[AusRace] FW: Robotic Racehorse Selection - a system
Tony Moffat
tonymoffat at bigpond.com
Tue Nov 22 12:54:19 AEDT 2022
Mike - thanks, meanwhile a long term curmudgeon/critic has sent this to me
after last Saturday. These are (supposedly) system picks
Cheers
mr 1 Hypothethical won $2
mr2 Shuriken won $6
mr3 Dubenenko 3rd $18.30
mr4 All about Eve won $5.5
mr5 Too many choices (9)- 2 ran places
mr6 Parisian Dancer 2nd $4.20
mr7 Commnds the Field unp $11
mr8 Foxy Frida unp
mr8 Bankers Choice won $3.30
mr9 Do Ya Punk 2nd $3
mr10 2nd and 3rd - a late scr was the best qualified all day too
sr1 nil selection
sr2 Crowned by Aces unp
sr2 Mr Rockit 3rd
sr3 Shameonus Won
sr3 Tampering 2nd
sr4 Espirito Unp
sr5 Unplaced
sr6 Unplaced
sr7 Unplaced
sr8 Unplaced
sr9 Steely 2nd
sr10 Unplaced
Terrible - why do you bother?
From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of
mikemcbain at tpg.com.au
Sent: Tuesday, 22 November 2022 8:40 AM
To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
Subject: Re: [AusRace] Robotic Racehorse Selection - a system
Tony & Co
This one attracted my attention in a quiet punting week.
Using Neale Yardley's Bet Selector with every race in the last 25 years in
my database I determined that the two criteria of greatest importance were
the Same Track as last start and the Same Jockey as last start.
Then I tweaked a few other criteria and came up with the result for last
month below and it broke even for the last one year using Ladbroke prices.
Mike.
[CODE]SYSTEM SUMMARY FOR: MY SYSTEMS2_REPEATERS 01/10/2022-31/10/2022
0.REPNAME=repeaters,CALCMIN=1,CALCMAX=99999,CALCRANKMIN=1,CALCRANKMAX=1,CALC
NAME=repeaters
1.LOCATION$"SMBAWXsmbaw"
SAME=.T.
H:JOCKEY==F:JOCKEY
WITHIN(H:DDIST,-250,600)
WITHIN(H:DWGT,-5.0,5.0)
H:STARTS<44
WITHIN(H:DAYS,4,40)
H:BP<11
F:FIN<6
F:MARG<16
Several other Minor Tweaks.....
SYSTEM RESULTS FOR: MY SYSTEMS2_REPEATERS 01/10/2022-31/10/2022
WIN PLACE QUINELLA EXACTA TRIFECTA FIRST
FOUR
Races Bet: 75 73 75 75 75 75
Races Won: 34 54 42 31 24 17
S.R./Race: 45.3% 74.0% 56.0% 41.3% 32.0%
22.7%
Outlay($): 75.00 73.00 368.00 368.00 1454.00
4356.00
Return : 91.35 74.82 393.20 389.40 1842.30
3489.40
$ Profit : 16.35 1.82 25.20 21.40 388.30
-866.60
% P.O.T. : 21.8% 2.5% 6.8% 5.8% 26.7%
-19.9%
Top Win Return: $99.25 Top Win Profit: $24.25 Top Win % P.O.T.: 32.3%
[/CODE]
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