[AusRace] FW: Robotic Racehorse Selection - a system

Tony Moffat tonymoffat at bigpond.com
Tue Nov 22 12:54:19 AEDT 2022


Mike - thanks, meanwhile a long term curmudgeon/critic has sent this to me
after last Saturday. These are (supposedly) system picks

 

Cheers

 

 

mr 1 Hypothethical won $2

mr2 Shuriken won $6

mr3 Dubenenko 3rd $18.30

mr4 All about Eve won $5.5

mr5 Too many choices (9)- 2 ran places

mr6 Parisian Dancer 2nd $4.20

mr7 Commnds the Field unp $11

mr8 Foxy Frida  unp

mr8 Bankers Choice won $3.30

mr9 Do Ya Punk 2nd $3

mr10 2nd and 3rd - a late scr was the best qualified all day too

sr1 nil selection

sr2  Crowned by Aces unp

sr2 Mr Rockit 3rd

sr3 Shameonus Won 

sr3 Tampering 2nd

sr4 Espirito Unp

sr5 Unplaced

sr6 Unplaced

sr7 Unplaced 

sr8 Unplaced 

sr9 Steely 2nd

sr10 Unplaced

 

Terrible - why do you bother?

 

 

 

From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of
mikemcbain at tpg.com.au
Sent: Tuesday, 22 November 2022 8:40 AM
To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
Subject: Re: [AusRace] Robotic Racehorse Selection - a system

 

Tony & Co

 

This one attracted my attention in a quiet punting week.

Using Neale Yardley's Bet Selector with every race in the last 25 years in
my database I determined that the two criteria of greatest importance were
the Same Track as last start and the Same Jockey as last start.

Then I tweaked a few other criteria and came up with the result for last
month below and it broke even for the last one year using Ladbroke prices.

 

Mike.

 

[CODE]SYSTEM SUMMARY FOR: MY SYSTEMS2_REPEATERS 01/10/2022-31/10/2022

0.REPNAME=repeaters,CALCMIN=1,CALCMAX=99999,CALCRANKMIN=1,CALCRANKMAX=1,CALC
NAME=repeaters

1.LOCATION$"SMBAWXsmbaw"

SAME=.T.

H:JOCKEY==F:JOCKEY

WITHIN(H:DDIST,-250,600)

WITHIN(H:DWGT,-5.0,5.0)

H:STARTS<44

WITHIN(H:DAYS,4,40)

H:BP<11

F:FIN<6

F:MARG<16

Several other Minor Tweaks..... 

SYSTEM RESULTS FOR: MY SYSTEMS2_REPEATERS 01/10/2022-31/10/2022 

                 WIN      PLACE    QUINELLA    EXACTA    TRIFECTA   FIRST
FOUR

Races Bet:      75        73         75         75          75           75

Races Won:      34        54         42         31          24           17

S.R./Race:      45.3%     74.0%      56.0%      41.3%       32.0%
22.7%

Outlay($):      75.00     73.00     368.00     368.00     1454.00
4356.00

Return   :      91.35     74.82     393.20     389.40     1842.30
3489.40

$ Profit :      16.35      1.82      25.20      21.40      388.30
-866.60

% P.O.T. :      21.8%      2.5%       6.8%       5.8%       26.7%
-19.9%

Top Win Return: $99.25   Top Win Profit: $24.25   Top Win % P.O.T.: 32.3%

[/CODE]



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