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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-AU link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>"..</span> <i>you can’t argue with the sample size</i>"<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>Good day Greg; long time.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>I don't know his data base, so I can't argue with his sample size, but I can question the relevancy.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>450k Australian Galloping races takes us back to 1995, maybe even further back as you only considered races on which TAB bet and they don't bet on all races - an extreme example, TAB bet on 14 race meetings on 7/11/2017 out of 43 meetings that day (of course they had fewer races than Flem, Rand …).<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>But going back 23 years weights TAB analyses towards the good old days before TAB increased the take-outs (eg Trifecta 16% to 21%). The expansion of on-line betting, mobile apps, overseas syndicates, better information, faster computers, faster communications, rebates to big punters…. are factors that make, to my mind such outdated data fairly irrelevant. Then there is the 20% drop in TAB turnover in just the last 2 years.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>PAUSE - <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>I thought I'd better look at </span><a href="https://about.rewardbet.com/better-returns/">https://about.rewardbet.com/better-returns/</a>, before posting and I read there that the analysis was of 456,828 races from 2007-2018.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>I did not read further, because, Greg, there were nowhere near <b><i>"</i></b></span><b><i>Around 450,000 Aus galloping races"</i></b> let alone that many with TAB betting between 2007-2018, so now I <b>WILL</b> "<i>argue with the sample size</i>".<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>Cheers <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>LBL<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='color:black;mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><div><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0cm 0cm 0cm'><p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US>From:</span></b><span lang=EN-US> Racing [<a href="mailto:racing-bounces@ausrace.com">mailto:racing-bounces@ausrace.com</a>] <b>On Behalf Of </b>Greg Conroy<br><b>Sent:</b> Saturday, 24 February 2018 12:01 AM<br><b>To:</b> Ausrace Racing <<a href="mailto:racing@ausrace.com">racing@ausrace.com</a>><br><b>Subject:</b> [AusRace] 450,000 Races Analysed .... the results<o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Quiet list,<o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>REALLY enjoying the historical anecdotes and stories though! Thanks Tony.<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>If this was a facebook page, I’m sure you’d have hundreds of likes! <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>I wanted to share something with the #ausrace #intelligentsia<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>A professional punter I know, with one of Oz’s best databases, has analysed RewardBet’s staking across essentially EVERY method he can think of.<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>From single win bets to a myriad of ratings and other ways to bet (pyramid 2 x 4 x 5) etc.<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Around 450,000 Aus galloping races.<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>I present you the results: <a href="https://about.rewardbet.com/better-returns/">https://about.rewardbet.com/better-returns/</a><o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>I’m sure this will bring up a flurry of “staking” related comments but you can’t argue with the sample size.<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>AND it’s ONLY based on NSW TAB dividends :-)<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Finally, we’ve now been GRANTED a PATENT in EIGHT countries for our method (including AUS, as you’d know).<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>If I wanted punters to be more engaged with my operation (whether tote or bookie or virtual, etc) then I know how I’d do it …. provide a faster, smarter betting experience that is proven to #winmore.<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Cheers, Greg.<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></div></body></html>