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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-AU link="#0563C1" vlink="#954F72"><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>Hi Peter,<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>I have been playing around with displaying race results in Power BI and have now developed a very powerful way to check on a jockey’s performance over the last month last 3 months, last 6 months, last 12 months or longer. My race results data now goes back to September 2012 and covers over 1 ,0000, 000 horse runs. In general the better the jockey the better the strike rate but sadly the worse the punting return. For example Hugh Bowman has had a 19% strike rate over last 12 months (the average jockey strike rate is 10%) but you would lose about 11% on turnover if you backed every runner on TAB VIC in proportion to its odds. Compare that to Emily Finnegan in SA who has a 16% strike rate over last 12 months (some 440 rides) and you would have WON 14% on turnover if you backed every runner on TAB VIC ! <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>My Power BI race results site is available for FREE until the end of this year (compliments to Microsoft who is providing the service FREE for the time being) and I have just upgraded it to allow you to view the results of all runners in a race and then drill down by either horse (see all its runs since 2012) or jockey (summary of all rides since 2012) in a single mouse click. The jockey stats include analysis by month, by Grade, by Track Condition and by Distance. No surprise that Damien Oliver is the best and most profitable Aus jockey in staying races over the last 6 years. His ride on Almandin on Saturday was fantastic.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>If you have already registered then click on the link :<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN style='font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Segoe UI Light",sans-serif;color:#666666'><a href="https://track.azure.com/f/a/xovgAZ1iz49Pa2epuBQSTw~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRboPMSP0EIAKzeApsH_apXBG1zZnRYBAAAAABCCgACEm6-WUM4sM1SFmF1c3JhY2VAbmlja2F1YnJleS5jb20JUQQAAAAARNlodHRwczovL2FwcC5wb3dlcmJpLmNvbS9jbGFpbWludml0ZXJlZGlyZWN0Lmh0bWw_dGVuYW50PTYyYzdlZTE2LTI1YmYtNGIxNC1hM2E2LWU5OWJhNDliZDdhMyZpbnZpdGF0aW9uSWQ9YjdhYmMxZTUtMWQ5ZS00NTRmLTg5NDQtMTI1OTU1ODBkODA0VnFBdS43NDQzU1NTQ28tWjBWRVJhVnpSMU0zRnhxQlJxTTBvY2dpdkFrWSUzZCZlbWFpbD1hdXNyYWNlQG5pY2thdWJyZXkuY29tR8d7ImJpbmRpbmciOiJuZXdkZWRpY2F0ZWQiLCJCYXRjaElkIjoiNDA1YjU4MjYtM2U2YS00YzU2LThiYmItZjVjOTIxYjYyYzg4IiwiRW1haWxJZCI6ImJmZGI4ZGE0LWQ1YjgtNDZlOS1hN2RlLTUyMTliNzM0NWYyZiIsIlNlbnREYXRlS2V5IjoiMjAxNzA5MTcxMjQ0MDEiLCJUZW1wbGF0ZUlkIjoidGVtX2Y4eWNZZGZmakpxVFlkU2J5cEJoRHhRSCJ9Ew~~"><span style='color:#4481BD'>View ANCR Race Results in Power BI</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN style='font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Segoe UI Light",sans-serif;color:#666666'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>If you haven’t registered (its FREE) then go to <a href="http://www.puntforprofit.com.au/e-p-i-extreme-punter-intelligence/">http://www.puntforprofit.com.au/e-p-i-extreme-punter-intelligence/</a> and follow the prompts.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>All race results up to Saturday 16/9/2017 are included. And I update the results weekly.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>Cheers,<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-fareast-language:EN-US'>AN</span><span lang=EN style='font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Segoe UI Light",sans-serif;color:#666666'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><a name="_MailEndCompose"><span style='mso-fareast-language:EN-US'><o:p> </o:p></span></a></p><span style='mso-bookmark:_MailEndCompose'></span><div><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0cm 0cm 0cm'><p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US>From:</span></b><span lang=EN-US> Racing [mailto:racing-bounces@ausrace.com] <b>On Behalf Of </b>Peter Dean<br><b>Sent:</b> Friday, 15 September 2017 9:19 PM<br><b>To:</b> racing@ausrace.com<br><b>Subject:</b> [AusRace] Jockey Rating Thoughts<o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:12.0pt;background:white'><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black'>Hi,<o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black'>I am using a set of jockey ratings that have been calculated over a 12 mnth history.<o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black'>Naturally there are potentially some inaccuracies with jockeys currently out of form or others recently improved and not commanding a high rating.<o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:12.0pt;background:white'><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black'>My question is has anyone ever done any analysis to determine the optimum period over which to calculate the rating and how often to update it ?<o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:12.0pt;background:white'><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black'>Thanks in advance.<o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:12.0pt;background:white'><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black'>Peter<o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div></div></body></html>