A. <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>At their level you are also massaging a Fav Long Shot (FLS) bias factor that would make my list more accurate. <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>I stumbled across the FLS bias factor in my Dr Z readings. Although talked about and quantified throughout the book I could not see the equation used. <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Roman I can forward through the complete list if you were interested.<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>As an aside., personally I have yet to incorporate a Jockey adjustment to my speed ratings. Or a trainer adjustment for that matter. I prefer to keep them in their rawest state, for now. <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>That being said, I have toyed with an average beaten margin index. The goal being to provide further separation / clarity to the ratings. As a rule of thumb <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>I get say 3 speed points to a length. Ie it oscillates around 3 depending on the distance and other factors. So I can easily multiply the index by say 3, and simply add on. The strength of the jockey would be borne out in the difference of the gross adjust. <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Despite having a access database with 10 years of data. incorporating these type of adjustments is like turning the Queen Mary around in Sydney harbour. <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Ideally you would be looking for a before versus an after set. My VBA skills are as such, that I cannot whip up code to achieve the above in a reasonable amount of time. <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Best regards Sean<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>On Tue, 22 Jan 2019 22:42 Roman <<a href="mailto:kozza1950@bigpond.com">kozza1950@bigpond.com</a> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><blockquote style='border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-right:0in'><div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>Hey Sean,</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>How’s life?</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>I am afraid I am missing the point of your stats. Yes, I can see Peter Hall is 0.51 at 1800m but Pike is the same over at 1100m with over 10 times the rides by Pike. </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>Why haven’t you provided P Hall at all distances? As for his figure of 2.04 for 1400m at just 59 rides is no indication, surely?</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>Why are the others incomplete?</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>Roman Koz</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>From:</span></b><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'> Racing [mailto:<a href="mailto:racing-bounces@ausrace.com" target="_blank">racing-bounces@ausrace.com</a>] <b>On Behalf Of </b>sean mclaren<br><b>Sent:</b> Tuesday, January 22, 2019 4:38 PM<br><b>To:</b> AusRace Racing Discussion List<br><b>Subject:</b> Re: [AusRace] Jockeys generally</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><div><table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0 width=511 style='width:383.0pt;border-collapse:collapse'><tr style='height:.2in'><td width=191 nowrap valign=bottom style='width:143.0pt;padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>JockeyA2ETable<br>AscotTrack</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td width=64 nowrap valign=bottom style='width:48.0pt;padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'></td><td width=64 nowrap valign=bottom style='width:48.0pt;padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'></td><td width=64 nowrap valign=bottom style='width:48.0pt;padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'></td><td width=64 nowrap valign=bottom style='width:48.0pt;padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'></td><td width=64 nowrap valign=bottom style='width:48.0pt;padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>Rider</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>Distance</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>Actual</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>Expected</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>Rides</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>A2E</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>DAMIAN LANE</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1200</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>7</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>22.25</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>178</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>0.31</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>DANIEL STAECK</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1000</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>3</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>20.40</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>157</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>0.15</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>DANIEL STAECK</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1200</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>12</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>20.40</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>206</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>0.59</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>DANIEL STAECK</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1400</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>19</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>19.39</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>222</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>0.98</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>DANIEL STAECK</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1600</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>11</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>7.68</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>59</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1.43</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>DANIEL STAECK</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1800</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>9</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>8.61</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>48</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1.05</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>LUCY WARWICK</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1000</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>19</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>11.83</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>150</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1.61</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>LUCY WARWICK</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1200</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>10</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>8.98</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>53</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1.11</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>PETER HALL</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1200</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>9</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>8.12</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>56</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1.11</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>PETER HALL</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1400</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>15</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>7.37</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>59</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>2.04</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>PETER HALL</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1600</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>18</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>22.28</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>184</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>0.81</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>PETER HALL</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1800</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>4</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>7.88</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>45</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>0.51</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>PETER KNUCKEY</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1000</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>26</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>64.45</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>381</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>0.40</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>PETER KNUCKEY</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1100</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>26</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>35.25</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>253</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>0.74</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>PETER KNUCKEY</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1200</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>36</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>34.01</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>207</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1.06</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>PETER KNUCKEY</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1400</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>27</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>24.39</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>159</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1.11</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>PETER KNUCKEY</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1600</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>11</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>40.31</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>214</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>0.27</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>PETER KNUCKEY</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1800</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>9</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>7.44</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>60</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1.21</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>WILLIAM PIKE</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1000</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>37</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>48.42</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>332</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>0.76</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>WILLIAM PIKE</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1100</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>41</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>80.55</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>571</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>0.51</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>WILLIAM PIKE</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1200</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>96</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>86.60</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>434</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1.11</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>WILLIAM PIKE</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1400</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>89</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>86.57</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>487</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1.03</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>WILLIAM PIKE</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1500</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>26</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>26.37</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>127</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>0.99</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>WILLIAM PIKE</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1600</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>79</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>70.15</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>474</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1.13</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>WILLIAM PIKE</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>1800</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>33</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>35.14</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>159</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>0.94</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr><tr style='height:.2in'><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>WILLIAM PIKE</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>2200</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>38</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>45.77</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>246</span><o:p></o:p></p></td><td nowrap valign=bottom style='padding:.75pt .75pt 0in .75pt;height:.2in'><p class=MsoNormal align=right style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;text-align:right'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>0.83</span><o:p></o:p></p></td></tr></table><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Here an extract of a few jocks in WA. The right hand column is the ROI for a $1.<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Caveat is these rides only include the first 5 in the market. Primitive means of extracting<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>the outliers.<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Essentially the over round is taken out and the markets reset to 100%. From there an expected <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>wins figure is arrived at. And ultimately checked against the actual. These have pulled at random.<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>The first couple are interesting. Remembering these are in the first 5.<o:p></o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>On Mon, Jan 21, 2019 at 5:13 PM L.B.Loveday <<a href="mailto:lloveday@ozemail.com.au" target="_blank">lloveday@ozemail.com.au</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><blockquote style='border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-top:5.0pt;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:5.0pt'><div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='color:black'>Tony,</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='color:black'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='color:black'>Did not get to me and I just saw it in the archives - a very different rating method to mine; I'll evaluate and comment anon.</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='color:black'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='color:black'>LBL</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='color:black'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='color:black'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>790*150-93-96 is the revealed racing stat for Linda Meech tomorrow - to</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>expand this Ms Leech has had 790 rides for 150 wins in the time frame</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>covered by this stat. My IV for that is 1.4, essentially she is 40% advanced</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>on some others in this race.</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>No rider gets less than 1, although the calculation is often less than</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>that, John Keating has .6 (scores a one in the scheme). Why? - he is on a</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>horse in the race and Bradbury's have happened, although I use the 1 for</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>statistical pureness, and to get rid of some decimals. To be factual, off a</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>calculation, Keating is somewhere like 80% more unlikely of producing a good</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>ride than Meech - he has 395*17-25-33 and is .6 against Meech at 1.4 (1.4 -</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>.6 is the basis of the claim for 80%).</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Jason Maskiell is also on 1.4 in this race, off 347*54-46-41. The factor is</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>0.300552251 (the average of all jockeys riding) and my fall back value is</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>.31 - if a jockey can't be rated (the data is missing e.g.) then I assign</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>that value to it early in the calculation.</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Roger Biggs wrote that he used .2595, which may be the statistical base of</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>all jockey placings across many rides. This has changed somewhat, there is a</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>jockey db. on RB Ratings. I am unaware of another method to rate and rank</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>jockeys against all their rides. They can only ride one horse in a race so</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>that the iv concocted from a large number of rides seems to be correct, and</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>I total all the rides for all jockeys in the race then divide that into all</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>the places achieved by all the jockeys, and from that sub-total I</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>individually determine an iv. </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>There is a place system for ranking jockeys when on favorites, but that is</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>not the jockey at all. Another time perhaps. Who likes, or wants, dividends</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>in the sub $2 range, most of us really. </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>This upcoming race has riders which have achieved 4708 rides totally under</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>the period of review, and of those rides those riders scored, placed, in</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>1415. So, 1415/4708 = .300552251 is the factor to be used. Individually</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Keating has 395*17-25-33 (17+25+33/395 = .1898734) and this product is again</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>divided by the total score .3005522512 to give the score of .6. These</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>numbers seem minimal, mickey mouse almost, but are a significant part of the</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>overall stat picture</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Trainers may have two or more runners in the race. I score them the same as</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>jockeys, total rides into total places (123) and develop a iv score from</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>that.</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Involving riders and trainers, getting a score from them combined, I</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>multiply their ivs and work with the product, ranking that.</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Meech 1.4, trainer 1.3 (1.4 * 1.3 = 1.82)</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Keating 1, trainer 1 (1 * 1 =1) actually .6 * .1. The trainer is yet to win</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>a race</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Maskiell 1.4, trainer 1 (1.4 * 1 = 1.4.</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Dylan Dunn = 1.1</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>There is some upside to Linda Meech ability, trainer ability.</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>This is R2 Kyneton tomorrow, a maiden and I'm not betting</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>in it, nor do I suggest you do.</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span lang=EN-AU style='color:black'> </span><o:p></o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>_______________________________________________<br>Racing mailing list<br><a href="mailto:Racing@ausrace.com" target="_blank">Racing@ausrace.com</a><br><a href="http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com" target="_blank">http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com</a><o:p></o:p></p></blockquote></div></div></div><p class=MsoNormal>_______________________________________________<br>Racing mailing list<br><a href="mailto:Racing@ausrace.com" target="_blank">Racing@ausrace.com</a><br><a href="http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com" target="_blank">http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com</a><o:p></o:p></p></blockquote></div></div></body></html>