From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Thu Oct 1 08:05:35 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Thu, 1 Oct 2020 08:05:35 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] Randwick 4 In-Reply-To: <001001d696f9$db0b6af0$912240d0$@tpg.com.au> References: <00a901d696f4$5a935540$0fb9ffc0$@ozemail.com.au> <001001d696f9$db0b6af0$912240d0$@tpg.com.au> Message-ID: <00f501d69775$d5411b70$7fc35250$@ozemail.com.au> Mike, The missus is a newcomer to watching races, but she said "Must have been paid". From: Racing On Behalf Of mikemcbain at tpg.com.au Sent: Wednesday, 30 September 2020 17:18 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] Randwick 4 Len I saw that but how about the first four Jocks blocking my #8 Jailbreak? That must have been one of Nash Rawiller's worst rides? Too me it looked like the result had been organised in the change room? Mike. From: Racing > On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Wednesday, 30 September 2020 16:39 To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] Randwick 4 I'm spending too much time watching races and too little in the pub, so I watched Randwick 4, in which I had backed #3 place only. WTF did JMcDonald, riding #2, turn his head "180 degrees" to look behind him about 15m from the post, throwing the horse off balance and letting my #3 snatch 3rd? He "must" get suspended! -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 10537 bytes Desc: not available URL: From conceptracing at bigpond.com Thu Oct 1 16:02:58 2020 From: conceptracing at bigpond.com (Ken Blake) Date: Thu, 1 Oct 2020 14:02:58 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Randwick 4 In-Reply-To: <00f501d69775$d5411b70$7fc35250$@ozemail.com.au> References: <00a901d696f4$5a935540$0fb9ffc0$@ozemail.com.au> <001001d696f9$db0b6af0$912240d0$@tpg.com.au> <00f501d69775$d5411b70$7fc35250$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <000d01d697b8$83d52950$8b7f7bf0$@bigpond.com> Official Steward's Report: Jailbreak - had to be checked approaching the winning post when Xanthus, after shifting out, was corrected by its rider and shifted in abruptly. An inquiry was opened into N Rawiller's riding of the gelding in the home straight. After taking evidence from N Rawiller, the Stewards adjourned the matter to conduct further analysis on the race. From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Thursday, October 1, 2020 6:06 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] Randwick 4 Mike, The missus is a newcomer to watching races, but she said "Must have been paid". From: Racing On Behalf Of mikemcbain at tpg.com.au Sent: Wednesday, 30 September 2020 17:18 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Randwick 4 Len I saw that but how about the first four Jocks blocking my #8 Jailbreak? That must have been one of Nash Rawiller's worst rides? Too me it looked like the result had been organised in the change room? Mike. From: Racing > On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Wednesday, 30 September 2020 16:39 To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] Randwick 4 I'm spending too much time watching races and too little in the pub, so I watched Randwick 4, in which I had backed #3 place only. WTF did JMcDonald, riding #2, turn his head "180 degrees" to look behind him about 15m from the post, throwing the horse off balance and letting my #3 snatch 3rd? He "must" get suspended! -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 10537 bytes Desc: not available URL: From mikemcbain at tpg.com.au Thu Oct 1 17:06:26 2020 From: mikemcbain at tpg.com.au (mikemcbain at tpg.com.au) Date: Thu, 1 Oct 2020 17:06:26 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] Randwick 4 In-Reply-To: <000d01d697b8$83d52950$8b7f7bf0$@bigpond.com> References: <00a901d696f4$5a935540$0fb9ffc0$@ozemail.com.au> <001001d696f9$db0b6af0$912240d0$@tpg.com.au> <00f501d69775$d5411b70$7fc35250$@ozemail.com.au> <000d01d697b8$83d52950$8b7f7bf0$@bigpond.com> Message-ID: <004f01d697c1$618ef750$24ace5f0$@tpg.com.au> Thanks Len & Ken Jailbreak happened to be my biggest bet of the week and I managed to get $7.40 about it so I am crying through my kick! Mike. From: Racing On Behalf Of Ken Blake Sent: Thursday, 1 October 2020 16:03 To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] Randwick 4 Official Steward's Report: Jailbreak - had to be checked approaching the winning post when Xanthus, after shifting out, was corrected by its rider and shifted in abruptly. An inquiry was opened into N Rawiller's riding of the gelding in the home straight. After taking evidence from N Rawiller, the Stewards adjourned the matter to conduct further analysis on the race. From: Racing > On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Thursday, October 1, 2020 6:06 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Randwick 4 Mike, The missus is a newcomer to watching races, but she said "Must have been paid". From: Racing On Behalf Of mikemcbain at tpg.com.au Sent: Wednesday, 30 September 2020 17:18 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Randwick 4 Len I saw that but how about the first four Jocks blocking my #8 Jailbreak? That must have been one of Nash Rawiller's worst rides? Too me it looked like the result had been organised in the change room? Mike. From: Racing > On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Wednesday, 30 September 2020 16:39 To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] Randwick 4 I'm spending too much time watching races and too little in the pub, so I watched Randwick 4, in which I had backed #3 place only. WTF did JMcDonald, riding #2, turn his head "180 degrees" to look behind him about 15m from the post, throwing the horse off balance and letting my #3 snatch 3rd? He "must" get suspended! -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 10537 bytes Desc: not available URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Sun Oct 4 03:13:46 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Sun, 4 Oct 2020 03:13:46 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases Message-ID: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site show: 2 Presley Road T: Damien Rideout J: Matthew McGillivray 6 Blame It On Paris T: Zoe Hohn J: Emma Bell While the Stewards' report shows: Summary of rider changes/Late notifications Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD - M McGillivray BLAME IT ON PARIS - Z White This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: Adelaide River, Atherton, Barraba, Bluff, Bundarra, Buchan And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't trust the data I have. LBL -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From seanmac4321 at gmail.com Sun Oct 4 10:42:35 2020 From: seanmac4321 at gmail.com (sean mclaren) Date: Sun, 4 Oct 2020 09:42:35 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: Len, go to hong kong. the top weight gets scratched. the emergency no 13, gets a run; and in HK it's TAB number now has changed to no 1. when the emergency wins, and as it is now no. 1. my data provider credits the scratched horse as the winner ! cleaning data the bane of my life. cheers sean On Sun, Oct 4, 2020 at 2:15 AM L.B.Loveday wrote: > An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: > > > > > > The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site > show: > > 2 Presley Road > > T: Damien Rideout > > J: Matthew McGillivray > > 6 Blame It On Paris > > T: Zoe Hohn > > J: Emma Bell > > > > While the Stewards' report shows: > > > > Summary of rider changes/Late notifications > > Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray > > BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White > > > > This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep > trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: > > > > Adelaide River, > > Atherton, > > Barraba, > > Bluff, > > Bundarra, > > Buchan > > > > And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't > trust the data I have. > > > > LBL > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Mon Oct 5 04:15:58 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Mon, 5 Oct 2020 04:15:58 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <000001d69a72$08cf7050$1a6e50f0$@ozemail.com.au> Then there are the SP markets, which in about 0.6% of times are <100% because of barrier scratchings, and in many other cases low 100s, not reflecting the real SP after deductions, but are still used by touts to promote their systems. I calculate a normalised 100% market for every race, not by the simple method of dividing each price by the market%*100, but taking into account the "long shot effect" and use that as the basis for comparing returns. Using on-line bookmakers prices is also fraught. Here's the final prices as per Dynamic Odds from a number of bookmakers on Race 7 at the Sunshine Coast 27/9/2020: The discrepancy between the BBet and the others is obvious from the first 2 favourites, #2 and #6: However, the SPs are right, so the SOPs have been determined considering actual final prices from the (10?) designated bookmakers and the formula used to determine SOP. Why is BBet the only one right? I can't know, but there were 21 races that day so impacted, the others were ok. And so on; Life was not meant to be easy, and is not easy for punters. From: Racing On Behalf Of sean mclaren Sent: Sunday, 4 October 2020 10:43 AM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases Len, go to hong kong. the top weight gets scratched. the emergency no 13, gets a run; and in HK it's TAB number now has changed to no 1. when the emergency wins, and as it is now no. 1. my data provider credits the scratched horse as the winner ! cleaning data the bane of my life. cheers sean On Sun, Oct 4, 2020 at 2:15 AM L.B.Loveday > wrote: An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site show: 2 Presley Road T: Damien Rideout J: Matthew McGillivray 6 Blame It On Paris T: Zoe Hohn J: Emma Bell While the Stewards' report shows: Summary of rider changes/Late notifications Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: Adelaide River, Atherton, Barraba, Bluff, Bundarra, Buchan And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't trust the data I have. LBL _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 124436 bytes Desc: not available URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Mon Oct 5 04:51:48 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Mon, 5 Oct 2020 04:51:48 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: <000001d69a72$08cf7050$1a6e50f0$@ozemail.com.au> References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69a72$08cf7050$1a6e50f0$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <000d01d69a77$0a429610$1ec7c230$@ozemail.com.au> Then yesterday, Hobart 6/8 Our Artie, definitely ran - I've seen the replay, but given as a scratching on TasRacing's web-site, and on WATAB, albeit with tote prices displayed, but not on TAB's site which displays Fixed and tote prices. Weighed in light? Have to wait for the Steward's report for that one. Or Mike McBain. From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Monday, 5 October 2020 4:16 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases Then there are the SP markets, which in about 0.6% of times are <100% because of barrier scratchings, and in many other cases low 100s, not reflecting the real SP after deductions, but are still used by touts to promote their systems. I calculate a normalised 100% market for every race, not by the simple method of dividing each price by the market%*100, but taking into account the "long shot effect" and use that as the basis for comparing returns. Using on-line bookmakers prices is also fraught. Here's the final prices as per Dynamic Odds from a number of bookmakers on Race 7 at the Sunshine Coast 27/9/2020: The discrepancy between the BBet and the others is obvious from the first 2 favourites, #2 and #6: However, the SPs are right, so the SOPs have been determined considering actual final prices from the (10?) designated bookmakers and the formula used to determine SOP. Why is BBet the only one right? I can't know, but there were 21 races that day so impacted, the others were ok. And so on; Life was not meant to be easy, and is not easy for punters. From: Racing On Behalf Of sean mclaren Sent: Sunday, 4 October 2020 10:43 AM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases Len, go to hong kong. the top weight gets scratched. the emergency no 13, gets a run; and in HK it's TAB number now has changed to no 1. when the emergency wins, and as it is now no. 1. my data provider credits the scratched horse as the winner ! cleaning data the bane of my life. cheers sean On Sun, Oct 4, 2020 at 2:15 AM L.B.Loveday > wrote: An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site show: 2 Presley Road T: Damien Rideout J: Matthew McGillivray 6 Blame It On Paris T: Zoe Hohn J: Emma Bell While the Stewards' report shows: Summary of rider changes/Late notifications Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: Adelaide River, Atherton, Barraba, Bluff, Bundarra, Buchan And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't trust the data I have. LBL _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 124436 bytes Desc: not available URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Mon Oct 5 05:02:51 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Mon, 5 Oct 2020 05:02:51 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: <000d01d69a77$0a429610$1ec7c230$@ozemail.com.au> References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69a72$08cf7050$1a6e50f0$@ozemail.com.au> <000d01d69a77$0a429610$1ec7c230$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <001801d69a78$950d5400$bf27fc00$@ozemail.com.au> And women jockeys - one day she's LDoodt, the next LBoyd. From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Monday, 5 October 2020 4:52 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases Then yesterday, Hobart 6/8 Our Artie, definitely ran - I've seen the replay, but given as a scratching on TasRacing's web-site, and on WATAB, albeit with tote prices displayed, but not on TAB's site which displays Fixed and tote prices. Weighed in light? Have to wait for the Steward's report for that one. Or Mike McBain. From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Monday, 5 October 2020 4:16 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases Then there are the SP markets, which in about 0.6% of times are <100% because of barrier scratchings, and in many other cases low 100s, not reflecting the real SP after deductions, but are still used by touts to promote their systems. I calculate a normalised 100% market for every race, not by the simple method of dividing each price by the market%*100, but taking into account the "long shot effect" and use that as the basis for comparing returns. Using on-line bookmakers prices is also fraught. Here's the final prices as per Dynamic Odds from a number of bookmakers on Race 7 at the Sunshine Coast 27/9/2020: The discrepancy between the BBet and the others is obvious from the first 2 favourites, #2 and #6: However, the SPs are right, so the SOPs have been determined considering actual final prices from the (10?) designated bookmakers and the formula used to determine SOP. Why is BBet the only one right? I can't know, but there were 21 races that day so impacted, the others were ok. And so on; Life was not meant to be easy, and is not easy for punters. From: Racing On Behalf Of sean mclaren Sent: Sunday, 4 October 2020 10:43 AM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases Len, go to hong kong. the top weight gets scratched. the emergency no 13, gets a run; and in HK it's TAB number now has changed to no 1. when the emergency wins, and as it is now no. 1. my data provider credits the scratched horse as the winner ! cleaning data the bane of my life. cheers sean On Sun, Oct 4, 2020 at 2:15 AM L.B.Loveday > wrote: An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site show: 2 Presley Road T: Damien Rideout J: Matthew McGillivray 6 Blame It On Paris T: Zoe Hohn J: Emma Bell While the Stewards' report shows: Summary of rider changes/Late notifications Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: Adelaide River, Atherton, Barraba, Bluff, Bundarra, Buchan And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't trust the data I have. LBL _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 124436 bytes Desc: not available URL: From seanmac4321 at gmail.com Mon Oct 5 07:01:07 2020 From: seanmac4321 at gmail.com (sean mclaren) Date: Mon, 5 Oct 2020 06:01:07 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: <000d01d69a77$0a429610$1ec7c230$@ozemail.com.au> References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69a72$08cf7050$1a6e50f0$@ozemail.com.au> <000d01d69a77$0a429610$1ec7c230$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: i have it as scratched. On Mon, Oct 5, 2020 at 3:52 AM L.B.Loveday wrote: > Then yesterday, Hobart 6/8 Our Artie, definitely ran - I've seen the > replay, but given as a scratching on TasRacing's web-site, and on WATAB, > albeit with tote prices displayed, but not on TAB's site which displays > Fixed and tote prices. > > > > Weighed in light? Have to wait for the Steward's report for that one. Or > Mike McBain. > > > > *From:* Racing *On Behalf Of *L.B.Loveday > *Sent:* Monday, 5 October 2020 4:16 AM > *To:* 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > *Subject:* Re: [AusRace] Data Bases > > > > Then there are the SP markets, which in about 0.6% of times are <100% > because of barrier scratchings, and in many other cases low 100s, not > reflecting the real SP after deductions, but are still used by touts to > promote their systems. > > I calculate a normalised 100% market for every race, not by the simple > method of dividing each price by the market%*100, but taking into account > the "long shot effect" and use that as the basis for comparing returns. > > > > Using on-line bookmakers prices is also fraught. > > > > Here's the final prices as per Dynamic Odds from a number of bookmakers on > Race 7 at the Sunshine Coast 27/9/2020: > > > > > > > > The discrepancy between the BBet and the others is obvious from the first > 2 favourites, #2 and #6: > > > > However, the SPs are right, so the SOPs have been determined considering > actual final prices from the (10?) designated bookmakers and the formula > used to determine SOP. > > > > Why is BBet the only one right? I can't know, but there were 21 races that > day so impacted, the others were ok. > > > > And so on; Life was not meant to be easy, and is not easy for punters. > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > *From:* Racing *On Behalf Of *sean mclaren > *Sent:* Sunday, 4 October 2020 10:43 AM > *To:* AusRace Racing Discussion List > *Subject:* Re: [AusRace] Data Bases > > > > Len, go to hong kong. > > > > the top weight gets scratched. > > > > the emergency no 13, gets a run; and in HK it's TAB number now has changed > to no 1. > > > > when the emergency wins, and as it is now no. 1. > > > > my data provider credits the scratched horse as the winner ! > > > > cleaning data the bane of my life. > > > > cheers sean > > > > On Sun, Oct 4, 2020 at 2:15 AM L.B.Loveday > wrote: > > An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: > > > > > > The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site > show: > > 2 Presley Road > > T: Damien Rideout > > J: Matthew McGillivray > > 6 Blame It On Paris > > T: Zoe Hohn > > J: Emma Bell > > > > While the Stewards' report shows: > > > > Summary of rider changes/Late notifications > > Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray > > BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White > > > > This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep > trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: > > > > Adelaide River, > > Atherton, > > Barraba, > > Bluff, > > Bundarra, > > Buchan > > > > And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't > trust the data I have. > > > > LBL > > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 124436 bytes Desc: not available URL: From seanmac4321 at gmail.com Mon Oct 5 07:03:59 2020 From: seanmac4321 at gmail.com (sean mclaren) Date: Mon, 5 Oct 2020 06:03:59 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: i have n day as jockey. yuk. On Sun, Oct 4, 2020 at 2:15 AM L.B.Loveday wrote: > An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: > > > > > > The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site > show: > > 2 Presley Road > > T: Damien Rideout > > J: Matthew McGillivray > > 6 Blame It On Paris > > T: Zoe Hohn > > J: Emma Bell > > > > While the Stewards' report shows: > > > > Summary of rider changes/Late notifications > > Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray > > BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White > > > > This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep > trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: > > > > Adelaide River, > > Atherton, > > Barraba, > > Bluff, > > Bundarra, > > Buchan > > > > And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't > trust the data I have. > > > > LBL > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Mon Oct 5 08:39:22 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Mon, 5 Oct 2020 08:39:22 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69a72$08cf7050$1a6e50f0$@ozemail.com.au> <000d01d69a77$0a429610$1ec7c230$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <002a01d69a96$d50a1cf0$7f1e56d0$@ozemail.com.au> Here's WATAB's take: Betting closed 15:45:44; Scheduled starting time was 15:45, so that ties in Horse scratched 14:41. But bookmakers were betting on it to the jump at 15:45:45, and a horse with saddle cloth #8, named as Our Artie by the caller definitely ran. From: Racing On Behalf Of sean mclaren Sent: Monday, 5 October 2020 7:01 AM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases i have it as scratched. On Mon, Oct 5, 2020 at 3:52 AM L.B.Loveday > wrote: Then yesterday, Hobart 6/8 Our Artie, definitely ran - I've seen the replay, but given as a scratching on TasRacing's web-site, and on WATAB, albeit with tote prices displayed, but not on TAB's site which displays Fixed and tote prices. Weighed in light? Have to wait for the Steward's report for that one. Or Mike McBain. From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Monday, 5 October 2020 4:16 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases Then there are the SP markets, which in about 0.6% of times are <100% because of barrier scratchings, and in many other cases low 100s, not reflecting the real SP after deductions, but are still used by touts to promote their systems. I calculate a normalised 100% market for every race, not by the simple method of dividing each price by the market%*100, but taking into account the "long shot effect" and use that as the basis for comparing returns. Using on-line bookmakers prices is also fraught. Here's the final prices as per Dynamic Odds from a number of bookmakers on Race 7 at the Sunshine Coast 27/9/2020: The discrepancy between the BBet and the others is obvious from the first 2 favourites, #2 and #6: However, the SPs are right, so the SOPs have been determined considering actual final prices from the (10?) designated bookmakers and the formula used to determine SOP. Why is BBet the only one right? I can't know, but there were 21 races that day so impacted, the others were ok. And so on; Life was not meant to be easy, and is not easy for punters. From: Racing On Behalf Of sean mclaren Sent: Sunday, 4 October 2020 10:43 AM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases Len, go to hong kong. the top weight gets scratched. the emergency no 13, gets a run; and in HK it's TAB number now has changed to no 1. when the emergency wins, and as it is now no. 1. my data provider credits the scratched horse as the winner ! cleaning data the bane of my life. cheers sean On Sun, Oct 4, 2020 at 2:15 AM L.B.Loveday > wrote: An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site show: 2 Presley Road T: Damien Rideout J: Matthew McGillivray 6 Blame It On Paris T: Zoe Hohn J: Emma Bell While the Stewards' report shows: Summary of rider changes/Late notifications Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: Adelaide River, Atherton, Barraba, Bluff, Bundarra, Buchan And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't trust the data I have. LBL _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 28653 bytes Desc: not available URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image002.png Type: image/png Size: 13817 bytes Desc: not available URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image003.png Type: image/png Size: 124436 bytes Desc: not available URL: From mikemcbain at tpg.com.au Mon Oct 5 09:22:52 2020 From: mikemcbain at tpg.com.au (mikemcbain at tpg.com.au) Date: Mon, 5 Oct 2020 09:22:52 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: <000d01d69a77$0a429610$1ec7c230$@ozemail.com.au> References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69a72$08cf7050$1a6e50f0$@ozemail.com.au> <000d01d69a77$0a429610$1ec7c230$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <002801d69a9c$e6aea830$b40bf890$@tpg.com.au> Sorry Len, but I can?t think of a worse day out than actually going to the races here in Tas these days. And my days of having a beer or game of squash with the Trainers, Jockeys and Stewards are over unfortunately. Mike. From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Monday, 5 October 2020 04:52 To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases Then yesterday, Hobart 6/8 Our Artie, definitely ran - I've seen the replay, but given as a scratching on TasRacing's web-site, and on WATAB, albeit with tote prices displayed, but not on TAB's site which displays Fixed and tote prices. Weighed in light? Have to wait for the Steward's report for that one. Or Mike McBain. From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Monday, 5 October 2020 4:16 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases Then there are the SP markets, which in about 0.6% of times are <100% because of barrier scratchings, and in many other cases low 100s, not reflecting the real SP after deductions, but are still used by touts to promote their systems. I calculate a normalised 100% market for every race, not by the simple method of dividing each price by the market%*100, but taking into account the "long shot effect" and use that as the basis for comparing returns. Using on-line bookmakers prices is also fraught. Here's the final prices as per Dynamic Odds from a number of bookmakers on Race 7 at the Sunshine Coast 27/9/2020: The discrepancy between the BBet and the others is obvious from the first 2 favourites, #2 and #6: However, the SPs are right, so the SOPs have been determined considering actual final prices from the (10?) designated bookmakers and the formula used to determine SOP. Why is BBet the only one right? I can't know, but there were 21 races that day so impacted, the others were ok. And so on; Life was not meant to be easy, and is not easy for punters. From: Racing On Behalf Of sean mclaren Sent: Sunday, 4 October 2020 10:43 AM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases Len, go to hong kong. the top weight gets scratched. the emergency no 13, gets a run; and in HK it's TAB number now has changed to no 1. when the emergency wins, and as it is now no. 1. my data provider credits the scratched horse as the winner ! cleaning data the bane of my life. cheers sean On Sun, Oct 4, 2020 at 2:15 AM L.B.Loveday > wrote: An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site show: 2 Presley Road T: Damien Rideout J: Matthew McGillivray 6 Blame It On Paris T: Zoe Hohn J: Emma Bell While the Stewards' report shows: Summary of rider changes/Late notifications Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: Adelaide River, Atherton, Barraba, Bluff, Bundarra, Buchan And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't trust the data I have. LBL _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 124436 bytes Desc: not available URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Mon Oct 5 21:39:34 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Mon, 5 Oct 2020 21:39:34 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <000001d69b03$d2b0d620$78128260$@ozemail.com.au> Beaudesert Race 6 today highlights the difference between SP (SOP) and individual bookmakers' prices. The late scratching of the favourite#3 resulted in a SP market of 104.7%, while Bet365 was betting 79.5% with deductions applicable to bets at either. From: L.B.Loveday Sent: Monday, 5 October 2020 4:16 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: RE: [AusRace] Data Bases Then there are the SP markets, which in about 0.6% of times are <100% because of barrier scratchings, and in many other cases low 100s, not reflecting the real SP after deductions, but are still used by touts to promote their systems. I calculate a normalised 100% market for every race, not by the simple method of dividing each price by the market%*100, but taking into account the "long shot effect" and use that as the basis for comparing returns. Using on-line bookmakers prices is also fraught. Here's the final prices as per Dynamic Odds from a number of bookmakers on Race 7 at the Sunshine Coast 27/9/2020: The discrepancy between the BBet and the others is obvious from the first 2 favourites, #2 and #6: However, the SPs are right, so the SOPs have been determined considering actual final prices from the (10?) designated bookmakers and the formula used to determine SOP. Why is BBet the only one right? I can't know, but there were 21 races that day so impacted, the others were ok. And so on; Life was not meant to be easy, and is not easy for punters. From: Racing On Behalf Of sean mclaren Sent: Sunday, 4 October 2020 10:43 AM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases Len, go to hong kong. the top weight gets scratched. the emergency no 13, gets a run; and in HK it's TAB number now has changed to no 1. when the emergency wins, and as it is now no. 1. my data provider credits the scratched horse as the winner ! cleaning data the bane of my life. cheers sean On Sun, Oct 4, 2020 at 2:15 AM L.B.Loveday > wrote: An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site show: 2 Presley Road T: Damien Rideout J: Matthew McGillivray 6 Blame It On Paris T: Zoe Hohn J: Emma Bell While the Stewards' report shows: Summary of rider changes/Late notifications Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: Adelaide River, Atherton, Barraba, Bluff, Bundarra, Buchan And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't trust the data I have. LBL _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 124436 bytes Desc: not available URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Tue Oct 6 06:57:32 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Tue, 6 Oct 2020 06:57:32 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69a72$08cf7050$1a6e50f0$@ozemail.com.au> <000d01d69a77$0a429610$1ec7c230$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <000001d69b51$c54e0810$4fea1830$@ozemail.com.au> Now re-instated on TasRacing. Definite runner. From: Racing On Behalf Of sean mclaren Sent: Monday, 5 October 2020 7:01 AM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases i have it as scratched. On Mon, Oct 5, 2020 at 3:52 AM L.B.Loveday > wrote: Then yesterday, Hobart 6/8 Our Artie, definitely ran - I've seen the replay, but given as a scratching on TasRacing's web-site, and on WATAB, albeit with tote prices displayed, but not on TAB's site which displays Fixed and tote prices. Weighed in light? Have to wait for the Steward's report for that one. Or Mike McBain. From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Monday, 5 October 2020 4:16 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases Then there are the SP markets, which in about 0.6% of times are <100% because of barrier scratchings, and in many other cases low 100s, not reflecting the real SP after deductions, but are still used by touts to promote their systems. I calculate a normalised 100% market for every race, not by the simple method of dividing each price by the market%*100, but taking into account the "long shot effect" and use that as the basis for comparing returns. Using on-line bookmakers prices is also fraught. Here's the final prices as per Dynamic Odds from a number of bookmakers on Race 7 at the Sunshine Coast 27/9/2020: The discrepancy between the BBet and the others is obvious from the first 2 favourites, #2 and #6: However, the SPs are right, so the SOPs have been determined considering actual final prices from the (10?) designated bookmakers and the formula used to determine SOP. Why is BBet the only one right? I can't know, but there were 21 races that day so impacted, the others were ok. And so on; Life was not meant to be easy, and is not easy for punters. From: Racing On Behalf Of sean mclaren Sent: Sunday, 4 October 2020 10:43 AM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases Len, go to hong kong. the top weight gets scratched. the emergency no 13, gets a run; and in HK it's TAB number now has changed to no 1. when the emergency wins, and as it is now no. 1. my data provider credits the scratched horse as the winner ! cleaning data the bane of my life. cheers sean On Sun, Oct 4, 2020 at 2:15 AM L.B.Loveday > wrote: An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site show: 2 Presley Road T: Damien Rideout J: Matthew McGillivray 6 Blame It On Paris T: Zoe Hohn J: Emma Bell While the Stewards' report shows: Summary of rider changes/Late notifications Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: Adelaide River, Atherton, Barraba, Bluff, Bundarra, Buchan And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't trust the data I have. LBL _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 124436 bytes Desc: not available URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Tue Oct 6 07:02:44 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Tue, 6 Oct 2020 07:02:44 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] TAB - keeping customers informed Message-ID: <000601d69b52$7ea367b0$7bea3710$@ozemail.com.au> -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 144937 bytes Desc: not available URL: From greg.j.conroy at gmail.com Tue Oct 6 14:20:12 2020 From: greg.j.conroy at gmail.com (Greg Conroy) Date: Tue, 6 Oct 2020 14:20:12 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] My first book - available now! Discount for you all! In-Reply-To: <000001d69b51$c54e0810$4fea1830$@ozemail.com.au> References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69a72$08cf7050$1a6e50f0$@ozemail.com.au> <000d01d69a77$0a429610$1ec7c230$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69b51$c54e0810$4fea1830$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: Hi all, During lockdown I?ve finished my first book - decades of punting intelligence - called Win Without Form. Taken over a year to finish - I had many pre-purchases last year and thus there?s some brilliant feedback already available upon launch. As a launch bonus for my Ausrace friends - use PROMO code (on final part of checkout) of ?25OFF? and receive a 25% discount. (Offer closes 11pm this Sunday) Guarantee what?s inside will change the way you think about punting. And even some of my $20 punters that have bought it have told me they have won enough to cover the purchase in the first week. (In fact Donald R2 just run was an example of the OONV system that comes as a bonus with the book) Check it out here: www.winwithoutform.com Cheers, Greg. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: mockup-of-a-paperback-book-placed-on-a-wooden-table-33655.jpeg Type: image/jpeg Size: 117539 bytes Desc: not available URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Wed Oct 7 07:11:41 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Wed, 7 Oct 2020 07:11:41 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <000001d69c1c$e9c55790$bd5006b0$@ozemail.com.au> Hi L.B Apologies for the misunderstanding. Zoe White was definitely the rider of BLAME IT ON PARIS at Yeppoon on that day. Initially Emma Bell was down to ride the horse but unfortunately couldn't attend the meeting. I'm unaware of why the RQ website is still displaying Emma Bell when the riding change was effected 24 hours prior, but it is something I will chase up with RQ Thanks for bringing this to our attention and apologies once again Tate Hudson Stipendiary Steward Rockhampton From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Sunday, 4 October 2020 3:14 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site show: 2 Presley Road T: Damien Rideout J: Matthew McGillivray 6 Blame It On Paris T: Zoe Hohn J: Emma Bell While the Stewards' report shows: Summary of rider changes/Late notifications Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD - M McGillivray BLAME IT ON PARIS - Z White This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: Adelaide River, Atherton, Barraba, Bluff, Bundarra, Buchan And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't trust the data I have. LBL -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From seanmac4321 at gmail.com Wed Oct 7 07:14:24 2020 From: seanmac4321 at gmail.com (sean mclaren) Date: Wed, 7 Oct 2020 06:14:24 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: <000001d69c1c$e9c55790$bd5006b0$@ozemail.com.au> References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69c1c$e9c55790$bd5006b0$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: date? On Wed, Oct 7, 2020 at 6:12 AM L.B.Loveday wrote: > Hi L.B > > > > Apologies for the misunderstanding. > > > > Zoe White was definitely the rider of BLAME IT ON PARIS at Yeppoon on that > day. > > > > Initially Emma Bell was down to ride the horse but unfortunately couldn?t > attend the meeting. > > > > I?m unaware of why the RQ website is still displaying Emma Bell when the > riding change was effected 24 hours prior, but it is something I will chase > up with RQ > > > > Thanks for bringing this to our attention and apologies once again > > > > Tate Hudson > > Stipendiary Steward > > Rockhampton > > > > > > *From:* Racing *On Behalf Of *L.B.Loveday > *Sent:* Sunday, 4 October 2020 3:14 AM > *To:* 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > *Subject:* [AusRace] Data Bases > > > > An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: > > > > > > The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site > show: > > > > 2 Presley Road > > T: Damien Rideout > > J: Matthew McGillivray > > > > 6 Blame It On Paris > > T: Zoe Hohn > > J: Emma Bell > > > > While the Stewards' report shows: > > > > Summary of rider changes/Late notifications > > > > Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray > > BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White > > > > This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep > trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: > > > > Adelaide River, > > Atherton, > > Barraba, > > Bluff, > > Bundarra, > > Buchan > > > > And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't > trust the data I have. > > > > LBL > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From seanmac4321 at gmail.com Wed Oct 7 07:16:03 2020 From: seanmac4321 at gmail.com (sean mclaren) Date: Wed, 7 Oct 2020 06:16:03 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: <000001d69c1c$e9c55790$bd5006b0$@ozemail.com.au> References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69c1c$e9c55790$bd5006b0$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: i have zoe white as the jock. 1st oct. On Wed, Oct 7, 2020 at 6:12 AM L.B.Loveday wrote: > Hi L.B > > > > Apologies for the misunderstanding. > > > > Zoe White was definitely the rider of BLAME IT ON PARIS at Yeppoon on that > day. > > > > Initially Emma Bell was down to ride the horse but unfortunately couldn?t > attend the meeting. > > > > I?m unaware of why the RQ website is still displaying Emma Bell when the > riding change was effected 24 hours prior, but it is something I will chase > up with RQ > > > > Thanks for bringing this to our attention and apologies once again > > > > Tate Hudson > > Stipendiary Steward > > Rockhampton > > > > > > *From:* Racing *On Behalf Of *L.B.Loveday > *Sent:* Sunday, 4 October 2020 3:14 AM > *To:* 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > *Subject:* [AusRace] Data Bases > > > > An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: > > > > > > The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site > show: > > > > 2 Presley Road > > T: Damien Rideout > > J: Matthew McGillivray > > > > 6 Blame It On Paris > > T: Zoe Hohn > > J: Emma Bell > > > > While the Stewards' report shows: > > > > Summary of rider changes/Late notifications > > > > Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray > > BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White > > > > This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep > trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: > > > > Adelaide River, > > Atherton, > > Barraba, > > Bluff, > > Bundarra, > > Buchan > > > > And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't > trust the data I have. > > > > LBL > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Wed Oct 7 07:31:34 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Wed, 7 Oct 2020 07:31:34 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69c1c$e9c55790$bd5006b0$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <001401d69c1f$b0cb48c0$1261da40$@ozemail.com.au> Highlighted below. From: Racing On Behalf Of sean mclaren Sent: Wednesday, 7 October 2020 7:14 AM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases date? On Wed, Oct 7, 2020 at 6:12 AM L.B.Loveday > wrote: Hi L.B Apologies for the misunderstanding. Zoe White was definitely the rider of BLAME IT ON PARIS at Yeppoon on that day. Initially Emma Bell was down to ride the horse but unfortunately couldn?t attend the meeting. I?m unaware of why the RQ website is still displaying Emma Bell when the riding change was effected 24 hours prior, but it is something I will chase up with RQ Thanks for bringing this to our attention and apologies once again Tate Hudson Stipendiary Steward Rockhampton From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Sunday, 4 October 2020 3:14 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site show: 2 Presley Road T: Damien Rideout J: Matthew McGillivray 6 Blame It On Paris T: Zoe Hohn J: Emma Bell While the Stewards' report shows: Summary of rider changes/Late notifications Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: Adelaide River, Atherton, Barraba, Bluff, Bundarra, Buchan And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't trust the data I have. LBL _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Wed Oct 7 07:32:52 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Wed, 7 Oct 2020 07:32:52 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69c1c$e9c55790$bd5006b0$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <001901d69c1f$df173e50$9d45baf0$@ozemail.com.au> I get jockeys from 2 sources as a cross-check. One gave ZWhite, one gave EBell From: Racing On Behalf Of sean mclaren Sent: Wednesday, 7 October 2020 7:16 AM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List Subject: Re: [AusRace] Data Bases i have zoe white as the jock. 1st oct. On Wed, Oct 7, 2020 at 6:12 AM L.B.Loveday > wrote: Hi L.B Apologies for the misunderstanding. Zoe White was definitely the rider of BLAME IT ON PARIS at Yeppoon on that day. Initially Emma Bell was down to ride the horse but unfortunately couldn?t attend the meeting. I?m unaware of why the RQ website is still displaying Emma Bell when the riding change was effected 24 hours prior, but it is something I will chase up with RQ Thanks for bringing this to our attention and apologies once again Tate Hudson Stipendiary Steward Rockhampton From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Sunday, 4 October 2020 3:14 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site show: 2 Presley Road T: Damien Rideout J: Matthew McGillivray 6 Blame It On Paris T: Zoe Hohn J: Emma Bell While the Stewards' report shows: Summary of rider changes/Late notifications Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: Adelaide River, Atherton, Barraba, Bluff, Bundarra, Buchan And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't trust the data I have. LBL _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Wed Oct 7 11:45:22 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Wed, 7 Oct 2020 11:45:22 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] (no subject) Message-ID: <005a01d69c43$278185b0$76849110$@ozemail.com.au> -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: F Type: application/octet-stream Size: 2561 bytes Desc: not available URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: b Type: application/octet-stream Size: 14247 bytes Desc: not available URL: From seanmac4321 at gmail.com Wed Oct 7 14:46:29 2020 From: seanmac4321 at gmail.com (sean mclaren) Date: Wed, 7 Oct 2020 13:46:29 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] Data Bases In-Reply-To: <001901d69c1f$df173e50$9d45baf0$@ozemail.com.au> References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69c1c$e9c55790$bd5006b0$@ozemail.com.au> <001901d69c1f$df173e50$9d45baf0$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: hong kong is keeping me awake at night. dogs breakfast. i get data from 3 sources. 2 paid , the other web scrape. On Wed, Oct 7, 2020 at 6:33 AM L.B.Loveday wrote: > I get jockeys from 2 sources as a cross-check. One gave ZWhite, one gave > EBell > > > > *From:* Racing *On Behalf Of *sean mclaren > *Sent:* Wednesday, 7 October 2020 7:16 AM > *To:* AusRace Racing Discussion List > *Subject:* Re: [AusRace] Data Bases > > > > i have zoe white as the jock. 1st oct. > > > > On Wed, Oct 7, 2020 at 6:12 AM L.B.Loveday > wrote: > > Hi L.B > > > > Apologies for the misunderstanding. > > > > Zoe White was definitely the rider of BLAME IT ON PARIS at Yeppoon on that > day. > > > > Initially Emma Bell was down to ride the horse but unfortunately couldn?t > attend the meeting. > > > > I?m unaware of why the RQ website is still displaying Emma Bell when the > riding change was effected 24 hours prior, but it is something I will chase > up with RQ > > > > Thanks for bringing this to our attention and apologies once again > > > > Tate Hudson > > Stipendiary Steward > > Rockhampton > > > > > > *From:* Racing *On Behalf Of *L.B.Loveday > *Sent:* Sunday, 4 October 2020 3:14 AM > *To:* 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > *Subject:* [AusRace] Data Bases > > > > An example of how hard it is to keep data bases accurate: > > > > > > The results for Yeppoon Race 5, October 1 on Racing Queensland's web-site > show: > > > > 2 Presley Road > > T: Damien Rideout > > J: Matthew McGillivray > > > > 6 Blame It On Paris > > T: Zoe Hohn > > J: Emma Bell > > > > While the Stewards' report shows: > > > > Summary of rider changes/Late notifications > > > > Race 5. PRESLEY ROAD ? M McGillivray > > BLAME IT ON PARIS ? Z White > > > > This is far from a rare occurrence! I don't even bother trying to keep > trainers accurate - they have Gai running horses at: > > > > Adelaide River, > > Atherton, > > Barraba, > > Bluff, > > Bundarra, > > Buchan > > > > And that's just the A and B's. Maybe she did, I can't know, but I don't > trust the data I have. > > > > LBL > > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Thu Oct 8 12:02:01 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Thu, 8 Oct 2020 09:02:01 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Over Wheeo - Form study back in the day - a system Message-ID: <000001d69d0e$a2571f90$e7055eb0$@bigpond.com> OVER WHEEO - long and not much connected with the punt. Uncle Bill* and his punting ways - Form Study back in the day * He wasn't an Uncle either, a school mate of Dads, but they had been through a lot together, boarding school, rowing, 1stXV, running, a war (and 10 years of that as well- Dad was a Lieutenant, paid as a Captain, acting up as a Major, and Bill was a W/O, Construction/Support, so he got shot up, bombed, strafed, V2'd, the first construction at a new site was a hole in the ground, way deep, out of sight) What Bill did, most times, was manipulate the form figures against a horses name in the race book. He started with a base line figure of 9, hopeless he called them. Argus may have 4515 as it's previous form and Bill worked that as 4 minus 9, = minus 5, then minus 5 minus 5 =0, then 0 minus 1= -9, then 5 less (minus)9 = -4 - and there was probably an easier example around also. Later, he changed (simplified?) this calculation to 9 minus 4 = 5 plus 9 minus 5 = 4 plus 9 minus 1 = 8 plus 9 minus 5 =4 so (5+4+9+5 = 23) the horses value for this race and essentially the number of horse lengths this runner had beaten to get here, again assuming nothing had a value of greater than 9, in any event he bought them all back to that, hopeless he said, again. This last sum/equation was a secret divulged by a bookie analyst. I have not seen it since, and again, essentially, it shows the number of runners this runner has beaten to get here.. Later, in his ever changing world due to impulsivity, he just multiplied the form figures together then divided that sum by the biggest number (allowing for one bad run in a stream of 4) and went with that - I told him about this. It went 4*5*1*5 =100 divided by the 'worst' multiplicand (a 5) = 100/5 = 20 as a form value for that runner. Bill was ex RAAF/RAF, but not a pilot - he came to that later when gliding popularity peaked. His glider plane was a Blanik (I think) which was devoid of all markings anyway, it was a preparatory silver paint before the final colours were to be decided, and those were maybe silver too. Nearly there he said, paintwise, although the whole thing was a work in progress. A gliding association annoyed him, with their insistence on him registering both, himself and the aircraft, and how are they going to know who he was, whose plane is it. Bill solved this by writing his name on the thing, near the hatch catch, and he always had his scapular, it got him through the war so why wouldn't you, and Grandmother had embroided his number and name on the tag anyway. He never knew his parents, and told me he was raised in a circus, but this was not true. He was raised by a matriach, one of many/dozens of children similarly cared for (as was my Mother dear - she said Ashtons had bigger tents but they had better clowns, meaning comedic episodes, so may be Bills assertion of a childhood in a circus is true!!) He flew from, to, and over Wheeo where he owned acres, a sheep station amongst others, and where there was a strip, again Ex Airforce and due north of Fairbairn, and you could see that aerodrome, 60 miles or more away, with the continual coming and going of aircraft there. Where Bill flew, glided then, was high too, his strip was probably 3000 feet ASL, and he was 900 to 1000 feet above that, not that you could tell because there was a hole for an altimeter, and in fact there were 4 holes for various guages, indicators, displays and all four were in a Reschs box in the back of his Landy, down there somewhere. The tow plane came to him, either on the place, or at the Council strip, and up and off he went, sometimes for several hours some days then he would try to circle back, spiral up and down, across and to and if he didn't land at home, he tied her down and rang Dad, and Dad rang me, and off I went on my motorbike and brought him back to his Landrover, or sometimes, to our house. A shower to warm up, food because he rarely ate otherwise, beer because it is thirsty work for all adults, living, and off we went to get his Land Rover, glider trailer, and many times at midnight or later, by the loom of headlights, we took apart his airplane, put it into the trailer, and away he went for another week or so, some meals included. It wasn't dangerous, nor would it be coming down to ground as he did, a long drift then a gentle flair just before the end and a tender run of less than 100 feet to a stop, more often on the strip, sometimes not but decided upon from up on high. Once he had to stop his descent to clear a train and once he had to scramble out to scare away cattle, bulls at that, and those bulls were fruity, whatever that is. Re-assembling the aircraft was the obligation of Onions and Stodge, his neighbours, retired, who lived on opposite sides of the same road, 12 miles apart with Bills station in-between. Both were JPs, or had been, councillors, or had been, one was Ex Army, one was Ex Navy, one kind of believed he deserved a Knighthood, because others of his had been so deserving, and both their properties,stations, or all three perhaps, were accessed by military persons-in-training. Bill had married well, several times. He leased his station to a hereford heifer breeding and fattening company. Others, his radial neighbours, stuck with their sheep. Cows he reckons have a Union, they can only eat for a set number of minutes and hours each day, and in that individual time they consume what feed they can. More than enough, fat cow, just enough, store cow, some calories less than that, dry cow, and no matter what you do to entice them to eat more, or less, they won't, union rules you see. If its good grass, which it rarely is, all of them prosper. They don't starve, don't worry, but they do spend all of their waking hours, and some of their sleeping hours, trying to kill themselves. Poison from bacteria, or getting bogged, or drowning while getting bogged, lightning, getting caught and cut in a fence, dogs, dingos, sunlight, rain, wind, jumping at shadows, anything and everything is detrimental. What Bill found, not just once either, were sneaky cows hidden in the crooks of the creeks, down out of the way, out of sight, while their sisters were rounded up and trucked off, calf full most of them. The company counted out an acceptable number into the trucks, I'm guessing, and knowing the ability of cattle to die may have concluded they had in fact met their demise as expected. These 'cleanskins' became the property of Bill, by rote or by the application of that good old country rule, possession is nine tenths of something. Anyway, neighbours, friends, associates, but not us by agreement, shared in a butchered feast, if they weren't to be mothers, in which case they were sold off with calf at foot. He had his house, friends, female and male, and a good life, on country that was all slopes, all underlain by granite which grew through the green often, and always a breeze between gentle to double or more of that. It was the breeze that worked here, when the leading edges of the wing turn into it everything got lifted and aloft you went, quietly although not silently, the wind noise remained, the occasional bang of a line working an elevator or an aileron, and an ability to sneak up on birds, likewise soaring, and to look down and see your shadow moving at walking speed over the slopes. The granite was in stripes and showing where folds of it struck on to the north-west. There was basalt too, but this was leaving with the wind and the rain, and its red soil was caught up in the lines and dimples of the granite. Granite is formed in the deep earth, 12 miles in at least, and basalt gets vomited onto the surface to decay and leak as it does, as I said. Either way erosion in all its facets had removed a lot of rock overall. The Lachlan River helped there, as did The Fish, The Reedy, The Orb, The Crooked, Thompsons, Rugby, and The Dill, Dry, Wet, Wide, Gneiss, Lyons, Parkes, Pontifica and Catholic Creeks, Presbyterian and Latin Gullies. Naming of water features did not involve consultation with the early inhabitants, apparently. Bill referred to his place as Episcopalian Ridge (Pleurisy Plains was more apt!). Eastern Australia grew from west to east it seems, gradually accreting its rocks in stripes as it did, some of it beneath a sea to be pushed up into the air, and exposure, by compression, again from the east now. Bill went to the Carnivals, not Melbourne so much, but certainly in Sydney, and yearly to Brisbane when drinking was done and sleeping was optional. There was punting information given out freely, every owner may have a winning belief in theirs, but Bill never listened, and nor was he a big punter, but he enjoyed form study and particularly enjoyed the proof of his decisions when his decision won, or at the least beat home the choices of others. There seemed, to me, to be a different girl too, every time, and always the steady Connie who had been a constant for 18 years or so and Mums choice. But Connie went, as did the others also, and really the only constant was Bills philandering, which he didn't think was a problem, and he remained unaffected from his singularity, which never lasted long anyway. Nobody, other than Bill, worked the place too. Every post on his road frontage was concrete, and these same posts formed the lines rising up off the creeks so that a fire, expected from the north most often, would not affect anything much. The fire lines were renewed yearly in a great circle around the house, sheds, yards and the oil laden gums removed to be replaced by Yarrans, Coobas, Ironwoods in contoured placements until the Forestry Commission used his home paddock picture on its calendar. Good bloke, living the good life. Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com From greg.j.conroy at gmail.com Thu Oct 8 20:07:04 2020 From: greg.j.conroy at gmail.com (Greg Conroy) Date: Thu, 8 Oct 2020 20:07:04 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] My first book - available now! Discount for you all! In-Reply-To: References: <005801d699a0$2e686920$8b393b60$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69a72$08cf7050$1a6e50f0$@ozemail.com.au> <000d01d69a77$0a429610$1ec7c230$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d69b51$c54e0810$4fea1830$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <66BEBA63-6DFE-46AE-917E-6D3D4E84B02A@gmail.com> Hi all - sorry, thanks for the delay for all those that took up the offer below - I have to create your version manually! Anyway, backlog cleared and those early adopters are drinking Champers tonight with this DOUBLE BET tip based on what is in the book. I know most punters think they know it all - but believe me, you don?t know this - impossible, as I?m the only person in the world who has had the opportunity to be privy to this information over my career and I?m a clever cookie (10 patents) and worked out how to put all this together to make profits. TAB 20 years (created internet betting) / Betfair (first product executive) / Pro Punters (they use my stuff) / IT Guru, etc. Look at the testimonials here, the second major one is from an ex bookie: www.winwithoutform.com And here?s today?s nice earner. Bonus finishes Sunday. Remember ?25OFF? promo code for you all! -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: Image 2020-10-08 at 6.47.52 pm.jpeg Type: image/jpeg Size: 391211 bytes Desc: not available URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Wed Oct 14 10:22:25 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Wed, 14 Oct 2020 10:22:25 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] FW: confirm bf7f83be64e68c6f48ddcaa8961182f97c61af0f In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <004401d6a1b7$b8419080$28c4b180$@ozemail.com.au> Anyone else get this? It was auto-directed to my Junk folder. -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of racing-request at ausrace.com Sent: Wednesday, 14 October 2020 9:00 AM To: lloveday at ozemail.com.au Subject: confirm bf7f83be64e68c6f48ddcaa8961182f97c61af0f Your membership in the mailing list Racing has been disabled due to excessive bounces The last bounce received from you was dated 07-Oct-2020. You will not get any more messages from this list until you re-enable your membership. You will receive 2 more reminders like this before your membership in the list is deleted. To re-enable your membership, you can simply respond to this message (leaving the Subject: line intact), or visit the confirmation page at http://ausrace.com/mailman/confirm/racing_ausrace.com/bf7f83be64e68c6f48ddca a8961182f97c61af0f You can also visit your membership page at http://ausrace.com/mailman/options/racing_ausrace.com/lloveday%40ozemail.com .au On your membership page, you can change various delivery options such as your email address and whether you get digests or not. As a reminder, your membership password is guivegdo If you have any questions or problems, you can contact the list owner at racing-owner at ausrace.com From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Wed Oct 14 10:51:17 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Wed, 14 Oct 2020 10:51:17 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Caufield R4 Message-ID: <005001d6a1bb$bfcc93a0$3f65bae0$@ozemail.com.au> I'm a statistician, not a racing expert. So, can someone tell me why Caufield, mid-Caulfield Cup Carnival has a $400k race with only 3 final acceptors? LBL -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From conceptracing at bigpond.com Wed Oct 14 11:10:50 2020 From: conceptracing at bigpond.com (Ken Blake) Date: Wed, 14 Oct 2020 08:10:50 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Caufield R4 In-Reply-To: <005001d6a1bb$bfcc93a0$3f65bae0$@ozemail.com.au> References: <005001d6a1bb$bfcc93a0$3f65bae0$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <000001d6a1be$79cca040$6d65e0c0$@bigpond.com> Very strange Len.this time of year we are normally looking at capacity fields given what's on offer. I'd be more than happy to run the course myself to pick up 4th prize money. KB From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Wednesday, October 14, 2020 7:51 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: [AusRace] Caufield R4 I'm a statistician, not a racing expert. So, can someone tell me why Caufield, mid-Caulfield Cup Carnival has a $400k race with only 3 final acceptors? LBL -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From seanmac4321 at gmail.com Wed Oct 14 11:12:17 2020 From: seanmac4321 at gmail.com (sean mclaren) Date: Wed, 14 Oct 2020 10:12:17 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] FW: confirm bf7f83be64e68c6f48ddcaa8961182f97c61af0f In-Reply-To: <004401d6a1b7$b8419080$28c4b180$@ozemail.com.au> References: <004401d6a1b7$b8419080$28c4b180$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: membership password is guivegdo hey Len your password you will need to change. struggling to find my junk mail folder lol cheers sean On Wed, Oct 14, 2020 at 9:23 AM L.B.Loveday wrote: > Anyone else get this? It was auto-directed to my Junk folder. > > > -----Original Message----- > From: Racing On Behalf Of racing-request at ausrace.com > Sent: Wednesday, 14 October 2020 9:00 AM > To: lloveday at ozemail.com.au > Subject: confirm bf7f83be64e68c6f48ddcaa8961182f97c61af0f > > Your membership in the mailing list Racing has been disabled due to > excessive bounces The last bounce received from you was dated 07-Oct-2020. > You will not get any more messages from this list until you re-enable your > membership. You will receive 2 more reminders like this before your > membership in the list is deleted. > > To re-enable your membership, you can simply respond to this message > (leaving the Subject: line intact), or visit the confirmation page at > > > > http://ausrace.com/mailman/confirm/racing_ausrace.com/bf7f83be64e68c6f48ddca > a8961182f97c61af0f > > > > You can also visit your membership page at > > > > http://ausrace.com/mailman/options/racing_ausrace.com/lloveday%40ozemail.com > .au > > > On your membership page, you can change various delivery options such as > your email address and whether you get digests or not. As a reminder, your > membership password is > > guivegdo > > If you have any questions or problems, you can contact the list owner at > > racing-owner at ausrace.com > > > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mikemcbain at tpg.com.au Wed Oct 14 11:15:04 2020 From: mikemcbain at tpg.com.au (mikemcbain at tpg.com.au) Date: Wed, 14 Oct 2020 11:15:04 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] FW: confirm bf7f83be64e68c6f48ddcaa8961182f97c61af0f In-Reply-To: <004401d6a1b7$b8419080$28c4b180$@ozemail.com.au> References: <004401d6a1b7$b8419080$28c4b180$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <001001d6a1bf$11380dc0$33a82940$@tpg.com.au> Yes Len I received that email too. -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Wednesday, 14 October 2020 10:22 To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: [AusRace] FW: confirm bf7f83be64e68c6f48ddcaa8961182f97c61af0f Anyone else get this? It was auto-directed to my Junk folder. -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of racing-request at ausrace.com Sent: Wednesday, 14 October 2020 9:00 AM To: lloveday at ozemail.com.au Subject: confirm bf7f83be64e68c6f48ddcaa8961182f97c61af0f Your membership in the mailing list Racing has been disabled due to excessive bounces The last bounce received from you was dated 07-Oct-2020. You will not get any more messages from this list until you re-enable your membership. You will receive 2 more reminders like this before your membership in the list is deleted. To re-enable your membership, you can simply respond to this message (leaving the Subject: line intact), or visit the confirmation page at http://ausrace.com/mailman/confirm/racing_ausrace.com/bf7f83be64e68c6f48ddca a8961182f97c61af0f You can also visit your membership page at http://ausrace.com/mailman/options/racing_ausrace.com/lloveday%40ozemail.com .au On your membership page, you can change various delivery options such as your email address and whether you get digests or not. As a reminder, your membership password is guivegdo If you have any questions or problems, you can contact the list owner at racing-owner at ausrace.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Wed Oct 14 12:09:19 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Wed, 14 Oct 2020 09:09:19 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Cube - a system Message-ID: <003001d6a1c6$a57abfd0$f0703f70$@bigpond.com> There are two with this name. One, not discussed here, had you looking for runners with qualified form figures, 111, 112, 113, 211, 212, 213 etc out to a 4** and 5** The other was a bound booklet, hand printed and published in Sydney, with an advertisement on the inside back cover (Mark Foy's store, in Sydney). On the back cover is a cubist drawing which may be a slice of the piece 'Nude descending the stairs' - I have seen stairs and the other things and no, I don't see it, and yes, Saintly, I turned it every which way. The author had you dividing the distance of todays race with a calculated divisor (think 1200/16.5) then multiplying the result by the days since last start, then squaring that result, then squaring it again. They explained that there was a link between distance of race, and days between runs. Sprinters took longer to recover, distance runners needed quick turn-arounds to maintain/improve 'strength'. The divisor I have shown is mid way between the 14.5 - 17.5 value they calculated, depending on race distance/'length'. A table in the book advises which divisor you should use - I have attempted to reverse engineer this, looking for the input(s) used but it appears skewed towards sprint races. I have not seen another system which is dependent on days since last start as its only input. It does snare a few but is that because a quick back up is dominant in form anyway? Or may be they lost the lollies last run, because of a jockey error most likely, and they are in the hunt quickly to get their funds back. Or may be those involved have seen something positive and can't wait to use/utilise that knowledge now. Or whatever. Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Sun Oct 18 20:41:37 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Sun, 18 Oct 2020 17:41:37 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system Message-ID: <000a01d6a532$e0af9700$a20ec500$@bigpond.com> Sometimes, (alright, mostly) you can criticise horse racing system sellers as snake oil salespersons living in a P O Box, in some other State. These next two systems were offered to buyers as a 'promotion'. If you were considered royalty, or something else, you were offered the use of the system, and when it paid you handsomely you repaid the faith by repaying the ownership price, 50 pounds, with instalments if you cared for that. It wasn't a P O Box either, but you sent money orders to a street address in Bellambi and the accounting for that was your job too, you stopped when you sent off the last instalment for a total of the 50. Who did that? I paid $10 for 8 system booklets, pre-owned, which included the first version of this system, and I presume the original owner of mine did pay his total. Both systems are authored by the same persons I reckon, although they are different to a degree. Forensically!, what is exact is the results, a year almost of expanded results, and a dissertation on 5 years operation of the first system. System 1: For Sydney metro racing only, races for 3yo, and/or fillies and mares races, or fillies, or mares, up to a mile (1600m) (a) Consider only the three top trainers and their entries in this race - there may be multiple entries (a la Waller, say, these days) (b)Those entries are again examined and included if they meet certain criteria (i) weight less than 60 kg (133 pounds, 8 stones, 8 pounds) and that pounds reference is an indicator of the systems origin in some other racing jurisdiction, overseas somewhere. (ii)last start finished less than 6th, second last start finished less than 6th. (iii)contested a race within the last 56 days (iv) it is not the favourite. The essay on the workings of the system states that over a large number of events the system scored 40+% winners at average odds of 4/1. Placegetters scored 83%. 100 out 166? back. Win betting was restricted to 9/1 or less - place betting was capped at 15/1 or less. Those figures quoted are not mine - I have tried to duplicate those types of results for a while. System 2: see summary for more explanations (a) consider only the 4 top trainers and their entries this race. Score 1 - 4. >From those contenders: (b) weight less than 8 stones 8 pounds (60kg) Top weights 1, 2nd top weight 2 etc. Score 1 - 4 (c) last start finished less than 6th - Rank the finish 1-4 (d) second last start finished less than 6th - Rank the finish 1-4 (e) last start within 20 days =1, last start between 21-31 days =4, last start between 32-55 days=2, last start after 55 days = 3 (f) 3yo's won in the city = 1, elsewhere = 2, placed in the city = 3, run anywhere (without a place in the city) =4 Summary: re (F) if the runner has placed in the country =4 (harsh) Re (B) runner at 60kg+ = 4, a runner at 59.5 would score a 1, a runner at 59 = 2, a runner at 58.5 =3. Re (C) and (D) - it is presumed/assumed there will only be 4 or less runners fitting the criteria? Although 6 can be catered for. Re (E) notice the ranking for runners between 21-31 days away = 4 Re (A) It is the 4 four top trainers (however the ranking is decided) for system 2. System 2 used the ranking as a score line. Your runner, a contender, might be 2 (for B), 3 (for C), 4 (for D) , 1(for E), 2(for F) which when combined/concatenated reads as 23412. The authors give some advice on the regularity of various combinations that result in a dividend (a result not necessarily a win, a place, which is again what a win is, a place - they wrote that) Combinations run from 11111 out to 44444 - neither has been seen in 1208 results (from the essay in the booklet). Occurences/frequency are apparent but I will leave that information aside, except combinations starting with 2 or 3 are prevalent winners (meaning placers). Importance/ability is decided by adding the numbers (2+3+4+1+2 = 12)- lower numbers matter. I think the score line can be improved by multiplying the elements, thereby giving full value to 1 scores, and incremental less importance to increasing number values. Eg 2*3*4*1*2 =48. The systems do have names, other than #1 and #2 (it is not Surefire, Goldrush, Super Special Bewdy - that would be a Queensland system wouldn't it?) Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Sun Oct 18 21:59:46 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Sun, 18 Oct 2020 21:59:46 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system In-Reply-To: <000a01d6a532$e0af9700$a20ec500$@bigpond.com> References: <000a01d6a532$e0af9700$a20ec500$@bigpond.com> Message-ID: <000401d6a53d$cde58ed0$69b0ac70$@ozemail.com.au> Tony, Somewhat vague, 3/4 "top trainers". With most winners? With highest win percent? With best return at level stake SP? With best return to win $100 each run? What did you understand to be the basis for ranking? LBL -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Sunday, 18 October 2020 20:42 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system Sometimes, (alright, mostly) you can criticise horse racing system sellers as snake oil salespersons living in a P O Box, in some other State. These next two systems were offered to buyers as a 'promotion'. If you were considered royalty, or something else, you were offered the use of the system, and when it paid you handsomely you repaid the faith by repaying the ownership price, 50 pounds, with instalments if you cared for that. It wasn't a P O Box either, but you sent money orders to a street address in Bellambi and the accounting for that was your job too, you stopped when you sent off the last instalment for a total of the 50. Who did that? I paid $10 for 8 system booklets, pre-owned, which included the first version of this system, and I presume the original owner of mine did pay his total. Both systems are authored by the same persons I reckon, although they are different to a degree. Forensically!, what is exact is the results, a year almost of expanded results, and a dissertation on 5 years operation of the first system. System 1: For Sydney metro racing only, races for 3yo, and/or fillies and mares races, or fillies, or mares, up to a mile (1600m) (a) Consider only the three top trainers and their entries in this race - there may be multiple entries (a la Waller, say, these days) (b)Those entries are again examined and included if they meet certain criteria (i) weight less than 60 kg (133 pounds, 8 stones, 8 pounds) and that pounds reference is an indicator of the systems origin in some other racing jurisdiction, overseas somewhere. (ii)last start finished less than 6th, second last start finished less than 6th. (iii)contested a race within the last 56 days (iv) it is not the favourite. The essay on the workings of the system states that over a large number of events the system scored 40+% winners at average odds of 4/1. Placegetters scored 83%. 100 out 166? back. Win betting was restricted to 9/1 or less - place betting was capped at 15/1 or less. Those figures quoted are not mine - I have tried to duplicate those types of results for a while. System 2: see summary for more explanations (a) consider only the 4 top trainers and their entries this race. Score 1 - 4. >From those contenders: (b) weight less than 8 stones 8 pounds (60kg) Top weights 1, 2nd top weight 2 etc. Score 1 - 4 (c) last start finished less than 6th - Rank the finish 1-4 (d) second last start finished less than 6th - Rank the finish 1-4 (e) last start within 20 days =1, last start between 21-31 days =4, last start between 32-55 days=2, last start after 55 days = 3 (f) 3yo's won in the city = 1, elsewhere = 2, placed in the city = 3, run anywhere (without a place in the city) =4 Summary: re (F) if the runner has placed in the country =4 (harsh) Re (B) runner at 60kg+ = 4, a runner at 59.5 would score a 1, a runner at 59 = 2, a runner at 58.5 =3. Re (C) and (D) - it is presumed/assumed there will only be 4 or less runners fitting the criteria? Although 6 can be catered for. Re (E) notice the ranking for runners between 21-31 days away = 4 Re (A) It is the 4 four top trainers (however the ranking is decided) for system 2. System 2 used the ranking as a score line. Your runner, a contender, might be 2 (for B), 3 (for C), 4 (for D) , 1(for E), 2(for F) which when combined/concatenated reads as 23412. The authors give some advice on the regularity of various combinations that result in a dividend (a result not necessarily a win, a place, which is again what a win is, a place - they wrote that) Combinations run from 11111 out to 44444 - neither has been seen in 1208 results (from the essay in the booklet). Occurences/frequency are apparent but I will leave that information aside, except combinations starting with 2 or 3 are prevalent winners (meaning placers). Importance/ability is decided by adding the numbers (2+3+4+1+2 = 12)- lower numbers matter. I think the score line can be improved by multiplying the elements, thereby giving full value to 1 scores, and incremental less importance to increasing number values. Eg 2*3*4*1*2 =48. The systems do have names, other than #1 and #2 (it is not Surefire, Goldrush, Super Special Bewdy - that would be a Queensland system wouldn't it?) Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Sun Oct 18 22:51:21 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Sun, 18 Oct 2020 19:51:21 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system In-Reply-To: <000401d6a53d$cde58ed0$69b0ac70$@ozemail.com.au> References: <000a01d6a532$e0af9700$a20ec500$@bigpond.com> <000401d6a53d$cde58ed0$69b0ac70$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <000a01d6a544$fff60240$ffe206c0$@bigpond.com> Len - The essay mentioned does have a paragraph advising that the ranking is decided from the yearly results - TJ won a few way back and that was from the number of winners, more than anybody. So the leader may be that person, those with the most winners last year, although their worthiness as a title holder, or 2nd, 3rd, or 4th would be 11 months removed at some point. For vagueness, try Sydney metro racing, races for 3 year olds (any distance), for fillies, for mares, for F & M out to a mile (1600m) - when punctuation removal/replacement/substitution changes the emphasis. There is no involvement of barrier position, this is often an aspect of systems. The favourite is also removed as a contender, if that was the case and it was a horse trained by the Big 4. The system starts with the four runners (at least) of the four better trainers (from last years results) then applies filters to those runners. The supply and purchase of the system is novel, nearly quirky. You paid once also, the second system was a gift. The first system book is numbered, mine is 16, written in ink in a box on the front cover. Cheers -----Original Message----- From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Sunday, 18 October 2020 7:00 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system Tony, Somewhat vague, 3/4 "top trainers". With most winners? With highest win percent? With best return at level stake SP? With best return to win $100 each run? What did you understand to be the basis for ranking? LBL -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Sunday, 18 October 2020 20:42 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system Sometimes, (alright, mostly) you can criticise horse racing system sellers as snake oil salespersons living in a P O Box, in some other State. These next two systems were offered to buyers as a 'promotion'. If you were considered royalty, or something else, you were offered the use of the system, and when it paid you handsomely you repaid the faith by repaying the ownership price, 50 pounds, with instalments if you cared for that. It wasn't a P O Box either, but you sent money orders to a street address in Bellambi and the accounting for that was your job too, you stopped when you sent off the last instalment for a total of the 50. Who did that? I paid $10 for 8 system booklets, pre-owned, which included the first version of this system, and I presume the original owner of mine did pay his total. Both systems are authored by the same persons I reckon, although they are different to a degree. Forensically!, what is exact is the results, a year almost of expanded results, and a dissertation on 5 years operation of the first system. System 1: For Sydney metro racing only, races for 3yo, and/or fillies and mares races, or fillies, or mares, up to a mile (1600m) (a) Consider only the three top trainers and their entries in this race - there may be multiple entries (a la Waller, say, these days) (b)Those entries are again examined and included if they meet certain criteria (i) weight less than 60 kg (133 pounds, 8 stones, 8 pounds) and that pounds reference is an indicator of the systems origin in some other racing jurisdiction, overseas somewhere. (ii)last start finished less than 6th, second last start finished less than 6th. (iii)contested a race within the last 56 days (iv) it is not the favourite. The essay on the workings of the system states that over a large number of events the system scored 40+% winners at average odds of 4/1. Placegetters scored 83%. 100 out 166? back. Win betting was restricted to 9/1 or less - place betting was capped at 15/1 or less. Those figures quoted are not mine - I have tried to duplicate those types of results for a while. System 2: see summary for more explanations (a) consider only the 4 top trainers and their entries this race. Score 1 - 4. >From those contenders: (b) weight less than 8 stones 8 pounds (60kg) Top weights 1, 2nd top weight 2 etc. Score 1 - 4 (c) last start finished less than 6th - Rank the finish 1-4 (d) second last start finished less than 6th - Rank the finish 1-4 (e) last start within 20 days =1, last start between 21-31 days =4, last start between 32-55 days=2, last start after 55 days = 3 (f) 3yo's won in the city = 1, elsewhere = 2, placed in the city = 3, run anywhere (without a place in the city) =4 Summary: re (F) if the runner has placed in the country =4 (harsh) Re (B) runner at 60kg+ = 4, a runner at 59.5 would score a 1, a runner at 59 = 2, a runner at 58.5 =3. Re (C) and (D) - it is presumed/assumed there will only be 4 or less runners fitting the criteria? Although 6 can be catered for. Re (E) notice the ranking for runners between 21-31 days away = 4 Re (A) It is the 4 four top trainers (however the ranking is decided) for system 2. System 2 used the ranking as a score line. Your runner, a contender, might be 2 (for B), 3 (for C), 4 (for D) , 1(for E), 2(for F) which when combined/concatenated reads as 23412. The authors give some advice on the regularity of various combinations that result in a dividend (a result not necessarily a win, a place, which is again what a win is, a place - they wrote that) Combinations run from 11111 out to 44444 - neither has been seen in 1208 results (from the essay in the booklet). Occurences/frequency are apparent but I will leave that information aside, except combinations starting with 2 or 3 are prevalent winners (meaning placers). Importance/ability is decided by adding the numbers (2+3+4+1+2 = 12)- lower numbers matter. I think the score line can be improved by multiplying the elements, thereby giving full value to 1 scores, and incremental less importance to increasing number values. Eg 2*3*4*1*2 =48. The systems do have names, other than #1 and #2 (it is not Surefire, Goldrush, Super Special Bewdy - that would be a Queensland system wouldn't it?) Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Mon Oct 19 07:52:07 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Mon, 19 Oct 2020 07:52:07 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system In-Reply-To: <000a01d6a544$fff60240$ffe206c0$@bigpond.com> References: <000a01d6a532$e0af9700$a20ec500$@bigpond.com> <000401d6a53d$cde58ed0$69b0ac70$@ozemail.com.au> <000a01d6a544$fff60240$ffe206c0$@bigpond.com> Message-ID: <001b01d6a590$920eb780$b62c2680$@ozemail.com.au> There is no involvement of barrier position, this is often an aspect of systems Tony, Barriers are important; anyone else remember Victoria Park 1450m? Draw barrier one halve the pre-draw odds; draw outside, double the pre-draw odds - the worst bias I've come across. That's history, but there are still advantages/disadvantages with barriers, and I've not developed and used any bet-selection system that ignores them. I use, but of course won't post, a system based solely on Track, Distance and Barrier that has returned the following: Last 2 years: 3216 selections, profit 11.1% at level stake, 10.7% at MBL For Saturday only punters, 1052 selections, profit 17.7% at level stake, 13.9% at MBL Last year: 1536 selections, profit 14.0% at level stake, 11.6% at MBL For Saturday only punters, 479 selections, profit 28.8% at level stake, 19.8% at MBL; not large n, but it's 9 bets a day and every little counts in today's betting climate. I make it 335 tracks that were raced at in the past year, 177 of which I bet on (335 includes Picnic meetings and the like) and calculated the figures above from. -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:51 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system Len - The essay mentioned does have a paragraph advising that the ranking is decided from the yearly results - TJ won a few way back and that was from the number of winners, more than anybody. So the leader may be that person, those with the most winners last year, although their worthiness as a title holder, or 2nd, 3rd, or 4th would be 11 months removed at some point. For vagueness, try Sydney metro racing, races for 3 year olds (any distance), for fillies, for mares, for F & M out to a mile (1600m) - when punctuation removal/replacement/substitution changes the emphasis. There is no involvement of barrier position, this is often an aspect of systems. The favourite is also removed as a contender, if that was the case and it was a horse trained by the Big 4. The system starts with the four runners (at least) of the four better trainers (from last years results) then applies filters to those runners. The supply and purchase of the system is novel, nearly quirky. You paid once also, the second system was a gift. The first system book is numbered, mine is 16, written in ink in a box on the front cover. Cheers -----Original Message----- From: Racing [ mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Sunday, 18 October 2020 7:00 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' < racing at ausrace.com> Subject: Re: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system Tony, Somewhat vague, 3/4 "top trainers". With most winners? With highest win percent? With best return at level stake SP? With best return to win $100 each run? What did you understand to be the basis for ranking? LBL -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Sunday, 18 October 2020 20:42 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' < racing at ausrace.com> Subject: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system Sometimes, (alright, mostly) you can criticise horse racing system sellers as snake oil salespersons living in a P O Box, in some other State. These next two systems were offered to buyers as a 'promotion'. If you were considered royalty, or something else, you were offered the use of the system, and when it paid you handsomely you repaid the faith by repaying the ownership price, 50 pounds, with instalments if you cared for that. It wasn't a P O Box either, but you sent money orders to a street address in Bellambi and the accounting for that was your job too, you stopped when you sent off the last instalment for a total of the 50. Who did that? I paid $10 for 8 system booklets, pre-owned, which included the first version of this system, and I presume the original owner of mine did pay his total. Both systems are authored by the same persons I reckon, although they are different to a degree. Forensically!, what is exact is the results, a year almost of expanded results, and a dissertation on 5 years operation of the first system. System 1: For Sydney metro racing only, races for 3yo, and/or fillies and mares races, or fillies, or mares, up to a mile (1600m) (a) Consider only the three top trainers and their entries in this race - there may be multiple entries (a la Waller, say, these days) (b)Those entries are again examined and included if they meet certain criteria (i) weight less than 60 kg (133 pounds, 8 stones, 8 pounds) and that pounds reference is an indicator of the systems origin in some other racing jurisdiction, overseas somewhere. (ii)last start finished less than 6th, second last start finished less than 6th. (iii)contested a race within the last 56 days (iv) it is not the favourite. The essay on the workings of the system states that over a large number of events the system scored 40+% winners at average odds of 4/1. Placegetters scored 83%. 100 out 166? back. Win betting was restricted to 9/1 or less - place betting was capped at 15/1 or less. Those figures quoted are not mine - I have tried to duplicate those types of results for a while. System 2: see summary for more explanations (a) consider only the 4 top trainers and their entries this race. Score 1 - 4. >From those contenders: (b) weight less than 8 stones 8 pounds (60kg) Top weights 1, 2nd top weight 2 etc. Score 1 - 4 (c) last start finished less than 6th - Rank the finish 1-4 (d) second last start finished less than 6th - Rank the finish 1-4 (e) last start within 20 days =1, last start between 21-31 days =4, last start between 32-55 days=2, last start after 55 days = 3 (f) 3yo's won in the city = 1, elsewhere = 2, placed in the city = 3, run anywhere (without a place in the city) =4 Summary: re (F) if the runner has placed in the country =4 (harsh) Re (B) runner at 60kg+ = 4, a runner at 59.5 would score a 1, a runner at 59 = 2, a runner at 58.5 =3. Re (C) and (D) - it is presumed/assumed there will only be 4 or less runners fitting the criteria? Although 6 can be catered for. Re (E) notice the ranking for runners between 21-31 days away = 4 Re (A) It is the 4 four top trainers (however the ranking is decided) for system 2. System 2 used the ranking as a score line. Your runner, a contender, might be 2 (for B), 3 (for C), 4 (for D) , 1(for E), 2(for F) which when combined/concatenated reads as 23412. The authors give some advice on the regularity of various combinations that result in a dividend (a result not necessarily a win, a place, which is again what a win is, a place - they wrote that) Combinations run from 11111 out to 44444 - neither has been seen in 1208 results (from the essay in the booklet). Occurences/frequency are apparent but I will leave that information aside, except combinations starting with 2 or 3 are prevalent winners (meaning placers). Importance/ability is decided by adding the numbers (2+3+4+1+2 = 12)- lower numbers matter. I think the score line can be improved by multiplying the elements, thereby giving full value to 1 scores, and incremental less importance to increasing number values. Eg 2*3*4*1*2 =48. The systems do have names, other than #1 and #2 (it is not Surefire, Goldrush, Super Special Bewdy - that would be a Queensland system wouldn't it?) Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Mon Oct 19 12:01:58 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Mon, 19 Oct 2020 09:01:58 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system In-Reply-To: <001b01d6a590$920eb780$b62c2680$@ozemail.com.au> References: <000a01d6a532$e0af9700$a20ec500$@bigpond.com> <000401d6a53d$cde58ed0$69b0ac70$@ozemail.com.au> <000a01d6a544$fff60240$ffe206c0$@bigpond.com> <001b01d6a590$920eb780$b62c2680$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <003801d6a5b3$72a9fbc0$57fdf340$@bigpond.com> Yeah but is the barrier effect enough to cause a result Len. Start with the proposition that the result will be determined, or at least influenced by how far apart they stand at the start, a mile away and back around two turns. It can't, surely. Or the barrier effect ceases within 100 metres of the start, and that is conceding it has an influence, and the effect is more likely, seen more often, down in the low numbers, the very places where there is an advantage, if the pundits are to be believed. Roger Biggs did research on this, over many runs and races, and he determines that the barrier effect is linear, which means that at barrier 10 a runner has to make up 1 length. If you go inside, or outside barrier 10 you involve decimals and I'm not doing that. I don't use barrier as a factor (one less thing!) The barrier may cause the rider to go forward for position, not a bad thing if position at the turn is an element in 88%? of winners, and of course the rider can go back and depend on luck in the finish. Is that the barrier though? The barrier effect has been used by racing operatives as an excuse often or is it real and therefore justified. Tony Sent: Monday, 19 October 2020 4:52 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system There is no involvement of barrier position, this is often an aspect of systems Tony, Barriers are important; anyone else remember Victoria Park 1450m? Draw barrier one halve the pre-draw odds; draw outside, double the pre-draw odds - the worst bias I've come across. That's history, but there are still advantages/disadvantages with barriers, and I've not developed and used any bet-selection system that ignores them. I use, but of course won't post, a system based solely on Track, Distance and Barrier that has returned the following: Last 2 years: 3216 selections, profit 11.1% at level stake, 10.7% at MBL For Saturday only punters, 1052 selections, profit 17.7% at level stake, 13.9% at MBL Last year: 1536 selections, profit 14.0% at level stake, 11.6% at MBL For Saturday only punters, 479 selections, profit 28.8% at level stake, 19.8% at MBL; not large n, but it's 9 bets a day and every little counts in today's betting climate. I make it 335 tracks that were raced at in the past year, 177 of which I bet on (335 includes Picnic meetings and the like) and calculated the figures above from. -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:51 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' < racing at ausrace.com> Subject: Re: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system Len - The essay mentioned does have a paragraph advising that the ranking is decided from the yearly results - TJ won a few way back and that was from the number of winners, more than anybody. So the leader may be that person, those with the most winners last year, although their worthiness as a title holder, or 2nd, 3rd, or 4th would be 11 months removed at some point. For vagueness, try Sydney metro racing, races for 3 year olds (any distance), for fillies, for mares, for F & M out to a mile (1600m) - when punctuation removal/replacement/substitution changes the emphasis. There is no involvement of barrier position, this is often an aspect of systems. The favourite is also removed as a contender, if that was the case and it was a horse trained by the Big 4. The system starts with the four runners (at least) of the four better trainers (from last years results) then applies filters to those runners. The supply and purchase of the system is novel, nearly quirky. You paid once also, the second system was a gift. The first system book is numbered, mine is 16, written in ink in a box on the front cover. Cheers -----Original Message----- From: Racing [ mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Sunday, 18 October 2020 7:00 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' < racing at ausrace.com> Subject: Re: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system Tony, Somewhat vague, 3/4 "top trainers". With most winners? With highest win percent? With best return at level stake SP? With best return to win $100 each run? What did you understand to be the basis for ranking? LBL -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Sunday, 18 October 2020 20:42 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' < racing at ausrace.com> Subject: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system Sometimes, (alright, mostly) you can criticise horse racing system sellers as snake oil salespersons living in a P O Box, in some other State. These next two systems were offered to buyers as a 'promotion'. If you were considered royalty, or something else, you were offered the use of the system, and when it paid you handsomely you repaid the faith by repaying the ownership price, 50 pounds, with instalments if you cared for that. It wasn't a P O Box either, but you sent money orders to a street address in Bellambi and the accounting for that was your job too, you stopped when you sent off the last instalment for a total of the 50. Who did that? I paid $10 for 8 system booklets, pre-owned, which included the first version of this system, and I presume the original owner of mine did pay his total. Both systems are authored by the same persons I reckon, although they are different to a degree. Forensically!, what is exact is the results, a year almost of expanded results, and a dissertation on 5 years operation of the first system. System 1: For Sydney metro racing only, races for 3yo, and/or fillies and mares races, or fillies, or mares, up to a mile (1600m) (a) Consider only the three top trainers and their entries in this race - there may be multiple entries (a la Waller, say, these days) (b)Those entries are again examined and included if they meet certain criteria (i) weight less than 60 kg (133 pounds, 8 stones, 8 pounds) and that pounds reference is an indicator of the systems origin in some other racing jurisdiction, overseas somewhere. (ii)last start finished less than 6th, second last start finished less than 6th. (iii)contested a race within the last 56 days (iv) it is not the favourite. The essay on the workings of the system states that over a large number of events the system scored 40+% winners at average odds of 4/1. Placegetters scored 83%. 100 out 166? back. Win betting was restricted to 9/1 or less - place betting was capped at 15/1 or less. Those figures quoted are not mine - I have tried to duplicate those types of results for a while. System 2: see summary for more explanations (a) consider only the 4 top trainers and their entries this race. Score 1 - 4. >From those contenders: (b) weight less than 8 stones 8 pounds (60kg) Top weights 1, 2nd top weight 2 etc. Score 1 - 4 (c) last start finished less than 6th - Rank the finish 1-4 (d) second last start finished less than 6th - Rank the finish 1-4 (e) last start within 20 days =1, last start between 21-31 days =4, last start between 32-55 days=2, last start after 55 days = 3 (f) 3yo's won in the city = 1, elsewhere = 2, placed in the city = 3, run anywhere (without a place in the city) =4 Summary: re (F) if the runner has placed in the country =4 (harsh) Re (B) runner at 60kg+ = 4, a runner at 59.5 would score a 1, a runner at 59 = 2, a runner at 58.5 =3. Re (C) and (D) - it is presumed/assumed there will only be 4 or less runners fitting the criteria? Although 6 can be catered for. Re (E) notice the ranking for runners between 21-31 days away = 4 Re (A) It is the 4 four top trainers (however the ranking is decided) for system 2. System 2 used the ranking as a score line. Your runner, a contender, might be 2 (for B), 3 (for C), 4 (for D) , 1(for E), 2(for F) which when combined/concatenated reads as 23412. The authors give some advice on the regularity of various combinations that result in a dividend (a result not necessarily a win, a place, which is again what a win is, a place - they wrote that) Combinations run from 11111 out to 44444 - neither has been seen in 1208 results (from the essay in the booklet). Occurences/frequency are apparent but I will leave that information aside, except combinations starting with 2 or 3 are prevalent winners (meaning placers). Importance/ability is decided by adding the numbers (2+3+4+1+2 = 12)- lower numbers matter. I think the score line can be improved by multiplying the elements, thereby giving full value to 1 scores, and incremental less importance to increasing number values. Eg 2*3*4*1*2 =48. The systems do have names, other than #1 and #2 (it is not Surefire, Goldrush, Super Special Bewdy - that would be a Queensland system wouldn't it?) Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Mon Oct 19 13:48:00 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Mon, 19 Oct 2020 13:48:00 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system In-Reply-To: <003801d6a5b3$72a9fbc0$57fdf340$@bigpond.com> References: <000a01d6a532$e0af9700$a20ec500$@bigpond.com> <000401d6a53d$cde58ed0$69b0ac70$@ozemail.com.au> <000a01d6a544$fff60240$ffe206c0$@bigpond.com> <001b01d6a590$920eb780$b62c2680$@ozemail.com.au> <003801d6a5b3$72a9fbc0$57fdf340$@bigpond.com> Message-ID: <003201d6a5c2$444b43b0$cce1cb10$@ozemail.com.au> My figures are real, the basis makes sense TO ME, and I have used very large numbers - I don't go beyond three things, positive betting expectations, large numbers and my common sense. Roger Biggs did research on this, over many runs and races, and he determines that the barrier effect is linear, which means that at barrier 10 a runner has to make up 1 length I did research on over 5,000,000 runs (and I use my results to bet with, not to flog). The above is far too simplistic - at barrier 10 a runner has to make up the same 1 length whether down the old Victoria Park straight 5 or over 1450m at the same course where the barrier was just before the first of 2 bends and "everyone" knew barrier was all-important?! It is, in my opinion, nonsense to suggest that track and distance does not affect the effect of barrier. My calculated Impact Values of barriers at various Track and Distances were a Maximum of 2.19, a Minimum of 0.56. And that is massive. Lump them all together as if all tracks and distances are the same, and looking only at fields of exactly 10, Impact Value of Barrier 1 is 1.15, of Barrier 10 is 0.92, vastly different from looking at each track and distance individually. Impact Value of leading at the turn (from TRB positions, don't know where they source them) 2.51; of being last at turn 0.21. Who wouldn't love to get on at SP at the home turn? From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Monday, 19 October 2020 12:02 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system Yeah but is the barrier effect enough to cause a result Len. Start with the proposition that the result will be determined, or at least influenced by how far apart they stand at the start, a mile away and back around two turns. It can't, surely. Or the barrier effect ceases within 100 metres of the start, and that is conceding it has an influence, and the effect is more likely, seen more often, down in the low numbers, the very places where there is an advantage, if the pundits are to be believed. Roger Biggs did research on this, over many runs and races, and he determines that the barrier effect is linear, which means that at barrier 10 a runner has to make up 1 length. If you go inside, or outside barrier 10 you involve decimals and I'm not doing that. I don't use barrier as a factor (one less thing!) The barrier may cause the rider to go forward for position, not a bad thing if position at the turn is an element in 88%? of winners, and of course the rider can go back and depend on luck in the finish. Is that the barrier though? The barrier effect has been used by racing operatives as an excuse often or is it real and therefore justified. Tony Sent: Monday, 19 October 2020 4:52 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: Re: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system There is no involvement of barrier position, this is often an aspect of systems Tony, Barriers are important; anyone else remember Victoria Park 1450m? Draw barrier one halve the pre-draw odds; draw outside, double the pre-draw odds - the worst bias I've come across. That's history, but there are still advantages/disadvantages with barriers, and I've not developed and used any bet-selection system that ignores them. I use, but of course won't post, a system based solely on Track, Distance and Barrier that has returned the following: Last 2 years: 3216 selections, profit 11.1% at level stake, 10.7% at MBL For Saturday only punters, 1052 selections, profit 17.7% at level stake, 13.9% at MBL Last year: 1536 selections, profit 14.0% at level stake, 11.6% at MBL For Saturday only punters, 479 selections, profit 28.8% at level stake, 19.8% at MBL; not large n, but it's 9 bets a day and every little counts in today's betting climate. I make it 335 tracks that were raced at in the past year, 177 of which I bet on (335 includes Picnic meetings and the like) and calculated the figures above from. -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:51 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' < racing at ausrace.com> Subject: Re: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system Len - The essay mentioned does have a paragraph advising that the ranking is decided from the yearly results - TJ won a few way back and that was from the number of winners, more than anybody. So the leader may be that person, those with the most winners last year, although their worthiness as a title holder, or 2nd, 3rd, or 4th would be 11 months removed at some point. For vagueness, try Sydney metro racing, races for 3 year olds (any distance), for fillies, for mares, for F & M out to a mile (1600m) - when punctuation removal/replacement/substitution changes the emphasis. There is no involvement of barrier position, this is often an aspect of systems. The favourite is also removed as a contender, if that was the case and it was a horse trained by the Big 4. The system starts with the four runners (at least) of the four better trainers (from last years results) then applies filters to those runners. The supply and purchase of the system is novel, nearly quirky. You paid once also, the second system was a gift. The first system book is numbered, mine is 16, written in ink in a box on the front cover. Cheers -----Original Message----- From: Racing [ mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Sunday, 18 October 2020 7:00 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' < racing at ausrace.com> Subject: Re: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system Tony, Somewhat vague, 3/4 "top trainers". With most winners? With highest win percent? With best return at level stake SP? With best return to win $100 each run? What did you understand to be the basis for ranking? LBL -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Sunday, 18 October 2020 20:42 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' < racing at ausrace.com> Subject: [AusRace] System 1 and System 2 - a system Sometimes, (alright, mostly) you can criticise horse racing system sellers as snake oil salespersons living in a P O Box, in some other State. These next two systems were offered to buyers as a 'promotion'. If you were considered royalty, or something else, you were offered the use of the system, and when it paid you handsomely you repaid the faith by repaying the ownership price, 50 pounds, with instalments if you cared for that. It wasn't a P O Box either, but you sent money orders to a street address in Bellambi and the accounting for that was your job too, you stopped when you sent off the last instalment for a total of the 50. Who did that? I paid $10 for 8 system booklets, pre-owned, which included the first version of this system, and I presume the original owner of mine did pay his total. Both systems are authored by the same persons I reckon, although they are different to a degree. Forensically!, what is exact is the results, a year almost of expanded results, and a dissertation on 5 years operation of the first system. System 1: For Sydney metro racing only, races for 3yo, and/or fillies and mares races, or fillies, or mares, up to a mile (1600m) (a) Consider only the three top trainers and their entries in this race - there may be multiple entries (a la Waller, say, these days) (b)Those entries are again examined and included if they meet certain criteria (i) weight less than 60 kg (133 pounds, 8 stones, 8 pounds) and that pounds reference is an indicator of the systems origin in some other racing jurisdiction, overseas somewhere. (ii)last start finished less than 6th, second last start finished less than 6th. (iii)contested a race within the last 56 days (iv) it is not the favourite. The essay on the workings of the system states that over a large number of events the system scored 40+% winners at average odds of 4/1. Placegetters scored 83%. 100 out 166? back. Win betting was restricted to 9/1 or less - place betting was capped at 15/1 or less. Those figures quoted are not mine - I have tried to duplicate those types of results for a while. System 2: see summary for more explanations (a) consider only the 4 top trainers and their entries this race. Score 1 - 4. >From those contenders: (b) weight less than 8 stones 8 pounds (60kg) Top weights 1, 2nd top weight 2 etc. Score 1 - 4 (c) last start finished less than 6th - Rank the finish 1-4 (d) second last start finished less than 6th - Rank the finish 1-4 (e) last start within 20 days =1, last start between 21-31 days =4, last start between 32-55 days=2, last start after 55 days = 3 (f) 3yo's won in the city = 1, elsewhere = 2, placed in the city = 3, run anywhere (without a place in the city) =4 Summary: re (F) if the runner has placed in the country =4 (harsh) Re (B) runner at 60kg+ = 4, a runner at 59.5 would score a 1, a runner at 59 = 2, a runner at 58.5 =3. Re (C) and (D) - it is presumed/assumed there will only be 4 or less runners fitting the criteria? Although 6 can be catered for. Re (E) notice the ranking for runners between 21-31 days away = 4 Re (A) It is the 4 four top trainers (however the ranking is decided) for system 2. System 2 used the ranking as a score line. Your runner, a contender, might be 2 (for B), 3 (for C), 4 (for D) , 1(for E), 2(for F) which when combined/concatenated reads as 23412. The authors give some advice on the regularity of various combinations that result in a dividend (a result not necessarily a win, a place, which is again what a win is, a place - they wrote that) Combinations run from 11111 out to 44444 - neither has been seen in 1208 results (from the essay in the booklet). Occurences/frequency are apparent but I will leave that information aside, except combinations starting with 2 or 3 are prevalent winners (meaning placers). Importance/ability is decided by adding the numbers (2+3+4+1+2 = 12)- lower numbers matter. I think the score line can be improved by multiplying the elements, thereby giving full value to 1 scores, and incremental less importance to increasing number values. Eg 2*3*4*1*2 =48. The systems do have names, other than #1 and #2 (it is not Surefire, Goldrush, Super Special Bewdy - that would be a Queensland system wouldn't it?) Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com Virus-free. www.avg.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From robbie at robbiewaterhouse.com Wed Oct 21 11:11:02 2020 From: robbie at robbiewaterhouse.com (Robbie Waterhouse) Date: Wed, 21 Oct 2020 11:11:02 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] FW: confirm e3399e0185b4fd22edeba0066584c02a4cd4c172 In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <04df01d6a73e$a995dc30$fcc19490$@robbiewaterhouse.com> Is this safe? -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of racing-request at ausrace.com Sent: Wednesday, 21 October 2020 9:00 AM To: robbie at robbiewaterhouse.com Subject: confirm e3399e0185b4fd22edeba0066584c02a4cd4c172 Your membership in the mailing list Racing has been disabled due to excessive bounces The last bounce received from you was dated 07-Oct-2020. You will not get any more messages from this list until you re-enable your membership. You will receive 1 more reminders like this before your membership in the list is deleted. To re-enable your membership, you can simply respond to this message (leaving the Subject: line intact), or visit the confirmation page at http://ausrace.com/mailman/confirm/racing_ausrace.com/e3399e0185b4fd22edeba0 066584c02a4cd4c172 You can also visit your membership page at http://ausrace.com/mailman/options/racing_ausrace.com/robbie%40robbiewaterho use.com On your membership page, you can change various delivery options such as your email address and whether you get digests or not. As a reminder, your membership password is anvoowga If you have any questions or problems, you can contact the list owner at racing-owner at ausrace.com From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Wed Oct 21 11:45:17 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Wed, 21 Oct 2020 11:45:17 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] FW: confirm e3399e0185b4fd22edeba0066584c02a4cd4c172 In-Reply-To: <04df01d6a73e$a995dc30$fcc19490$@robbiewaterhouse.com> References: <04df01d6a73e$a995dc30$fcc19490$@robbiewaterhouse.com> Message-ID: <007701d6a743$740f1040$5c2d30c0$@ozemail.com.au> Yes, at least it was for me. -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of Robbie Waterhouse Sent: Wednesday, 21 October 2020 11:11 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: [AusRace] FW: confirm e3399e0185b4fd22edeba0066584c02a4cd4c172 Is this safe? -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of racing-request at ausrace.com Sent: Wednesday, 21 October 2020 9:00 AM To: robbie at robbiewaterhouse.com Subject: confirm e3399e0185b4fd22edeba0066584c02a4cd4c172 Your membership in the mailing list Racing has been disabled due to excessive bounces The last bounce received from you was dated 07-Oct-2020. You will not get any more messages from this list until you re-enable your membership. You will receive 1 more reminders like this before your membership in the list is deleted. To re-enable your membership, you can simply respond to this message (leaving the Subject: line intact), or visit the confirmation page at http://ausrace.com/mailman/confirm/racing_ausrace.com/e3399e0185b4fd22edeba0 066584c02a4cd4c172 You can also visit your membership page at http://ausrace.com/mailman/options/racing_ausrace.com/robbie%40robbiewaterho use.com On your membership page, you can change various delivery options such as your email address and whether you get digests or not. As a reminder, your membership password is anvoowga If you have any questions or problems, you can contact the list owner at racing-owner at ausrace.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Wed Oct 21 12:03:58 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Wed, 21 Oct 2020 12:03:58 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Classic Bet Message-ID: <008401d6a746$111b9d20$3352d760$@ozemail.com.au> Quote: New players or not they are ALL tarred with the same brush..... Comment on this Ken? -----Original Message----- From: ausrace-bounces at ausrace.com On Behalf Of Ken Blake Sent: Friday, 4 September 2015 9:27 AM To: ausrace at ausrace.com Subject: [AusRace] Classic Bet Len.......You are an A grade Masochist.....why do you torture yourself with these ongoing interactions with the corporate sector. New players or not they are ALL tarred with the same brush..... You summed it up perfectly " Gutless, incompetent, dishonest - they should preface their advertisements with "We welcome compulsive gamblers, desperates trying to gamble their way out of poverty, and those with mental illnesses. If there is a chance you may win, don't waste your time; we won't accept your business. There is an on course / online bookmaker here in W.A. .....PUNTA They display liabilities of each runner at the that particular price in 'amount available' similar to Betfair...... >From their website: Unlike your typical online bookmaker, we're listening. We want to know the price you're after for the bet you want. Punters betting with PUNTA Bookmaking have the ability to request a price for any given runner on a featured meeting. All requests are considered, whilst reasonably sized and priced bets are more likely to be approved. For example; $100 at the requested price of $7 rather, than at the displayed price of $6.50. PUNTA also displays the 'amount available' at the price on offer. This aims to reduce frustration in being transparent on how much is able to be bet up front. Once the amount on offer has been consumed, the price on offer will reduce and the limits will be reset. Bets at the displayed price and within normal betting limits will automatically be approved. If you have any questions regarding the operation of any of the above, So it doesn't matter if you've won thousands for weeks on end there is no account closure here.......you can bet what is available. ....this is a step in the right direction and if somebody had any balls in the administrative side of wagering they would make this mandatory across the wagering sector. .....under the current umbrella the Corporate sector is a wagering industry cancer. Unfortunately PUNTA only operates on local W.A racing. _______________________________________________ AusRace mailing list AusRace at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/ausrace -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image002.png Type: image/png Size: 48712 bytes Desc: not available URL: From conceptracing at bigpond.com Wed Oct 21 15:16:41 2020 From: conceptracing at bigpond.com (Ken Blake) Date: Wed, 21 Oct 2020 12:16:41 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Classic Bet In-Reply-To: <008401d6a746$111b9d20$3352d760$@ozemail.com.au> References: <008401d6a746$111b9d20$3352d760$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <000001d6a760$fb688b80$f239a280$@bigpond.com> Len.perhaps you have dialogue with some of these people. Literally hundreds of complaints against this mob..I actually got tired of scrolling down plus the rising blood pressure. Don't ever use sports bet. They scammed my money. There was one time I get on a table tennis match and the finished result is a win but they counted it as a loss. Tried to call their customer service which I had to wait for almost an hour and said they will get back to me after 48 hours. But after a week they told me that the it was a loss even after proving my bet receipt with the correct live score from sofa score! They told me I bet on a match that happened an hour earlier.. so they were trying to tell me that I went back in time an hour earlier to bet. The worse of all, even after I told them I watched the matched live and placed a live betting.. They still told me that they are not gonna do anything about it because they say it's a loss.. scammmmmmmmmmm.... They change the fixed odds post-bet Placed a fixed odds bet paying 5/1. Horse won, they paid out 3/1. "Live chat" took 40 minutes for a response, then they disconnect. Absolute scam-artists. F*** you, Sportsbet. I used bonus bet I used bonus bet, no scratchings from acceptance of my bet, underpaid $175. Worst service ever!!! Three phone calls to 24/7 hotline, one at 1.25am(!) got the same pre-recorded runaround-90 mins wasted. Three emails. Not a peep. I've used other betting services, never a problem. This one is the pits! Sportsbet took over beteasy Sportsbet took over beteasy, so I download the app, Placed 2 bets on the doggies, trifecta and first 4 same race, received the payout for the trifecta but not the first 4, both say "won", numbers were right, chat messaged them, Georgia first tells me I never boxed the bet (which clearly was) then tells me the winnings didn't cover the bet, then get told it wasn't a multi bet ... So 1.5 hours later getting passed around. Rip offs, enjoy the Xmas pissup at my expense, photos uploading to media as I write this review. I joined 2 weeks ago and I have since. I joined 2 weeks ago and I have since LOST $820.00 to Sportsbet - so they are well in front. I only bet $1550.00 so a 50% loss in significant. Sportsbet now tell me I have been cutoff from future promotions AND CANNOT TELL ME WHY - they say the matter is out of their hands. Despite my very concerned protestations nobody on their so called CUSTOMER SERVICE line was able to help - I was told that other parties had made that decision !! DO NOT TRUST SPORTSBET I am rightly annoyed and AT LEAST worthy of some respect in relation I placed a fixed price bet on Lanken. I placed a fixed price bet on Lanken Star at 44 to 1 Caulfield on the 15/04/2020. $2200.00 result. On the 18/04/2020 there were four scratchings. I took a screen shot of the scratchings, no deductions I also checked Beteasy, TAB, and Ladbrokes they also notified no deductions I also had two friends place a bet on Lanken Star with Ladbrokes and Betesy at fixed odds, there were no deductions taken from there bet. I contacted SPORTSBET to ask why they deducted $550.00 from my bet when there were no deductions notified after the scratchings on saturday their reply was sorry the deductions stand. Sportsbet are not a reputable company to bet with, when they moved the go Joke company.They advertise "a punter. Joke company.They advertise "a punter had $10,000" on a horse or footy game yet you try and have a couple of hundred and they take a partial bet of $30 or so .Full of rubbish! Overseas BS artist. SportsBet is a literal SCAM SportsBet is a literal SCAM. They will adjust the descriptions of bets after you have placed them and they will manipulate the results of bets against documented factual outcomes in order to resolve a bet in their favour. Customer support is arrogant and couldn't care less about retaining your business. One of the worst SCAM companies I've ever seen. From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Wednesday, October 21, 2020 9:04 AM To: racing at ausrace.com Subject: Re: [AusRace] Classic Bet Quote: New players or not they are ALL tarred with the same brush..... Comment on this Ken? -----Original Message----- From: ausrace-bounces at ausrace.com On Behalf Of Ken Blake Sent: Friday, 4 September 2015 9:27 AM To: ausrace at ausrace.com Subject: [AusRace] Classic Bet Len.......You are an A grade Masochist.....why do you torture yourself with these ongoing interactions with the corporate sector. New players or not they are ALL tarred with the same brush..... You summed it up perfectly " Gutless, incompetent, dishonest - they should preface their advertisements with "We welcome compulsive gamblers, desperates trying to gamble their way out of poverty, and those with mental illnesses. If there is a chance you may win, don't waste your time; we won't accept your business. There is an on course / online bookmaker here in W.A. .....PUNTA They display liabilities of each runner at the that particular price in 'amount available' similar to Betfair...... >From their website: Unlike your typical online bookmaker, we're listening. We want to know the price you're after for the bet you want. Punters betting with PUNTA Bookmaking have the ability to request a price for any given runner on a featured meeting. All requests are considered, whilst reasonably sized and priced bets are more likely to be approved. For example; $100 at the requested price of $7 rather, than at the displayed price of $6.50. PUNTA also displays the 'amount available' at the price on offer. This aims to reduce frustration in being transparent on how much is able to be bet up front. Once the amount on offer has been consumed, the price on offer will reduce and the limits will be reset. Bets at the displayed price and within normal betting limits will automatically be approved. If you have any questions regarding the operation of any of the above, So it doesn't matter if you've won thousands for weeks on end there is no account closure here.......you can bet what is available. ....this is a step in the right direction and if somebody had any balls in the administrative side of wagering they would make this mandatory across the wagering sector. .....under the current umbrella the Corporate sector is a wagering industry cancer. Unfortunately PUNTA only operates on local W.A racing. _______________________________________________ AusRace mailing list AusRace at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/ausrace -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 48712 bytes Desc: not available URL: From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Fri Oct 23 01:27:02 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Thu, 22 Oct 2020 22:27:02 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system Message-ID: <000301d6a87f$69912080$3cb36180$@bigpond.com> Fitness -The Key to Winning Barry J Blakemore wrote a series of horse racing form study books. I have contacted the author and obtained his permission to quote from his books Copyright Barrymore Publications - PO Box 673 BUDERIM Queensland 4556 Thank you Mr Blakemore Ref 07 5476***2 "Fitness -The Key to Winning" 1993 (56 pages) says this:- 52% winning runners (from multiple runners) when runners conform with an exposed frequency, when runners start within a few days of a previous run their winning chances improve, markedly - I did not know that and it's in the book. Yes it is specific and applicable to a select group but it is a powerful stat and one that is repeated over various distances of races. The author uses FITNESS PATTERNS to show and explain the likely capability of horses generally, and specifically, if runners have attributes shown to enable them to win, run above expectations, or tire and lose. Runners, and their re-appearance at the races are categorized (simplified) as thus, these are the FITNESS PATTERNS 1 to 9 days - simplified to 7 days 10 to 17 days - simplified to 14 days 18 to 24 days - simplified to 21 days On up to 39 to 45 days - simplified to 42 days Horses running on or after the 46th day are considered to be first up. First up is a bonus. There is plenty of statistical evidence (otherwise called results) that shows first uppers win races, more than expected, calculated, more than their share, more than people (other form tutors) give them credit for. An example of how the book shows us FITNESS PATTERNS - a runner with 9 days until its next run, then another run on the 19th day along until a third run on the 39th day in is shown as 9/19/39 which simplifies to 35/21/7 ( see above). Runs before the 9th day appearance are disregarded, considered to be too far back in the form score to affect its endeavours now. The author then divides races into divisions (1000/1100m- 1200m-1300/1400m, 1500/1600m, etc. until races over 2100m+ are dealt with as a large group. Nonetheless, within those divisions there are FITNESS PATTERNS/niches that have percentage scores way over and above other PATTERNS around them. So in each race you have runners who had their last starts some days ago, varying, and those gaps in the days have a value that increases, or decreases, dependent on the time gap, and also affected by the distance of the race to be contested. The authors research has shown, or revealed, niches where runners are more likely to prove competitive, or importantly, when and where they can be discounted as possibilities. Sprinters need time to recuperate, distance runners need racing to keep them ticking along, first uppers over sprint distances are dynamite (I said that), 3 runs in 31 days can be a good thing, or a bad thing, a great thing or an occasion when a judgement is required - it's in the book. Further reviews of the authors other books will be posted soon. The Key Factor is Fitness 1997 - Barrymore Publications The Key Factor is Fitness - The System 1997 82 pages - Barrymore Publications The Secrets of Class and other Key Factors 2000 180 pages - Barrymore Publications The Secrets of Class - The System 2001 -80 pages - Barrymore Publications Weights Right 2004 136 pages - Barrymore Publications These publications are an intellectual investment in winner finding, horse racing generally, honest and earnest reasoning regarding the punt. The Secrets of Class (both) are well researched and well written. The same can be said of Weights Right. The others are a little dated. All books hold true to the method(s) written about in The Key Factor is Fitness. They are all out of print. Thank you Mr Blakemore Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Fri Oct 23 12:25:20 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Fri, 23 Oct 2020 12:25:20 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Classic Bet In-Reply-To: <000001d6a760$fb688b80$f239a280$@bigpond.com> References: <008401d6a746$111b9d20$3352d760$@ozemail.com.au> <000001d6a760$fb688b80$f239a280$@bigpond.com> Message-ID: <002601d6a8db$612b7330$23825990$@ozemail.com.au> I take very little, usually no, notice of comments from people I don't know. I judge bookmarkers solely on my dealings with them. I regard bookmakers as conduits/middlemen to transfer money between other punters and me (sort of like BetFair without 10% commission). Other punters are, for me, my opponents, not bookmakers. May the hardest workers prosper. When I bet in the Morphettville Auditorium, we used to drink together on occasions when the betting was done, on a few occasions venture down to Glenelg for a meal. On course I told Webster, Thornton and Churches (maybe only NorSaint will remember them) that they got an odds wrong - "I'll have $1000 #6 if you're serious Steve", he whipped the slide across, "No, I'm not serious". "Thanks", said John, "I don't need a leg-up", "I think you'd do the same even if you did". Other punters did not like it, but they were my opponents, I was not seeking their friendship or approval. Having difficulty reconciling my bets with Ron Bannear's staff - "Just pay Lenny whatever he says" said Bannear. In Sydney after Randwick, we'd retire to the War Memorial Club, Wayne McDonald, assorted bookmaker/TAB/Luxbet staff and a punter. The young would make their lines to McDonald's daughter (a stunner) and I'd recognise my limitations and drink/talk. Yes, I post here warnings about the crooks, but as long as others (Sportsbet, TAB, TopSport, B365, Sportsbetting notably) are willing/forced to afford me wine, women and song, c'est la vie! Nothing more, just enough to live pleasantly month-to-month - if Biden wins and China annexes Australia, I'm a gonna. From: Racing On Behalf Of Ken Blake Sent: Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:17 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] Classic Bet Len.perhaps you have dialogue with some of these people. Literally hundreds of complaints against this mob..I actually got tired of scrolling down plus the rising blood pressure. Don't ever use sports bet. They scammed my money. There was one time I get on a table tennis match and the finished result is a win but they counted it as a loss. Tried to call their customer service which I had to wait for almost an hour and said they will get back to me after 48 hours. But after a week they told me that the it was a loss even after proving my bet receipt with the correct live score from sofa score! They told me I bet on a match that happened an hour earlier.. so they were trying to tell me that I went back in time an hour earlier to bet. The worse of all, even after I told them I watched the matched live and placed a live betting.. They still told me that they are not gonna do anything about it because they say it's a loss.. scammmmmmmmmmm.... They change the fixed odds post-bet Placed a fixed odds bet paying 5/1. Horse won, they paid out 3/1. "Live chat" took 40 minutes for a response, then they disconnect. Absolute scam-artists. F*** you, Sportsbet. I used bonus bet I used bonus bet, no scratchings from acceptance of my bet, underpaid $175. Worst service ever!!! Three phone calls to 24/7 hotline, one at 1.25am(!) got the same pre-recorded runaround-90 mins wasted. Three emails. Not a peep. I've used other betting services, never a problem. This one is the pits! Sportsbet took over beteasy Sportsbet took over beteasy, so I download the app, Placed 2 bets on the doggies, trifecta and first 4 same race, received the payout for the trifecta but not the first 4, both say "won", numbers were right, chat messaged them, Georgia first tells me I never boxed the bet (which clearly was) then tells me the winnings didn't cover the bet, then get told it wasn't a multi bet ... So 1.5 hours later getting passed around. Rip offs, enjoy the Xmas pissup at my expense, photos uploading to media as I write this review. I joined 2 weeks ago and I have since. I joined 2 weeks ago and I have since LOST $820.00 to Sportsbet - so they are well in front. I only bet $1550.00 so a 50% loss in significant. Sportsbet now tell me I have been cutoff from future promotions AND CANNOT TELL ME WHY - they say the matter is out of their hands. Despite my very concerned protestations nobody on their so called CUSTOMER SERVICE line was able to help - I was told that other parties had made that decision !! DO NOT TRUST SPORTSBET I am rightly annoyed and AT LEAST worthy of some respect in relation I placed a fixed price bet on Lanken. I placed a fixed price bet on Lanken Star at 44 to 1 Caulfield on the 15/04/2020. $2200.00 result. On the 18/04/2020 there were four scratchings. I took a screen shot of the scratchings, no deductions I also checked Beteasy, TAB, and Ladbrokes they also notified no deductions I also had two friends place a bet on Lanken Star with Ladbrokes and Betesy at fixed odds, there were no deductions taken from there bet. I contacted SPORTSBET to ask why they deducted $550.00 from my bet when there were no deductions notified after the scratchings on saturday their reply was sorry the deductions stand. Sportsbet are not a reputable company to bet with, when they moved the go Joke company.They advertise "a punter. Joke company.They advertise "a punter had $10,000" on a horse or footy game yet you try and have a couple of hundred and they take a partial bet of $30 or so .Full of rubbish! Overseas BS artist. SportsBet is a literal SCAM SportsBet is a literal SCAM. They will adjust the descriptions of bets after you have placed them and they will manipulate the results of bets against documented factual outcomes in order to resolve a bet in their favour. Customer support is arrogant and couldn't care less about retaining your business. One of the worst SCAM companies I've ever seen. From: Racing > On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Wednesday, October 21, 2020 9:04 AM To: racing at ausrace.com Subject: Re: [AusRace] Classic Bet Quote: New players or not they are ALL tarred with the same brush..... Comment on this Ken? -----Original Message----- From: ausrace-bounces at ausrace.com On Behalf Of Ken Blake Sent: Friday, 4 September 2015 9:27 AM To: ausrace at ausrace.com Subject: [AusRace] Classic Bet Len.......You are an A grade Masochist.....why do you torture yourself with these ongoing interactions with the corporate sector. New players or not they are ALL tarred with the same brush..... You summed it up perfectly " Gutless, incompetent, dishonest - they should preface their advertisements with "We welcome compulsive gamblers, desperates trying to gamble their way out of poverty, and those with mental illnesses. If there is a chance you may win, don't waste your time; we won't accept your business. There is an on course / online bookmaker here in W.A. .....PUNTA They display liabilities of each runner at the that particular price in 'amount available' similar to Betfair...... >From their website: Unlike your typical online bookmaker, we're listening. We want to know the price you're after for the bet you want. Punters betting with PUNTA Bookmaking have the ability to request a price for any given runner on a featured meeting. All requests are considered, whilst reasonably sized and priced bets are more likely to be approved. For example; $100 at the requested price of $7 rather, than at the displayed price of $6.50. PUNTA also displays the 'amount available' at the price on offer. This aims to reduce frustration in being transparent on how much is able to be bet up front. Once the amount on offer has been consumed, the price on offer will reduce and the limits will be reset. Bets at the displayed price and within normal betting limits will automatically be approved. If you have any questions regarding the operation of any of the above, So it doesn't matter if you've won thousands for weeks on end there is no account closure here.......you can bet what is available. ....this is a step in the right direction and if somebody had any balls in the administrative side of wagering they would make this mandatory across the wagering sector. .....under the current umbrella the Corporate sector is a wagering industry cancer. Unfortunately PUNTA only operates on local W.A racing. _______________________________________________ AusRace mailing list AusRace at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/ausrace -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 48712 bytes Desc: not available URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Mon Oct 26 10:47:11 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Mon, 26 Oct 2020 10:47:11 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system In-Reply-To: <000301d6a87f$69912080$3cb36180$@bigpond.com> References: <000301d6a87f$69912080$3cb36180$@bigpond.com> Message-ID: <002701d6ab29$2a5460b0$7efd2210$@ozemail.com.au> Tony, He got this wrong, at least in the context of Australian Thoroughbred races: There is plenty of statistical evidence (otherwise called results) that shows first uppers win races, more than expected, calculated, ****more than their share****, more than people (other form tutors) give them credit for. Wrong, unconditionally wrong. I analysed 190,000+ first-uppers (excluding first-starters) in field of 8 or more (so I can also compare Place performance, which I mostly bet), in races I have rated since 2005. First Ups win (and place) very significantly less than their share - 8.6%, 25.8% cf 9.3%, 28.1% for all runners, and significantly less than 2nd up (9.0, 26.9), and even more so than 3rd up (10.0, 29.3). Quickly, why are there more 2nd ups than First ups, but less 3rd ups than 2nd ups? However, the market factors in the well-know (well I thought so) fact that first ups win much less than their share, and so the level stake return at SP of first ups is not significantly different to that of all runners. LBL -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Friday, 23 October 2020 1:27 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system Fitness -The Key to Winning Barry J Blakemore wrote a series of horse racing form study books. I have contacted the author and obtained his permission to quote from his books Copyright Barrymore Publications - PO Box 673 BUDERIM Queensland 4556 Thank you Mr Blakemore Ref 07 5476***2 "Fitness -The Key to Winning" 1993 (56 pages) says this:- 52% winning runners (from multiple runners) when runners conform with an exposed frequency, when runners start within a few days of a previous run their winning chances improve, markedly - I did not know that and it's in the book. Yes it is specific and applicable to a select group but it is a powerful stat and one that is repeated over various distances of races. The author uses FITNESS PATTERNS to show and explain the likely capability of horses generally, and specifically, if runners have attributes shown to enable them to win, run above expectations, or tire and lose. Runners, and their re-appearance at the races are categorized (simplified) as thus, these are the FITNESS PATTERNS 1 to 9 days - simplified to 7 days 10 to 17 days - simplified to 14 days 18 to 24 days - simplified to 21 days On up to 39 to 45 days - simplified to 42 days Horses running on or after the 46th day are considered to be first up. First up is a bonus. There is plenty of statistical evidence (otherwise called results) that shows first uppers win races, more than expected, calculated, more than their share, more than people (other form tutors) give them credit for. An example of how the book shows us FITNESS PATTERNS - a runner with 9 days until its next run, then another run on the 19th day along until a third run on the 39th day in is shown as 9/19/39 which simplifies to 35/21/7 ( see above). Runs before the 9th day appearance are disregarded, considered to be too far back in the form score to affect its endeavours now. The author then divides races into divisions (1000/1100m- 1200m-1300/1400m, 1500/1600m, etc. until races over 2100m+ are dealt with as a large group. Nonetheless, within those divisions there are FITNESS PATTERNS/niches that have percentage scores way over and above other PATTERNS around them. So in each race you have runners who had their last starts some days ago, varying, and those gaps in the days have a value that increases, or decreases, dependent on the time gap, and also affected by the distance of the race to be contested. The authors research has shown, or revealed, niches where runners are more likely to prove competitive, or importantly, when and where they can be discounted as possibilities. Sprinters need time to recuperate, distance runners need racing to keep them ticking along, first uppers over sprint distances are dynamite (I said that), 3 runs in 31 days can be a good thing, or a bad thing, a great thing or an occasion when a judgement is required - it's in the book. Further reviews of the authors other books will be posted soon. The Key Factor is Fitness 1997 - Barrymore Publications The Key Factor is Fitness - The System 1997 82 pages - Barrymore Publications The Secrets of Class and other Key Factors 2000 180 pages - Barrymore Publications The Secrets of Class - The System 2001 -80 pages - Barrymore Publications Weights Right 2004 136 pages - Barrymore Publications These publications are an intellectual investment in winner finding, horse racing generally, honest and earnest reasoning regarding the punt. The Secrets of Class (both) are well researched and well written. The same can be said of Weights Right. The others are a little dated. All books hold true to the method(s) written about in The Key Factor is Fitness. They are all out of print. Thank you Mr Blakemore Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From seanmac4321 at gmail.com Mon Oct 26 12:32:40 2020 From: seanmac4321 at gmail.com (sean mclaren) Date: Mon, 26 Oct 2020 11:32:40 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system In-Reply-To: <002701d6ab29$2a5460b0$7efd2210$@ozemail.com.au> References: <000301d6a87f$69912080$3cb36180$@bigpond.com> <002701d6ab29$2a5460b0$7efd2210$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: hi guys. i spent more time than i care to remember compiling fitness tables, Blakemore style. no joy. and it wasn't marginal. none, and i mean none, matched up to his recorded strike rates. i tried with WA Metro Races, using a few thousand races. and it wasn't marginal. i'm being vague, as this was done a couple of years ago at least. i don't have the time nor the inclination to go and revisit. as you both are aware, i crunch WA and HK data. BTW i don't make this stuff up. Len, i am not surprised at your findings. On Mon, Oct 26, 2020 at 9:47 AM L.B.Loveday wrote: > Tony, > > > > He got this wrong, at least in the context of Australian Thoroughbred > races: > > > > There is plenty of statistical evidence (otherwise called results) that > shows first uppers win races, more than expected, calculated, ****more > than their share****, more than people (other form tutors) give them > credit for. > > > > Wrong, unconditionally wrong. > > > > I analysed 190,000+ first-uppers (excluding first-starters) in field of 8 > or more (so I can also compare Place performance, which I mostly bet), in > races I have rated since 2005. > > > > First Ups win (and place) very significantly less than their share - 8.6%, > 25.8% cf 9.3%, 28.1% for all runners, and significantly less than 2nd up > (9.0, 26.9), and even more so than 3rd up (10.0, 29.3). Quickly, why are > there more 2nd ups than First ups, but less 3rd ups than 2nd ups? > > > > However, the market factors in the well-know (well I thought so) fact that > first ups win much less than their share, and so the level stake return at > SP of first ups is not significantly different to that of all runners. > > > > LBL > > > > > > -----Original Message----- > From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat > Sent: Friday, 23 October 2020 1:27 AM > To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system > > > > > > Fitness -The Key to Winning > > Barry J Blakemore wrote a series of horse racing form study books. > > I have contacted the author and obtained his permission to quote from his > books Copyright Barrymore Publications - PO Box 673 BUDERIM Queensland 4556 > Thank you Mr Blakemore Ref 07 5476***2 > > > > "Fitness -The Key to Winning" 1993 (56 pages) says this:- 52% winning > runners (from multiple runners) when runners conform with an exposed > frequency, when runners start within a few days of a previous run their > winning chances improve, markedly - I did not know that and it's in the > book. Yes it is specific and applicable to a select group but it is a > powerful stat and one that is repeated over various distances of races. > > The author uses FITNESS PATTERNS to show and explain the likely capability > of horses generally, and specifically, if runners have attributes shown to > enable them to win, run above expectations, or tire and lose. > > Runners, and their re-appearance at the races are categorized (simplified) > as thus, these are the FITNESS PATTERNS > > 1 to 9 days - simplified to 7 days > > 10 to 17 days - simplified to 14 days > > 18 to 24 days - simplified to 21 days > > On up to > > 39 to 45 days - simplified to 42 days > > Horses running on or after the 46th day are considered to be first up. > First up is a bonus. There is plenty of statistical evidence (otherwise > called > > results) that shows first uppers win races, more than expected, > calculated, more than their share, more than people (other form tutors) > give them credit for. > > An example of how the book shows us FITNESS PATTERNS - a runner with 9 > days until its next run, then another run on the 19th day along until a > third run on the 39th day in is shown as 9/19/39 which simplifies to > 35/21/7 ( see above). Runs before the 9th day appearance are disregarded, > considered to be > > too far back in the form score to affect its endeavours now. > > The author then divides races into divisions (1000/1100m- > 1200m-1300/1400m, 1500/1600m, etc. until races over 2100m+ are dealt with > as a large group. > > Nonetheless, within those divisions there are FITNESS PATTERNS/niches that > have percentage scores way over and above other PATTERNS around them. > > So in each race you have runners who had their last starts some days ago, > varying, and those gaps in the days have a value that increases, or > decreases, dependent on the time gap, and also affected by the distance of > the race to be contested. The authors research has shown, or revealed, > niches where runners are more likely to prove competitive, or importantly, > when and where they can be discounted as possibilities. Sprinters need time > to recuperate, distance runners need racing to keep them ticking along, > first uppers over sprint distances are dynamite (I said that), 3 runs in 31 > days can be a good thing, or a bad thing, a great thing or an occasion when > a judgement is required - it's in the book. > > Further reviews of the authors other books will be posted soon. > > The Key Factor is Fitness 1997 - Barrymore Publications The Key Factor is > Fitness - The System 1997 82 pages - Barrymore Publications The Secrets of > Class and other Key Factors 2000 180 pages - Barrymore Publications The > Secrets of Class - The System 2001 -80 pages - Barrymore Publications > Weights Right 2004 136 pages - Barrymore Publications These publications > are an intellectual investment in winner finding, horse racing generally, > honest and earnest reasoning regarding the punt. The Secrets of Class > (both) are well researched and well written. The same can be said of > Weights Right. The others are a little dated. All books hold true to the > method(s) written about in The Key Factor is Fitness. They are all out of > print. > > Thank you Mr Blakemore > > > > Cheers > > > > Tony > > > > > > > > > > -- > > This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. > > https://www.avg.com > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > > Racing mailing list > > Racing at ausrace.com > > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Tue Oct 27 00:59:36 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Mon, 26 Oct 2020 21:59:36 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system In-Reply-To: <002701d6ab29$2a5460b0$7efd2210$@ozemail.com.au> References: <000301d6a87f$69912080$3cb36180$@bigpond.com> <002701d6ab29$2a5460b0$7efd2210$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <007001d6aba0$3e091cf0$ba1b56d0$@bigpond.com> Len - thanks. My reply is full of data with decimal points, and the crux of his book, and before I do post it here I offered the words I had written to the author for his knowledge of my actions, and his approval of those. He uses snail mail so please stand by. Quickly, you ask, I don't know. P'raps, if you have done the math you have this book? If so most of my reply is based on the table on page 31. NEW SUBJECT: Is trainers, owners, those in the know, them betting with information we, me, don't know a fiduciary advantage and thereby Insider Trading, by definition? When will horse weights advice be mandatory? Cheers Tony From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Monday, 26 October 2020 7:47 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system Tony, He got this wrong, at least in the context of Australian Thoroughbred races: There is plenty of statistical evidence (otherwise called results) that shows first uppers win races, more than expected, calculated, ****more than their share****, more than people (other form tutors) give them credit for. Wrong, unconditionally wrong. I analysed 190,000+ first-uppers (excluding first-starters) in field of 8 or more (so I can also compare Place performance, which I mostly bet), in races I have rated since 2005. First Ups win (and place) very significantly less than their share - 8.6%, 25.8% cf 9.3%, 28.1% for all runners, and significantly less than 2nd up (9.0, 26.9), and even more so than 3rd up (10.0, 29.3). Quickly, why are there more 2nd ups than First ups, but less 3rd ups than 2nd ups? However, the market factors in the well-know (well I thought so) fact that first ups win much less than their share, and so the level stake return at SP of first ups is not significantly different to that of all runners. LBL -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Friday, 23 October 2020 1:27 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system Fitness -The Key to Winning Barry J Blakemore wrote a series of horse racing form study books. I have contacted the author and obtained his permission to quote from his books Copyright Barrymore Publications - PO Box 673 BUDERIM Queensland 4556 Thank you Mr Blakemore Ref 07 5476***2 "Fitness -The Key to Winning" 1993 (56 pages) says this:- 52% winning runners (from multiple runners) when runners conform with an exposed frequency, when runners start within a few days of a previous run their winning chances improve, markedly - I did not know that and it's in the book. Yes it is specific and applicable to a select group but it is a powerful stat and one that is repeated over various distances of races. The author uses FITNESS PATTERNS to show and explain the likely capability of horses generally, and specifically, if runners have attributes shown to enable them to win, run above expectations, or tire and lose. Runners, and their re-appearance at the races are categorized (simplified) as thus, these are the FITNESS PATTERNS 1 to 9 days - simplified to 7 days 10 to 17 days - simplified to 14 days 18 to 24 days - simplified to 21 days On up to 39 to 45 days - simplified to 42 days Horses running on or after the 46th day are considered to be first up. First up is a bonus. There is plenty of statistical evidence (otherwise called results) that shows first uppers win races, more than expected, calculated, more than their share, more than people (other form tutors) give them credit for. An example of how the book shows us FITNESS PATTERNS - a runner with 9 days until its next run, then another run on the 19th day along until a third run on the 39th day in is shown as 9/19/39 which simplifies to 35/21/7 ( see above). Runs before the 9th day appearance are disregarded, considered to be too far back in the form score to affect its endeavours now. The author then divides races into divisions (1000/1100m- 1200m-1300/1400m, 1500/1600m, etc. until races over 2100m+ are dealt with as a large group. Nonetheless, within those divisions there are FITNESS PATTERNS/niches that have percentage scores way over and above other PATTERNS around them. So in each race you have runners who had their last starts some days ago, varying, and those gaps in the days have a value that increases, or decreases, dependent on the time gap, and also affected by the distance of the race to be contested. The authors research has shown, or revealed, niches where runners are more likely to prove competitive, or importantly, when and where they can be discounted as possibilities. Sprinters need time to recuperate, distance runners need racing to keep them ticking along, first uppers over sprint distances are dynamite (I said that), 3 runs in 31 days can be a good thing, or a bad thing, a great thing or an occasion when a judgement is required - it's in the book. Further reviews of the authors other books will be posted soon. The Key Factor is Fitness 1997 - Barrymore Publications The Key Factor is Fitness - The System 1997 82 pages - Barrymore Publications The Secrets of Class and other Key Factors 2000 180 pages - Barrymore Publications The Secrets of Class - The System 2001 -80 pages - Barrymore Publications Weights Right 2004 136 pages - Barrymore Publications These publications are an intellectual investment in winner finding, horse racing generally, honest and earnest reasoning regarding the punt. The Secrets of Class (both) are well researched and well written. The same can be said of Weights Right. The others are a little dated. All books hold true to the method(s) written about in The Key Factor is Fitness. They are all out of print. Thank you Mr Blakemore Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Tue Oct 27 04:24:52 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Tue, 27 Oct 2020 04:24:52 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system In-Reply-To: <007001d6aba0$3e091cf0$ba1b56d0$@bigpond.com> References: <000301d6a87f$69912080$3cb36180$@bigpond.com> <002701d6ab29$2a5460b0$7efd2210$@ozemail.com.au> <007001d6aba0$3e091cf0$ba1b56d0$@bigpond.com> Message-ID: <001001d6abbc$ec1ad0b0$c4507210$@ozemail.com.au> Tony, Quickly, why are there more 2nd ups than First ups, but less 3rd ups than 2nd ups? Because a horse having its second run is, unless it was spelled after its first run, 2nd up, but never had a first up, as distinct from first start which is a separate class of run, as I specified - " first-uppers (excluding first-starters)". But a horse can only be 3rd up if it had a 2nd up, and some spell after the 2nd up, so there must be more 2nd up than 3rd up. Is trainers, owners, those in the know, them betting with information we, me, don't know a fiduciary advantage and thereby Insider Trading, by definition? No. When will horse weights advice be mandatory? When people are prepared to pay enough? LBL From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Tuesday, 27 October 2020 1:00 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system Len - thanks. My reply is full of data with decimal points, and the crux of his book, and before I do post it here I offered the words I had written to the author for his knowledge of my actions, and his approval of those. He uses snail mail so please stand by. Quickly, you ask, I don't know. P'raps, if you have done the math you have this book? If so most of my reply is based on the table on page 31. NEW SUBJECT: Is trainers, owners, those in the know, them betting with information we, me, don't know a fiduciary advantage and thereby Insider Trading, by definition? When will horse weights advice be mandatory? Cheers Tony From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Monday, 26 October 2020 7:47 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system Tony, He got this wrong, at least in the context of Australian Thoroughbred races: There is plenty of statistical evidence (otherwise called results) that shows first uppers win races, more than expected, calculated, ****more than their share****, more than people (other form tutors) give them credit for. Wrong, unconditionally wrong. I analysed 190,000+ first-uppers (excluding first-starters) in field of 8 or more (so I can also compare Place performance, which I mostly bet), in races I have rated since 2005. First Ups win (and place) very significantly less than their share - 8.6%, 25.8% cf 9.3%, 28.1% for all runners, and significantly less than 2nd up (9.0, 26.9), and even more so than 3rd up (10.0, 29.3). Quickly, why are there more 2nd ups than First ups, but less 3rd ups than 2nd ups? However, the market factors in the well-know (well I thought so) fact that first ups win much less than their share, and so the level stake return at SP of first ups is not significantly different to that of all runners. LBL -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Friday, 23 October 2020 1:27 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system Fitness -The Key to Winning Barry J Blakemore wrote a series of horse racing form study books. I have contacted the author and obtained his permission to quote from his books Copyright Barrymore Publications - PO Box 673 BUDERIM Queensland 4556 Thank you Mr Blakemore Ref 07 5476***2 "Fitness -The Key to Winning" 1993 (56 pages) says this:- 52% winning runners (from multiple runners) when runners conform with an exposed frequency, when runners start within a few days of a previous run their winning chances improve, markedly - I did not know that and it's in the book. Yes it is specific and applicable to a select group but it is a powerful stat and one that is repeated over various distances of races. The author uses FITNESS PATTERNS to show and explain the likely capability of horses generally, and specifically, if runners have attributes shown to enable them to win, run above expectations, or tire and lose. Runners, and their re-appearance at the races are categorized (simplified) as thus, these are the FITNESS PATTERNS 1 to 9 days - simplified to 7 days 10 to 17 days - simplified to 14 days 18 to 24 days - simplified to 21 days On up to 39 to 45 days - simplified to 42 days Horses running on or after the 46th day are considered to be first up. First up is a bonus. There is plenty of statistical evidence (otherwise called results) that shows first uppers win races, more than expected, calculated, more than their share, more than people (other form tutors) give them credit for. An example of how the book shows us FITNESS PATTERNS - a runner with 9 days until its next run, then another run on the 19th day along until a third run on the 39th day in is shown as 9/19/39 which simplifies to 35/21/7 ( see above). Runs before the 9th day appearance are disregarded, considered to be too far back in the form score to affect its endeavours now. The author then divides races into divisions (1000/1100m- 1200m-1300/1400m, 1500/1600m, etc. until races over 2100m+ are dealt with as a large group. Nonetheless, within those divisions there are FITNESS PATTERNS/niches that have percentage scores way over and above other PATTERNS around them. So in each race you have runners who had their last starts some days ago, varying, and those gaps in the days have a value that increases, or decreases, dependent on the time gap, and also affected by the distance of the race to be contested. The authors research has shown, or revealed, niches where runners are more likely to prove competitive, or importantly, when and where they can be discounted as possibilities. Sprinters need time to recuperate, distance runners need racing to keep them ticking along, first uppers over sprint distances are dynamite (I said that), 3 runs in 31 days can be a good thing, or a bad thing, a great thing or an occasion when a judgement is required - it's in the book. Further reviews of the authors other books will be posted soon. The Key Factor is Fitness 1997 - Barrymore Publications The Key Factor is Fitness - The System 1997 82 pages - Barrymore Publications The Secrets of Class and other Key Factors 2000 180 pages - Barrymore Publications The Secrets of Class - The System 2001 -80 pages - Barrymore Publications Weights Right 2004 136 pages - Barrymore Publications These publications are an intellectual investment in winner finding, horse racing generally, honest and earnest reasoning regarding the punt. The Secrets of Class (both) are well researched and well written. The same can be said of Weights Right. The others are a little dated. All books hold true to the method(s) written about in The Key Factor is Fitness. They are all out of print. Thank you Mr Blakemore Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com Virus-free. www.avg.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Tue Oct 27 11:09:31 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Tue, 27 Oct 2020 08:09:31 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system In-Reply-To: <001001d6abbc$ec1ad0b0$c4507210$@ozemail.com.au> References: <000301d6a87f$69912080$3cb36180$@bigpond.com> <002701d6ab29$2a5460b0$7efd2210$@ozemail.com.au> <007001d6aba0$3e091cf0$ba1b56d0$@bigpond.com> <001001d6abbc$ec1ad0b0$c4507210$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <005201d6abf5$7237b900$56a72b00$@bigpond.com> You wrote: Because a horse having its second run is, unless it was spelled after its first run, 2nd up, but never had a first up, as distinct from first start which is a separate class of run, as I specified - " first-uppers (excluding first-starters)". Right. My use of 'first uppers' (and the authors) is a horse with history that is returning to the track - not its first run in a race. First uppers running in a ( distance niche) win at 30+% - it's specific as to distance, and there are a few of them running with those traits. So is that information useable? Don't do form in races where there are first uppers? Back them if their odds exceed their numerable presence? Always back those in the market because money is truth and somebody knows something (and you don't) apart from them being 'first uppers'? Cheers Tony Still waiting for the mailgirl (Vicki) From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Tuesday, 27 October 2020 1:25 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system Tony, Quickly, why are there more 2nd ups than First ups, but less 3rd ups than 2nd ups? Because a horse having its second run is, unless it was spelled after its first run, 2nd up, but never had a first up, as distinct from first start which is a separate class of run, as I specified - " first-uppers (excluding first-starters)". But a horse can only be 3rd up if it had a 2nd up, and some spell after the 2nd up, so there must be more 2nd up than 3rd up. Is trainers, owners, those in the know, them betting with information we, me, don't know a fiduciary advantage and thereby Insider Trading, by definition? No. When will horse weights advice be mandatory? When people are prepared to pay enough? LBL From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Tuesday, 27 October 2020 1:00 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system Len - thanks. My reply is full of data with decimal points, and the crux of his book, and before I do post it here I offered the words I had written to the author for his knowledge of my actions, and his approval of those. He uses snail mail so please stand by. Quickly, you ask, I don't know. P'raps, if you have done the math you have this book? If so most of my reply is based on the table on page 31. NEW SUBJECT: Is trainers, owners, those in the know, them betting with information we, me, don't know a fiduciary advantage and thereby Insider Trading, by definition? When will horse weights advice be mandatory? Cheers Tony From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Monday, 26 October 2020 7:47 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system Tony, He got this wrong, at least in the context of Australian Thoroughbred races: There is plenty of statistical evidence (otherwise called results) that shows first uppers win races, more than expected, calculated, ****more than their share****, more than people (other form tutors) give them credit for. Wrong, unconditionally wrong. I analysed 190,000+ first-uppers (excluding first-starters) in field of 8 or more (so I can also compare Place performance, which I mostly bet), in races I have rated since 2005. First Ups win (and place) very significantly less than their share - 8.6%, 25.8% cf 9.3%, 28.1% for all runners, and significantly less than 2nd up (9.0, 26.9), and even more so than 3rd up (10.0, 29.3). Quickly, why are there more 2nd ups than First ups, but less 3rd ups than 2nd ups? However, the market factors in the well-know (well I thought so) fact that first ups win much less than their share, and so the level stake return at SP of first ups is not significantly different to that of all runners. LBL -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Friday, 23 October 2020 1:27 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] Fitness - The Key to Winning - a system Fitness -The Key to Winning Barry J Blakemore wrote a series of horse racing form study books. I have contacted the author and obtained his permission to quote from his books Copyright Barrymore Publications - PO Box 673 BUDERIM Queensland 4556 Thank you Mr Blakemore Ref 07 5476***2 "Fitness -The Key to Winning" 1993 (56 pages) says this:- 52% winning runners (from multiple runners) when runners conform with an exposed frequency, when runners start within a few days of a previous run their winning chances improve, markedly - I did not know that and it's in the book. Yes it is specific and applicable to a select group but it is a powerful stat and one that is repeated over various distances of races. The author uses FITNESS PATTERNS to show and explain the likely capability of horses generally, and specifically, if runners have attributes shown to enable them to win, run above expectations, or tire and lose. Runners, and their re-appearance at the races are categorized (simplified) as thus, these are the FITNESS PATTERNS 1 to 9 days - simplified to 7 days 10 to 17 days - simplified to 14 days 18 to 24 days - simplified to 21 days On up to 39 to 45 days - simplified to 42 days Horses running on or after the 46th day are considered to be first up. First up is a bonus. There is plenty of statistical evidence (otherwise called results) that shows first uppers win races, more than expected, calculated, more than their share, more than people (other form tutors) give them credit for. An example of how the book shows us FITNESS PATTERNS - a runner with 9 days until its next run, then another run on the 19th day along until a third run on the 39th day in is shown as 9/19/39 which simplifies to 35/21/7 ( see above). Runs before the 9th day appearance are disregarded, considered to be too far back in the form score to affect its endeavours now. The author then divides races into divisions (1000/1100m- 1200m-1300/1400m, 1500/1600m, etc. until races over 2100m+ are dealt with as a large group. Nonetheless, within those divisions there are FITNESS PATTERNS/niches that have percentage scores way over and above other PATTERNS around them. So in each race you have runners who had their last starts some days ago, varying, and those gaps in the days have a value that increases, or decreases, dependent on the time gap, and also affected by the distance of the race to be contested. The authors research has shown, or revealed, niches where runners are more likely to prove competitive, or importantly, when and where they can be discounted as possibilities. Sprinters need time to recuperate, distance runners need racing to keep them ticking along, first uppers over sprint distances are dynamite (I said that), 3 runs in 31 days can be a good thing, or a bad thing, a great thing or an occasion when a judgement is required - it's in the book. Further reviews of the authors other books will be posted soon. The Key Factor is Fitness 1997 - Barrymore Publications The Key Factor is Fitness - The System 1997 82 pages - Barrymore Publications The Secrets of Class and other Key Factors 2000 180 pages - Barrymore Publications The Secrets of Class - The System 2001 -80 pages - Barrymore Publications Weights Right 2004 136 pages - Barrymore Publications These publications are an intellectual investment in winner finding, horse racing generally, honest and earnest reasoning regarding the punt. The Secrets of Class (both) are well researched and well written. The same can be said of Weights Right. The others are a little dated. All books hold true to the method(s) written about in The Key Factor is Fitness. They are all out of print. Thank you Mr Blakemore Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com Virus-free. www.avg.com -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Wed Oct 28 13:23:25 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Wed, 28 Oct 2020 13:23:25 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? Message-ID: <003601d6acd1$5ea74090$1bf5c1b0$@ozemail.com.au> Melbourne Cup this Saturday night, under lights I presume. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 15005 bytes Desc: not available URL: From nick.aubrey at twonix.com Wed Oct 28 19:24:26 2020 From: nick.aubrey at twonix.com (nick.aubrey) Date: Wed, 28 Oct 2020 19:24:26 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? In-Reply-To: <003601d6acd1$5ea74090$1bf5c1b0$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: Ha ha that's funny.?Len where did u see that? is it online ?Cheers,ANSent on the go with Vodafone -------- Original message --------From: "L.B.Loveday" Date: 28/10/20 1:23 pm (GMT+10:00) To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? Melbourne Cup this Saturday night, under lights I presume.?? -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 15005 bytes Desc: not available URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Wed Oct 28 19:29:02 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Wed, 28 Oct 2020 19:29:02 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? In-Reply-To: <5c1d5d$9t360f@irony-in37.icp.internal.iinet.net.au> References: <003601d6acd1$5ea74090$1bf5c1b0$@ozemail.com.au> <5c1d5d$9t360f@irony-in37.icp.internal.iinet.net.au> Message-ID: <006c01d6ad04$667338f0$3359aad0$@ozemail.com.au> Yes Nick, TAB.com.au, click Jackpots top left, scroll down and there it is! From: Racing On Behalf Of nick.aubrey Sent: Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:24 PM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List Subject: Re: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? Ha ha that's funny. Len where did u see that? is it online ? Cheers, AN Sent on the go with Vodafone -------- Original message -------- From: "L.B.Loveday" > Date: 28/10/20 1:23 pm (GMT+10:00) To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? Melbourne Cup this Saturday night, under lights I presume. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 15005 bytes Desc: not available URL: From RaceStats at hotmail.com Wed Oct 28 21:51:19 2020 From: RaceStats at hotmail.com (Race Stats) Date: Wed, 28 Oct 2020 10:51:19 +0000 Subject: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? In-Reply-To: <006c01d6ad04$667338f0$3359aad0$@ozemail.com.au> References: <003601d6acd1$5ea74090$1bf5c1b0$@ozemail.com.au> <5c1d5d$9t360f@irony-in37.icp.internal.iinet.net.au> <006c01d6ad04$667338f0$3359aad0$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: Perhaps they?ll put this up for the trots Miracle Mile ? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carting#/media/File:Dog_carting_by_beach.jpg From: Racing On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Wednesday, 28 October 2020 7:29 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? Yes Nick, TAB.com.au, click Jackpots top left, scroll down and there it is! From: Racing On Behalf Of nick.aubrey Sent: Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:24 PM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? Ha ha that's funny. Len where did u see that? is it online ? Cheers, AN Sent on the go with Vodafone -------- Original message -------- From: "L.B.Loveday" > Date: 28/10/20 1:23 pm (GMT+10:00) To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? Melbourne Cup this Saturday night, under lights I presume. [cid:image001.png at 01D6AD74.74CCF8D0] -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 15005 bytes Desc: image001.png URL: From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Wed Oct 28 22:13:29 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Wed, 28 Oct 2020 19:13:29 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? In-Reply-To: References: <003601d6acd1$5ea74090$1bf5c1b0$@ozemail.com.au> <5c1d5d$9t360f@irony-in37.icp.internal.iinet.net.au> <006c01d6ad04$667338f0$3359aad0$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <001701d6ad1b$5e328620$1a979260$@bigpond.com> Could it be that Saturday night is when they start selling for Tuesday Cup? The final field won?t be known until then (1730 local) From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of Race Stats Sent: Wednesday, 28 October 2020 6:51 PM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List Subject: Re: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? Perhaps they?ll put this up for the trots Miracle Mile ? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carting#/media/File:Dog_carting_by_beach.jpg From: Racing > On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Wednesday, 28 October 2020 7:29 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? Yes Nick, TAB.com.au, click Jackpots top left, scroll down and there it is! From: Racing On Behalf Of nick.aubrey Sent: Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:24 PM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List > Subject: Re: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? Ha ha that's funny. Len where did u see that? is it online ? Cheers, AN Sent on the go with Vodafone -------- Original message -------- From: "L.B.Loveday" > Date: 28/10/20 1:23 pm (GMT+10:00) To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? Melbourne Cup this Saturday night, under lights I presume. -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 15005 bytes Desc: not available URL: From greg.j.conroy at gmail.com Fri Oct 30 10:56:50 2020 From: greg.j.conroy at gmail.com (Greg Conroy) Date: Fri, 30 Oct 2020 10:56:50 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Winxwheel.com In-Reply-To: <001701d6ad1b$5e328620$1a979260$@bigpond.com> References: <003601d6acd1$5ea74090$1bf5c1b0$@ozemail.com.au> <5c1d5d$9t360f@irony-in37.icp.internal.iinet.net.au> <006c01d6ad04$667338f0$3359aad0$@ozemail.com.au> <001701d6ad1b$5e328620$1a979260$@bigpond.com> Message-ID: <0D4511B4-2395-4EF8-B00E-D2901CD42C0B@gmail.com> Howdy all, I?ve created a little niche which some maybe interested in ? It?s called www.winxwheel.com I want it to be a home of racing related products and offers. Each week I plan to put up another offer (until I hit 25, for obvious reasons after you visit!) If anyone has any products/services that you think you?d like to get traction for similar to the first three offers I?ve put up then contact me and we can see what we can put together. Cheers, Greg -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Sat Oct 31 13:09:51 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Sat, 31 Oct 2020 13:09:51 +1100 Subject: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? In-Reply-To: <5c1d5d$9t360f@irony-in37.icp.internal.iinet.net.au> References: <003601d6acd1$5ea74090$1bf5c1b0$@ozemail.com.au> <5c1d5d$9t360f@irony-in37.icp.internal.iinet.net.au> Message-ID: <006b01d6af2a$ecf2a320$c6d7e960$@ozemail.com.au> And still there; the incompetence of so many young these days is, to me, incredible. From: Racing On Behalf Of nick.aubrey Sent: Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:24 PM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List Subject: Re: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? Ha ha that's funny. Len where did u see that? is it online ? Cheers, AN Sent on the go with Vodafone -------- Original message -------- From: "L.B.Loveday" > Date: 28/10/20 1:23 pm (GMT+10:00) To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] Where do TAB get their employees? Melbourne Cup this Saturday night, under lights I presume. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 15005 bytes Desc: not available URL: