From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Wed Jul 1 18:48:32 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Wed, 1 Jul 2020 16:48:32 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Ace's Method In-Reply-To: <001801d64f63$f26bdc80$d7439580$@bigpond.com> References: <001801d64f63$f26bdc80$d7439580$@bigpond.com> Message-ID: <002a01d64f84$66e10a70$34a31f50$@bigpond.com> Subject: FW: Ace's Method In the 1970-1971 racing year Ace selected on 57 races resulting in 14 wins 13 places, 27 total places. They were centred around the carnivals although winners names etc are not known. Ace = AGE, and Flash Freddie and Perc the Punter were other luminaries who may have been alter egos of the Huxleys G,D,R (as told to me) The analysis of poll points awarded - winners/places 48 points/5 winners/10 places, 47/7/10,46/7/15,45/5/9,44/8/14,43/11/16,42/7/16,41/11/17,40/9/31,39/7/14,38/ 4/14,37/12/20,36/4/18,35/13/24,34/716,33/12/23,32/12/26,31/9/15,30/10/23,29/ 10/25,28/5/19, 27/7/28,26/14/31,25/5/19,24/5/25,23/9/24,22/5/18,21/3/11,20/7/22,19/9/23,18/ 13/24,17/10/28,16/9/28,15/10/29,14/16/37,13/10/32,12/14/31,11/10/25,10/8/34, 9/11/29,8/14/45, 7/6/28,6/21/47,5/10/43,4/11/54,3/28/69,2/23/81,1/23/86 - hope that formats ok. There are several systems based on these 'facts' alone. Take 48 points - it scored 5 winners, and another 5 places for a total of ten. There is no indication as to how many 48 pointers there were - say 150 during the year (yes, I'm guessing) and the 5 + 5 is pretty dismal as a selector, but there are systems based just on this detail alone, either the exact 48 points required, or the highest scorer for the meeting, or similar. One system asks you to consider runners in points 'bands' (1-9 over 9/1), (10-18 over 9/1). One pointers scored 23 winners and 86 places, perhaps an indication of the richness of a number is that the place result should be 2 or 3 times the win total. There are more places in the low numbers because there are more of them, low numbers. The tipster poll features largely, loudly in systems Cheers Tony From: Tony Moffat [mailto:tonymoffat at bigpond.com] Sent: Monday, 22 June 2020 12:23 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: Ace's Method Ace's Method Ace was a tipster for a brief time in Melbourne in the early 70's. This system is on two typewritten pages, it is perhaps the only copy. Ace makes the observation that the tipsters poll is a good indicator of the capability of a horse to win a race. The author does not discuss how they pick horses to include in a tipster poll only that the tips, and those others of that ilk combined, will generally find the winner. Further, Ace concludes that after all the tips are collated and displayed then a scratching occurs this somehow enables the remaining horses in the poll. Those remaining strengthen their hold on the race outcome. The increase in SP of a remaining horse can be used to advantage in making a profit. Often, Ace says more often, long priced winners arrive in a race where (poll) horses have been scratched and it is these contests that the shrewd punter should bet on. There are no tables, charts, statistics from which a conclusion can be drawn. Ace said it, it must be so. This is how system authors are. There are no rules, only conclusions per se (a) Consider all horses in the tipsters poll - The Age poll of 16 tipsters are used here. (b) Record the pre race price of all runners in the poll (c) On race day if there is a scratching the race can be checked for suitability only if the scratched horse had a pre-race price. (d) Compare the pre-race price (from the newspaper) with the displayed price in the ring on race day and record those horses whose price has increased. (e) A horse whose price has increased becomes a system horse. There may be two or more. Back them to ensure a profit, win or place or each way. There are two paragraphs on why the chosen horse becomes a viable bet. If a poll horse is scratched it is natural that the remaining horses will shorten in price to counteract that scratching. A horse outside the poll, if scratched, may not affect the market to any extent, its removal may result in all prices being shortened across the board. A horse, in the poll, that lengthens in price becomes good value because it was good enough to be chosen initially and now one of its rivals has been removed (the scratching), nothing else otherwise has changed. Ace reports that during the 1972-73 racing season there were 61 races bet on and there were 15 winners, 13 seconds and thirds and 28 total places but no other data (average price would help) This another way to qualify the runners in the tipsters poll (a follow on from The Editors Method) Results are from the following season (a) There has to be a scratching (b) The tipsters poll horse price has to lengthen 11/8 MR8 SCR Split Up - Ballarat (6/4-13/4-3/1) 1st 25/8 MR6 SCR PORTICO - Gay Icarus (7/1-8/1-12/1) 2nd 01/09 MR9 SCR Trifling +1 - Dorica Lass (6/1- 6/1-12/1) 1st 8/9 MR5 -SCR Felipa - Taj Rossi (8/1-12/1-10/1) 1st 8/9 MR6 - SCR LEGOGLIO- Rickshaws Luck (7/1-10/1-9/1) 1st 27/9 MR2- SCR Showhonour - Gala Comet (12/1-20/1-16/1-33/1) 1st 29/9 MR2 SCR Replied - Mellition (8/1-11/1 tote) 1st 27/10 Cox Plate SCR SOBAR, GRAND CIDIUM - Swell Time (15/1-10/1-20/1-10/1) 2nd..Magnifique (7/1 -12/1) Unp) Cheers Tony Virus-free. www.avg.com -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Thu Jul 2 18:37:59 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Thu, 2 Jul 2020 16:37:59 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Ace's Method . The Best Plan - a system Message-ID: <003c01d6504c$18385590$48a900b0$@bigpond.com> The analysis of newspaper selectors - you've had the scores and now the results Why? - this information (and some more otw) is required for operation of 'The Best Plan' which cost a big quid way back when. 1stPoll Favourite/winners/placings/#number of selections - after scr, dead heats included (260+dh+dh+dh+dh = 264) 1/158/319/556 2/87/264/555 3/79/218/556 4/63/196/547 5/46/135/499 6/30/86/405 7/19/59/259 8/5/25/156 9/3/12/80 10/0/4/46 More: see note re DH 1 &2 Poll -242 wins,579 places 1,2,3 Poll - 321 wins, 796 places 1 to 4 Poll - 383 wins, 989 places 1 to 5 Poll - 428 wins, 1123 places 1 to 6 Poll - 458 wins, 1209 places 1 to 7 Poll - 477 wins, 1277 places 1 to 8 Poll - 482 wins,1302 places 1 to 9 Poll - 485 wins, 1314 places 1 to 10 Poll - 485 wins, 1318 places More: Pre-post prices (winners/places) ODDS ON 26/39 1-1 11/20 5-4 8/18 6-4 20/36 7-4 20/31 2-1 25/45 9-4 26/47 5-2 33/86 3-1 52/117 7-2 36/74 4-1 37/122 9-2 11/25 5-1 38/131 6-1 37/132 7-1 22/84 8-1 37/117 10-1 22/98 12-122/103 14-1 5/22 15-1 13/65 16-1 6/19 20-1 17/66 25-1 9/50 33-1 9/40 50-1 3/22 100-1 9/1 From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Wednesday, 1 July 2020 4:49 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: Re: [AusRace] Ace's Method Subject: FW: Ace's Method In the 1970-1971 racing year Ace selected on 57 races resulting in 14 wins 13 places, 27 total places. They were centred around the carnivals although winners names etc are not known. Ace = AGE, and Flash Freddie and Perc the Punter were other luminaries who may have been alter egos of the Huxleys G,D,R (as told to me) The analysis of poll points awarded - winners/places 48 points/5 winners/10 places, 47/7/10,46/7/15,45/5/9,44/8/14,43/11/16,42/7/16,41/11/17,40/9/31,39/7/14,38/ 4/14,37/12/20,36/4/18,35/13/24,34/716,33/12/23,32/12/26,31/9/15,30/10/23,29/ 10/25,28/5/19, 27/7/28,26/14/31,25/5/19,24/5/25,23/9/24,22/5/18,21/3/11,20/7/22,19/9/23,18/ 13/24,17/10/28,16/9/28,15/10/29,14/16/37,13/10/32,12/14/31,11/10/25,10/8/34, 9/11/29,8/14/45, 7/6/28,6/21/47,5/10/43,4/11/54,3/28/69,2/23/81,1/23/86 - hope that formats ok. There are several systems based on these 'facts' alone. Take 48 points - it scored 5 winners, and another 5 places for a total of ten. There is no indication as to how many 48 pointers there were - say 150 during the year (yes, I'm guessing) and the 5 + 5 is pretty dismal as a selector, but there are systems based just on this detail alone, either the exact 48 points required, or the highest scorer for the meeting, or similar. One system asks you to consider runners in points 'bands' (1-9 over 9/1), (10-18 over 9/1). One pointers scored 23 winners and 86 places, perhaps an indication of the richness of a number is that the place result should be 2 or 3 times the win total. There are more places in the low numbers because there are more of them, low numbers. The tipster poll features largely, loudly in systems Cheers Tony From: Tony Moffat [mailto:tonymoffat at bigpond.com] Sent: Monday, 22 June 2020 12:23 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: Ace's Method Ace's Method Ace was a tipster for a brief time in Melbourne in the early 70's. This system is on two typewritten pages, it is perhaps the only copy. Ace makes the observation that the tipsters poll is a good indicator of the capability of a horse to win a race. The author does not discuss how they pick horses to include in a tipster poll only that the tips, and those others of that ilk combined, will generally find the winner. Further, Ace concludes that after all the tips are collated and displayed then a scratching occurs this somehow enables the remaining horses in the poll. Those remaining strengthen their hold on the race outcome. The increase in SP of a remaining horse can be used to advantage in making a profit. Often, Ace says more often, long priced winners arrive in a race where (poll) horses have been scratched and it is these contests that the shrewd punter should bet on. There are no tables, charts, statistics from which a conclusion can be drawn. Ace said it, it must be so. This is how system authors are. There are no rules, only conclusions per se (a) Consider all horses in the tipsters poll - The Age poll of 16 tipsters are used here. (b) Record the pre race price of all runners in the poll (c) On race day if there is a scratching the race can be checked for suitability only if the scratched horse had a pre-race price. (d) Compare the pre-race price (from the newspaper) with the displayed price in the ring on race day and record those horses whose price has increased. (e) A horse whose price has increased becomes a system horse. There may be two or more. Back them to ensure a profit, win or place or each way. There are two paragraphs on why the chosen horse becomes a viable bet. If a poll horse is scratched it is natural that the remaining horses will shorten in price to counteract that scratching. A horse outside the poll, if scratched, may not affect the market to any extent, its removal may result in all prices being shortened across the board. A horse, in the poll, that lengthens in price becomes good value because it was good enough to be chosen initially and now one of its rivals has been removed (the scratching), nothing else otherwise has changed. Ace reports that during the 1972-73 racing season there were 61 races bet on and there were 15 winners, 13 seconds and thirds and 28 total places but no other data (average price would help) This another way to qualify the runners in the tipsters poll (a follow on from The Editors Method) Results are from the following season (a) There has to be a scratching (b) The tipsters poll horse price has to lengthen 11/8 MR8 SCR Split Up - Ballarat (6/4-13/4-3/1) 1st 25/8 MR6 SCR PORTICO - Gay Icarus (7/1-8/1-12/1) 2nd 01/09 MR9 SCR Trifling +1 - Dorica Lass (6/1- 6/1-12/1) 1st 8/9 MR5 -SCR Felipa - Taj Rossi (8/1-12/1-10/1) 1st 8/9 MR6 - SCR LEGOGLIO- Rickshaws Luck (7/1-10/1-9/1) 1st 27/9 MR2- SCR Showhonour - Gala Comet (12/1-20/1-16/1-33/1) 1st 29/9 MR2 SCR Replied - Mellition (8/1-11/1 tote) 1st 27/10 Cox Plate SCR SOBAR, GRAND CIDIUM - Swell Time (15/1-10/1-20/1-10/1) 2nd..Magnifique (7/1 -12/1) Unp) Cheers Tony Virus-free. www.avg.com -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Wed Jul 15 11:01:34 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Wed, 15 Jul 2020 09:01:34 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Less Avoirdupois, occasionally more Digraph, more winners/places Message-ID: <000d01d65a43$7c82bda0$758838e0$@bigpond.com> Is there a system in this? Jockeys appear to have more than an average of double letters in their names (digraphs?) Eg aLLen, laFFerty, nOOnan, hiLL, biLLy (which may not count), roDD, duNN, schmiTT, mOOr, carlEEn, campbeLL rawiLLer, haRRy, bayliSS, saLLy WyNNe, gryLLs, caLLow, wiLL, hoLLand, etc. Or, conversely somewhat, my own moniker morphed to moFFaTT when a scots fisherman seems to have snagged Ireland sometime, and maybe neither of them could spel, and the double emphasis got applied. Or, plainly, I am just overthinking things. Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Sun Jul 19 15:10:19 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Sun, 19 Jul 2020 13:10:19 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] 4 of the best - a system Message-ID: <001101d65d8a$e688bfc0$b39a3f40$@bigpond.com> Dickie was a brickie - except he wore coveralls (overalls to us) a white shirt and a tie, often a tweeded coat with a Saville Row label which he showed you if you asked, or challenged him about it. I never did, neither. That coat had pockets outside and inside, I saw them often when he folded his earnings, winked, tapped himself outside of the money holding pocket and marched off, I mean he held an imaginary cous cane (like British Generals had) and he marched off swinging the right arm out and up to the horizontal. If you had seen him you know whom I am writing about - although perhaps not the brickie bit. He was difficult to talk to, stand offish they said, cranky said someone, tapped said a few, f---ed in the head was a consensus uttered aloud and in his presence. I never said it, never saw it, and while it is true I didn't talk to him much, I listened more often, when he spoke in Kentish English, so free became fwee, and three became fwee too, but before the last, in that 8 minutes between settling and writing new business I could get a mug of tea finished, it was then about 50 minutes old at that point and really it was more of a smoke break, my Boss and my workmates had never smoked, and what I am trying to tell you is Dickie sat opposite me and he spoke and I listened. He asked and I spoke, generally about the workings of the stand, and it was then I learnt he couldn't read, he knew numbers alright but he never learnt to read. Pity. He did smoke though, mine, and he was a barrowman to three layers, taking the mud to them after mixing it, and keeping up the brick numbers, loading them 4 at a time on the horse near the bricklayer, at a little below hip height so that production went on all day, and they got paid on production, he didn't, he got a wage and worked like three men for that he said. He seemed to have built most of north eastern Melbourne. That barrow had a load of mud and 'on the plate' on the handle he carried 16 bricks, 2 loads of 8 each to each man in turn, non-stop. He may have been in his 60's then. What Dickie did was back four in handicaps, numbers 2 3 4 5, or the first four if the toppie was scratched. His reasoning he said was the top weight was often an over the hill horse who got the number from past deeds, deeds from 4 or more years ago often, and now it was weighted out of contention. 2 may be likewise but if it was less than 5 years, actually 5 or less, then it had earned its position off recent form, inside 12 months (he said 'Yar'). Similarly the 3, 4, 5 numbers would have form commensurate with their standing, they had earned the right to be there, good form in recent times being the bench mark. There was an age clause although it seems he ignored that more often than using it, 5 years or less of course. He was always alone, always marching, truly, and if he was with you and another sat for a chat, off he went, military style as I have described leaving the new arrival perplexed until I explained it wasn't them, it's how Dickie was. He bet in quids, and called the bets as numbers. His quids were dollars of course, but you called it back to be sure, then you turned to read horse 2, horse three and the remaining so that the penciller Stewart didn't have to research too much (he would know them anyway). Lew rarely spoke, just wrote, and may have had the opinion of most about Dickie. Its how Dickie was, perhaps it's where he really wanted to be, militaristically inclined with that march of his, and that voice that a stage director would die for, even a whisper wasn't. His race day attire was what he wore at work, with gummies (wellington boots) - he cheated on the immigration form, he said, to get here, ticked a box or something when it inquired about your education level, and anyway the whole family came here and everybody went back, except him, the dog and the cat and he continued living in and paying the mortgage on the cottage/ cottich. He might have been in front betting with us. Summary: In handicaps back 2,3,4,5 - end You could/can tiz it up with an age clause, a requirement of a win in the last 4 starts, senior rider - Dickie never did Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Sun Jul 19 19:04:28 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Sun, 19 Jul 2020 17:04:28 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] 4 of the best - a system In-Reply-To: <001101d65d8a$e688bfc0$b39a3f40$@bigpond.com> References: <001101d65d8a$e688bfc0$b39a3f40$@bigpond.com> Message-ID: <000d01d65dab$9c112b50$d43381f0$@bigpond.com> Scone R1 -2345 - Placed 3,4,5 Scone R5- 2345 - Placed 3,6,10 Scone R6 - 2345- Placed 1,3,12 Scone R7 - 2356 - Placed 2,11,3 Wodonga R5 -3456 - Placed 6,5,4 Wodonga R6 - 2456 - Placed 1,4,11 Wodonga R7 - 2456 - Placed 1,2,5 Wodonga R8 - 2345- Placed 3,2,11 Sun Coast R5 - 2345 - Placed 4,2,3 Sun Coast R6 - 2345 - Placed 2,1,6 (Aziz Jamil Couer -golly!) Sun Coast R7 -2367 - Placed 8,2,10 Sun Coast R8 - 2345 - Placed 2,7,22 P Augusta R3 -2345 - Placed 3,1,7 P Augusta R4 - 2567 - Placed 2,6,5 P Augusta R5 - 4567 - Placed 11,6,4 P Augusta R6 -2345 - Placed 6,4,10 P Augusta R7 -2345 - Placed 4,2,7 Paknham R8 -2345 - Placed 5,9,4 Paknham R9 - 2468 - Placed 12,12,4 Narrandera R3 - 2356 - Placed 1,2,3 Narrandera R4 -2345 - Placed 8,11,10 Narrandera R5 -2456 - Placed 8,7,5 Narrandera R6 - 2345 - Placed 4,2,3 Narrandera R7 - 2345 - Placed 5,7,10 Narrandera R8 - 2345 Placed 4,3,5 Hobart R1 -2345 - Placed 1,3,6 Hobart R6 - 2345 - Placed 7,1,3 Hobart R7 - 2345 - Placed 8,3,12 Hobart R8 - 2356 - Placed 8,2,6 Hobart R9 - 2345 - Placed 2,5,3 Hobart R10 - 2345 - Placed 1,7,9 Kalgoorlie R3 - 2345 - Placed 3,10,1 Kalgoorlie R4 - 2345 - Placed 4,6,2 Kalgoorlie R5 - 2345 - Placed5,6,7 Kalgoorlie R6 - 2345 - Placed 11,3,4 Kalgoorlie R7 - 2345 - Placed 3,1,4 Kalgoorlie R8 - 2345 - Placed 2,4,5 Winners ( Scone $4, $6.20, $4.70) (Wodonga $3.10, $2) (Sunny Coast $7, $10.40, $2) (P.A. $10.80, $1.90, $12.20) (Pakenham $5, $2.10) (Narrandera $16.40, $2.90, $18.20) (Hobart $7.10) (Kalgoorlie $3, $4.30, $2.90, $3.10, $6.50) Out $148 In $135 Another way cheers Tony -----Original Message----- From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Sunday, 19 July 2020 1:10 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: [AusRace] 4 of the best - a system Dickie was a brickie - except he wore coveralls (overalls to us) a white shirt and a tie, often a tweeded coat with a Saville Row label which he showed you if you asked, or challenged him about it. I never did, neither. That coat had pockets outside and inside, I saw them often when he folded his earnings, winked, tapped himself outside of the money holding pocket and marched off, I mean he held an imaginary cous cane (like British Generals had) and he marched off swinging the right arm out and up to the horizontal. If you had seen him you know whom I am writing about - although perhaps not the brickie bit. He was difficult to talk to, stand offish they said, cranky said someone, tapped said a few, f---ed in the head was a consensus uttered aloud and in his presence. I never said it, never saw it, and while it is true I didn't talk to him much, I listened more often, when he spoke in Kentish English, so free became fwee, and three became fwee too, but before the last, in that 8 minutes between settling and writing new business I could get a mug of tea finished, it was then about 50 minutes old at that point and really it was more of a smoke break, my Boss and my workmates had never smoked, and what I am trying to tell you is Dickie sat opposite me and he spoke and I listened. He asked and I spoke, generally about the workings of the stand, and it was then I learnt he couldn't read, he knew numbers alright but he never learnt to read. Pity. He did smoke though, mine, and he was a barrowman to three layers, taking the mud to them after mixing it, and keeping up the brick numbers, loading them 4 at a time on the horse near the bricklayer, at a little below hip height so that production went on all day, and they got paid on production, he didn't, he got a wage and worked like three men for that he said. He seemed to have built most of north eastern Melbourne. That barrow had a load of mud and 'on the plate' on the handle he carried 16 bricks, 2 loads of 8 each to each man in turn, non-stop. He may have been in his 60's then. What Dickie did was back four in handicaps, numbers 2 3 4 5, or the first four if the toppie was scratched. His reasoning he said was the top weight was often an over the hill horse who got the number from past deeds, deeds from 4 or more years ago often, and now it was weighted out of contention. 2 may be likewise but if it was less than 5 years, actually 5 or less, then it had earned its position off recent form, inside 12 months (he said 'Yar'). Similarly the 3, 4, 5 numbers would have form commensurate with their standing, they had earned the right to be there, good form in recent times being the bench mark. There was an age clause although it seems he ignored that more often than using it, 5 years or less of course. He was always alone, always marching, truly, and if he was with you and another sat for a chat, off he went, military style as I have described leaving the new arrival perplexed until I explained it wasn't them, it's how Dickie was. He bet in quids, and called the bets as numbers. His quids were dollars of course, but you called it back to be sure, then you turned to read horse 2, horse three and the remaining so that the penciller Stewart didn't have to research too much (he would know them anyway). Lew rarely spoke, just wrote, and may have had the opinion of most about Dickie. Its how Dickie was, perhaps it's where he really wanted to be, militaristically inclined with that march of his, and that voice that a stage director would die for, even a whisper wasn't. His race day attire was what he wore at work, with gummies (wellington boots) - he cheated on the immigration form, he said, to get here, ticked a box or something when it inquired about your education level, and anyway the whole family came here and everybody went back, except him, the dog and the cat and he continued living in and paying the mortgage on the cottage/ cottich. He might have been in front betting with us. Summary: In handicaps back 2,3,4,5 - end You could/can tiz it up with an age clause, a requirement of a win in the last 4 starts, senior rider - Dickie never did Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com From norsaintpublishing at gmail.com Sun Jul 19 22:39:16 2020 From: norsaintpublishing at gmail.com (norsaintpublishing at gmail.com) Date: Sun, 19 Jul 2020 22:39:16 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] 4 of the best - a system In-Reply-To: <000d01d65dab$9c112b50$d43381f0$@bigpond.com> References: <001101d65d8a$e688bfc0$b39a3f40$@bigpond.com> <000d01d65dab$9c112b50$d43381f0$@bigpond.com> Message-ID: It must be bloody frustrating not being able to read. Don't reckon he'd last long these days, Tony. The basis of racing seems to have changed. Fewer handicaps? Less older horses going round for years on end. Still, an interesting approach. On Sun, 19 Jul 2020 at 19:04, Tony Moffat wrote: > > Scone R1 -2345 - Placed 3,4,5 > Scone R5- 2345 - Placed 3,6,10 > Scone R6 - 2345- Placed 1,3,12 > Scone R7 - 2356 - Placed 2,11,3 > Wodonga R5 -3456 - Placed 6,5,4 > Wodonga R6 - 2456 - Placed 1,4,11 > Wodonga R7 - 2456 - Placed 1,2,5 > Wodonga R8 - 2345- Placed 3,2,11 > Sun Coast R5 - 2345 - Placed 4,2,3 > Sun Coast R6 - 2345 - Placed 2,1,6 (Aziz Jamil Couer -golly!) > Sun Coast R7 -2367 - Placed 8,2,10 > Sun Coast R8 - 2345 - Placed 2,7,22 > P Augusta R3 -2345 - Placed 3,1,7 > P Augusta R4 - 2567 - Placed 2,6,5 > P Augusta R5 - 4567 - Placed 11,6,4 > P Augusta R6 -2345 - Placed 6,4,10 > P Augusta R7 -2345 - Placed 4,2,7 > Paknham R8 -2345 - Placed 5,9,4 > Paknham R9 - 2468 - Placed 12,12,4 > Narrandera R3 - 2356 - Placed 1,2,3 > Narrandera R4 -2345 - Placed 8,11,10 > Narrandera R5 -2456 - Placed 8,7,5 > Narrandera R6 - 2345 - Placed 4,2,3 > Narrandera R7 - 2345 - Placed 5,7,10 > Narrandera R8 - 2345 Placed 4,3,5 > Hobart R1 -2345 - Placed 1,3,6 > Hobart R6 - 2345 - Placed 7,1,3 > Hobart R7 - 2345 - Placed 8,3,12 > Hobart R8 - 2356 - Placed 8,2,6 > Hobart R9 - 2345 - Placed 2,5,3 > Hobart R10 - 2345 - Placed 1,7,9 > Kalgoorlie R3 - 2345 - Placed 3,10,1 > Kalgoorlie R4 - 2345 - Placed 4,6,2 > Kalgoorlie R5 - 2345 - Placed5,6,7 > Kalgoorlie R6 - 2345 - Placed 11,3,4 > Kalgoorlie R7 - 2345 - Placed 3,1,4 > Kalgoorlie R8 - 2345 - Placed 2,4,5 > > Winners ( Scone $4, $6.20, $4.70) > (Wodonga $3.10, $2) > (Sunny Coast $7, $10.40, $2) > (P.A. $10.80, $1.90, $12.20) > (Pakenham $5, $2.10) > (Narrandera $16.40, $2.90, $18.20) > (Hobart $7.10) > (Kalgoorlie $3, $4.30, $2.90, $3.10, $6.50) > Out $148 In $135 > > Another way > > cheers > > Tony > -----Original Message----- > From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of Tony Moffat > Sent: Sunday, 19 July 2020 1:10 PM > To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] 4 of the best - a system > > Dickie was a brickie - except he wore coveralls (overalls to us) a white > shirt and a tie, often a tweeded coat with a Saville Row label which he > showed you if you asked, or challenged him about it. I never did, neither. > That coat had pockets outside and inside, I saw them often when he folded > his earnings, winked, tapped himself outside of the money holding pocket and > marched off, I mean he held an imaginary cous cane (like British Generals > had) and he marched off swinging the right arm out and up to the horizontal. > If you had seen him you know whom I am writing about - although perhaps not > the brickie bit. > > He was difficult to talk to, stand offish they said, cranky said someone, > tapped said a few, f---ed in the head was a consensus uttered aloud and in > his presence. I never said it, never saw it, and while it is true I didn't > talk to him much, I listened more often, when he spoke in Kentish English, > so free became fwee, and three became fwee too, but before the last, in that > 8 minutes between settling and writing new business I could get a mug of tea > finished, it was then about 50 minutes old at that point and really it was > more of a smoke break, my Boss and my workmates had never smoked, and what I > am trying to tell you is Dickie sat opposite me and he spoke and I listened. > He asked and I spoke, generally about the workings of the stand, and it was > then I learnt he couldn't read, he knew numbers alright but he never learnt > to read. Pity. He did smoke though, mine, and he was a barrowman to three > layers, taking the mud to them after mixing it, and keeping up the brick > numbers, loading them 4 at a time on the horse near the bricklayer, at a > little below hip height so that production went on all day, and they got > paid on production, he didn't, he got a wage and worked like three men for > that he said. He seemed to have built most of north eastern Melbourne. That > barrow had a load of mud and 'on the plate' on the handle he carried 16 > bricks, 2 loads of 8 each to each man in turn, non-stop. He may have been in > his 60's then. > > What Dickie did was back four in handicaps, numbers 2 3 4 5, or the first > four if the toppie was scratched. His reasoning he said was the top weight > was often an over the hill horse who got the number from past deeds, deeds > from 4 or more years ago often, and now it was weighted out of contention. 2 > may be likewise but if it was less than 5 years, actually 5 or less, then it > had earned its position off recent form, inside 12 months (he said 'Yar'). > Similarly the 3, 4, 5 numbers would have form commensurate with their > standing, they had earned the right to be there, good form in recent times > being the bench mark. There was an age clause although it seems he ignored > that more often than using it, 5 years or less of course. > > He was always alone, always marching, truly, and if he was with you and > another sat for a chat, off he went, military style as I have described > leaving the new arrival perplexed until I explained it wasn't them, it's how > Dickie was. He bet in quids, and called the bets as numbers. His quids were > dollars of course, but you called it back to be sure, then you turned to > read horse 2, horse three and the remaining so that the penciller Stewart > didn't have to research too much (he would know them anyway). Lew rarely > spoke, just wrote, and may have had the opinion of most about Dickie. > > Its how Dickie was, perhaps it's where he really wanted to be, > militaristically inclined with that march of his, and that voice that a > stage director would die for, even a whisper wasn't. > > His race day attire was what he wore at work, with gummies (wellington > boots) - he cheated on the immigration form, he said, to get here, ticked a > box or something when it inquired about your education level, and anyway the > whole family came here and everybody went back, except him, the dog and the > cat and he continued living in and paying the mortgage on the cottage/ > cottich. > > He might have been in front betting with us. > > Summary: In handicaps back 2,3,4,5 - end You could/can tiz it up with an age > clause, a requirement of a win in the last 4 starts, senior rider - Dickie > never did > > Cheers > > Tony > > > > > > -- > This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. > https://www.avg.com > > > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > > > -- > This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. > https://www.avg.com > > > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Mon Jul 20 09:57:46 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Mon, 20 Jul 2020 07:57:46 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] 4 of the best - a system In-Reply-To: References: <001101d65d8a$e688bfc0$b39a3f40$@bigpond.com> <000d01d65dab$9c112b50$d43381f0$@bigpond.com> Message-ID: <003001d65e28$66ededa0$34c9c8e0$@bigpond.com> True. Frustrating as you said. Dickie had an advocate, a helper, a person who looked after his affairs. He had a well developed distrust of most everything eg bookies knew who was going to win, an opinion I think I dissuaded, at least I hope so. But Police, students, non-working adults, God, South Melbourne, North Melbourne, conservative politics, trains, trams, lettuce, and a few other important things all of which had to be the relayed opinions of his workmates, surely. All of these were spoken about with derision, dislike, distrust although he lived in North Melbourne and used trams for transport other than work related, as a conveyance to the Course for instance. Still, he worked hard, and paid tax, and you get to opine as a result. It's getting an audience, and agreement, that's the hard bit. He had never voted but went to Labour Party meetings. You get a lot when you listen. -----Original Message----- From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of norsaintpublishing at gmail.com Sent: Sunday, 19 July 2020 8:39 PM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List Subject: Re: [AusRace] 4 of the best - a system It must be bloody frustrating not being able to read. Don't reckon he'd last long these days, Tony. The basis of racing seems to have changed. Fewer handicaps? Less older horses going round for years on end. Still, an interesting approach. On Sun, 19 Jul 2020 at 19:04, Tony Moffat wrote: > > Scone R1 -2345 - Placed 3,4,5 > Scone R5- 2345 - Placed 3,6,10 SNIPPED .com -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Tue Jul 21 10:11:42 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Tue, 21 Jul 2020 10:11:42 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] BetFair also reneges Message-ID: <005a01d65ef3$84f87e70$8ee97b50$@ozemail.com.au> I received a text message from BetFair "Leonard Bruce, the more races in SA you bet on this weekend, the bigger your winnings boost on that meeting.... Have bets with a net liability of $30......every race of the day for 100% winnings boost. I therefore bet $30 on each race but they paid only 50% winnings boost. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Tue Jul 21 12:27:26 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Tue, 21 Jul 2020 10:27:26 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Prince - a system Message-ID: <000101d65f06$7a02ba90$6e082fb0$@bigpond.com> The author was Prince - s/he suggests that this one was the King of systems but that seemed pretentious. As Dickie the brickie utilised the Tab numbers 2,3,4,5 so Prince used the ranked 2,3,4,5 PLACE dividends to choose their bets with the proviso that this system was in use all over the world. The results here are from choices made after the event. Choosing your bets in the last minutes before the start might be stressful and there may be different selections (I guess) SUMMARY: Rank the PLACE dividends of all runners. Selections come from those ranked 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th. There are no instructions regarding ties, none of the results (they gave) display a tie. In picking the results here (these listed below) I ignored races with ties although I included some to demonstrate (something). Scone R1 - 5,3,4,2 - Placed 3,4,5,1 (win, place, trifecta, quinella) Scone R5 - 6,12,4,10 - Placed 3,6,10,12 (no bet - dividends tied) Scone R6 - 1,6,3,2 - Placed 1,3,12,15 Scone R7 - 8,9,11,3 - Placed 2,11,3,7 (no bet - dividends tied) Sunny Coast R5 - the time honoured Wimmers Creaming Soda Class 3 And this demonstrates the need for a rule to separate tied dividends We had 2.10+2.10, 2.80+2.80, 3.00+3.00 for ranked 2,3,4,5,6,7 Sun Coast R6 2,9,1,7 - Placed 2,1,6,7 Sun Coast R7 - tied dividends P Augusta R3 - 2,3,6,4 - Placed 3,1,7,2 P Augusta R4 - 7,2,8,6 - Placed 2,6,5,8 P Augusta R5 - 6,4,7,9 - Placed 11,6,4,1 (loss) P Augusta R6 - 6,2,3,10 - Placed 6,4,10,1 P Augusta R7 - 10,11,8,7 - Placed 4,2,7,14 (loss) Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Tue Jul 21 20:55:10 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Tue, 21 Jul 2020 18:55:10 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Prince - a system In-Reply-To: <000101d65f06$7a02ba90$6e082fb0$@bigpond.com> References: <000101d65f06$7a02ba90$6e082fb0$@bigpond.com> Message-ID: <001301d65f4d$67ee0160$37ca0420$@bigpond.com> Critique: This won't work. It looks good in principle however three things work against you. Ties - the place dividend is ranked and you back 2nd>5th PLACE to snare the winner, quinella and often two or more of those PLACE dividends are the same, tied. This can, and has worked in your favour when those tied fail to flatter and a loss results, although you weren't on them (because of the ties) More often the tied dividend runners do win/place and you weren't on them (because of the ties) The other scenarios are the favourite wins , and you weren't on them because you exclude the favourite Or some other runner, not favourite, not 2,3,4,5th, wins/places and ousts you. Perhaps there are too many choices, TAB Places, Fixed Places and I wasn't aware that there was often variation between these two. I had assumed that 2,3,4,5 on one side would correspond almost with say 3,4,2,5 on the other. It rarely happens. Because of the PLACE rank requirement it is not possible to use the Fixed and Market fluctuations, which show only win prices. I will do an exam of win prices being used to choose runners and let you know. For the time being, don't. -----Original Message----- From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of Tony Moffat Sent: Tuesday, 21 July 2020 10:27 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: [AusRace] Prince - a system The author was Prince - s/he suggests that this one was the King of systems but that seemed pretentious. As Dickie the brickie utilised the Tab numbers 2,3,4,5 so Prince used the ranked 2,3,4,5 PLACE dividends to choose their bets with the proviso that this system was in use all over the world. The results here are from choices made after the event. Choosing your bets in the last minutes before the start might be stressful and there may be different selections (I guess) SUMMARY: Rank the PLACE dividends of all runners. Selections come from those ranked 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th. There are no instructions regarding ties, none of the results (they gave) display a tie. In picking the results here (these listed below) I ignored races with ties although I included some to demonstrate (something). Scone R1 - 5,3,4,2 - Placed 3,4,5,1 (win, place, trifecta, quinella) Scone R5 - 6,12,4,10 - Placed 3,6,10,12 (no bet - dividends tied) Scone R6 - 1,6,3,2 - Placed 1,3,12,15 Scone R7 - 8,9,11,3 - Placed 2,11,3,7 (no bet - dividends tied) Sunny Coast R5 - the time honoured Wimmers Creaming Soda Class 3 And this demonstrates the need for a rule to separate tied dividends We had 2.10+2.10, 2.80+2.80, 3.00+3.00 for ranked 2,3,4,5,6,7 Sun Coast R6 2,9,1,7 - Placed 2,1,6,7 Sun Coast R7 - tied dividends P Augusta R3 - 2,3,6,4 - Placed 3,1,7,2 P Augusta R4 - 7,2,8,6 - Placed 2,6,5,8 P Augusta R5 - 6,4,7,9 - Placed 11,6,4,1 (loss) P Augusta R6 - 6,2,3,10 - Placed 6,4,10,1 P Augusta R7 - 10,11,8,7 - Placed 4,2,7,14 (loss) Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com From i8work at aussiebb.com.au Wed Jul 22 03:25:06 2020 From: i8work at aussiebb.com.au (i8work at aussiebb.com.au) Date: Wed, 22 Jul 2020 03:25:06 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] BetFair also reneges In-Reply-To: <005a01d65ef3$84f87e70$8ee97b50$@ozemail.com.au> References: <005a01d65ef3$84f87e70$8ee97b50$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <87ea23704a5d0257b288b2af70ba3ac6@aussiebb.com.au> ......and when you complained? On 2020-07-21 10:11, L.B.Loveday wrote: > I received a text message from BetFair "Leonard Bruce, the more races > in SA you bet on this weekend, the bigger your winnings boost on that > meeting?... Have bets with a net liability of $30?.....every race > of the day for 100% winnings boost. > > I therefore bet $30 on each race but they paid only 50% winnings > boost. From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Wed Jul 22 07:11:09 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Wed, 22 Jul 2020 07:11:09 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] BetFair also reneges In-Reply-To: <87ea23704a5d0257b288b2af70ba3ac6@aussiebb.com.au> References: <005a01d65ef3$84f87e70$8ee97b50$@ozemail.com.au> <87ea23704a5d0257b288b2af70ba3ac6@aussiebb.com.au> Message-ID: <013101d65fa3$76b7bff0$64273fd0$@ozemail.com.au> Have not bothered; should do, will do. Some day. Can it really be incompetent programming? If so, "surely" others have complained and BF would rectify everyone's boost not just the complainer? -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of i8work at aussiebb.com.au Sent: Wednesday, 22 July 2020 3:25 AM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List Subject: Re: [AusRace] BetFair also reneges ......and when you complained? On 2020-07-21 10:11, L.B.Loveday wrote: > I received a text message from BetFair "Leonard Bruce, the more races > in SA you bet on this weekend, the bigger your winnings boost on that > meeting?... Have bets with a net liability of $30?.....every race of > the day for 100% winnings boost. > > I therefore bet $30 on each race but they paid only 50% winnings > boost. _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com From norsaintpublishing at gmail.com Wed Jul 22 08:22:39 2020 From: norsaintpublishing at gmail.com (norsaintpublishing at gmail.com) Date: Wed, 22 Jul 2020 08:22:39 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] BetFair also reneges In-Reply-To: <013101d65fa3$76b7bff0$64273fd0$@ozemail.com.au> References: <005a01d65ef3$84f87e70$8ee97b50$@ozemail.com.au> <87ea23704a5d0257b288b2af70ba3ac6@aussiebb.com.au> <013101d65fa3$76b7bff0$64273fd0$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: I had a strange experience on BF the other day. A week ago I was asking $21 for a horse and it was trading at around $10 at the jump, so was never going to get filled. I thought about cancelling the asking price in an effort to make a bit more room on the screen but in the end didn't bother. Then immediately after the jump it told me I'd been filled, and yet a mate of mine who was asking for $11 on the same horse, didn't get filled. How on earth can that happen? Very strange. On Wed, 22 Jul 2020 at 07:12, L.B.Loveday wrote: > > Have not bothered; should do, will do. Some day. Can it really be incompetent programming? If so, "surely" others have complained and BF would rectify everyone's boost not just the complainer? > > -----Original Message----- > From: Racing On Behalf Of i8work at aussiebb.com.au > Sent: Wednesday, 22 July 2020 3:25 AM > To: AusRace Racing Discussion List > Subject: Re: [AusRace] BetFair also reneges > > ......and when you complained? > > On 2020-07-21 10:11, L.B.Loveday wrote: > > I received a text message from BetFair "Leonard Bruce, the more races > > in SA you bet on this weekend, the bigger your winnings boost on that > > meeting?... Have bets with a net liability of $30?.....every race of > > the day for 100% winnings boost. > > > > I therefore bet $30 on each race but they paid only 50% winnings > > boost. > > > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > > > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com From norsaintpublishing at gmail.com Thu Jul 23 14:10:44 2020 From: norsaintpublishing at gmail.com (norsaintpublishing at gmail.com) Date: Thu, 23 Jul 2020 14:10:44 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] Sportsbetting? Message-ID: Anyone know anything about this outfit? Just got a call from some young sharper trying to sell Gator Gately's tips and reckons the above mob are offering 2% rebates on losing bets for the lifetime of the account if one is opened now. From RaceStats at hotmail.com Thu Jul 23 16:24:13 2020 From: RaceStats at hotmail.com (Race Stats) Date: Thu, 23 Jul 2020 06:24:13 +0000 Subject: [AusRace] Sportsbetting? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Selling his tips? They are available in Best Bets and I wouldn't be following them. Lindsay -----Original Message----- From: Racing On Behalf Of norsaintpublishing at gmail.com Sent: Thursday, 23 July 2020 2:11 PM To: AusRace Racing Discussion List Subject: [AusRace] Sportsbetting? Anyone know anything about this outfit? Just got a call from some young sharper trying to sell Gator Gately's tips and reckons the above mob are offering 2% rebates on losing bets for the lifetime of the account if one is opened now. _______________________________________________ Racing mailing list Racing at ausrace.com http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com From i8work at aussiebb.com.au Thu Jul 23 17:08:54 2020 From: i8work at aussiebb.com.au (i8work at aussiebb.com.au) Date: Thu, 23 Jul 2020 17:08:54 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] BetFair also reneges In-Reply-To: References: <005a01d65ef3$84f87e70$8ee97b50$@ozemail.com.au> <87ea23704a5d0257b288b2af70ba3ac6@aussiebb.com.au> <013101d65fa3$76b7bff0$64273fd0$@ozemail.com.au> Message-ID: <0c47a18a8decc587d7eb4d799447d3cc@aussiebb.com.au> I can see a way...........your bet is "SP at close/jump" - at the close there is pretty much noone in the back market so you get filled by a layer who also has SP.........your mate bet "cancel on close/jump" So he's out of the picture instantly then BF will do the SP's.............unusual but possible, and the thinner the market the more likely. On 2020-07-22 08:22, norsaintpublishing at gmail.com wrote: > I had a strange experience on BF the other day. > A week ago I was asking $21 for a horse and it was trading at around > $10 at the jump, so was never going to get filled. I thought about > cancelling the asking price in an effort to make a bit more room on > the screen but in the end didn't bother. Then immediately after the > jump it told me I'd been filled, and yet a mate of mine who was asking > for $11 on the same horse, didn't get filled. How on earth can that > happen? Very strange. > From norsaintpublishing at gmail.com Thu Jul 23 19:50:53 2020 From: norsaintpublishing at gmail.com (norsaintpublishing at gmail.com) Date: Thu, 23 Jul 2020 19:50:53 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] BetFair also reneges In-Reply-To: <0c47a18a8decc587d7eb4d799447d3cc@aussiebb.com.au> References: <005a01d65ef3$84f87e70$8ee97b50$@ozemail.com.au> <87ea23704a5d0257b288b2af70ba3ac6@aussiebb.com.au> <013101d65fa3$76b7bff0$64273fd0$@ozemail.com.au> <0c47a18a8decc587d7eb4d799447d3cc@aussiebb.com.au> Message-ID: I'll check with him but I doubt he cancelled as it was hovering close to his asking price. It's the first anomaly I've ever noticed with BF. On Thu, 23 Jul 2020 at 17:09, wrote: > > I can see a way...........your bet is "SP at close/jump" - at the close > there is pretty much noone in the back market so you get filled by a > layer who also has SP.........your mate bet "cancel on close/jump" So > he's out of the picture instantly then BF will do the > SP's.............unusual but possible, and the thinner the market the > more likely. > > On 2020-07-22 08:22, norsaintpublishing at gmail.com wrote: > > I had a strange experience on BF the other day. > > A week ago I was asking $21 for a horse and it was trading at around > > $10 at the jump, so was never going to get filled. I thought about > > cancelling the asking price in an effort to make a bit more room on > > the screen but in the end didn't bother. Then immediately after the > > jump it told me I'd been filled, and yet a mate of mine who was asking > > for $11 on the same horse, didn't get filled. How on earth can that > > happen? Very strange. > > > > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com From norsaintpublishing at gmail.com Thu Jul 23 19:55:01 2020 From: norsaintpublishing at gmail.com (norsaintpublishing at gmail.com) Date: Thu, 23 Jul 2020 19:55:01 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] Sportsbetting? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Of course wouldn't touch them. I think he was from the Great Tipoff website. Not sure what that's all about. Apparently though his paid for tips are more detailed. ? Whatever that means. On Thu, 23 Jul 2020 at 16:24, Race Stats wrote: > Selling his tips? > They are available in Best Bets and I wouldn't be following them. > Lindsay > > -----Original Message----- > From: Racing On Behalf Of > norsaintpublishing at gmail.com > Sent: Thursday, 23 July 2020 2:11 PM > To: AusRace Racing Discussion List > Subject: [AusRace] Sportsbetting? > > Anyone know anything about this outfit? > Just got a call from some young sharper trying to sell Gator Gately's tips > and reckons the above mob are offering 2% rebates on losing bets for the > lifetime of the account if one is opened now. > > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From i8work at aussiebb.com.au Fri Jul 24 02:54:27 2020 From: i8work at aussiebb.com.au (i8work at aussiebb.com.au) Date: Fri, 24 Jul 2020 02:54:27 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] BetFair also reneges In-Reply-To: References: <005a01d65ef3$84f87e70$8ee97b50$@ozemail.com.au> <87ea23704a5d0257b288b2af70ba3ac6@aussiebb.com.au> <013101d65fa3$76b7bff0$64273fd0$@ozemail.com.au> <0c47a18a8decc587d7eb4d799447d3cc@aussiebb.com.au> Message-ID: It's automatically cancelled at jump so he doesn't do anything (aside from choose to bet that way...I'd say many(most?) do as it keeps you on the market till jump, avoids the lottery of the SP price and keeps you out of in-play. On 2020-07-23 19:50, norsaintpublishing at gmail.com wrote: > I'll check with him but I doubt he cancelled as it was hovering close > to his asking price. It's the first anomaly I've ever noticed with BF. > > On Thu, 23 Jul 2020 at 17:09, wrote: >> >> I can see a way...........your bet is "SP at close/jump" - at the >> close >> there is pretty much noone in the back market so you get filled by a >> layer who also has SP.........your mate bet "cancel on close/jump" So >> he's out of the picture instantly then BF will do the >> SP's.............unusual but possible, and the thinner the market the >> more likely. >> >> On 2020-07-22 08:22, norsaintpublishing at gmail.com wrote: >> > I had a strange experience on BF the other day. >> > A week ago I was asking $21 for a horse and it was trading at around >> > $10 at the jump, so was never going to get filled. I thought about >> > cancelling the asking price in an effort to make a bit more room on >> > the screen but in the end didn't bother. Then immediately after the >> > jump it told me I'd been filled, and yet a mate of mine who was asking >> > for $11 on the same horse, didn't get filled. How on earth can that >> > happen? Very strange. >> > >> >> _______________________________________________ >> Racing mailing list >> Racing at ausrace.com >> http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com From mickbarry at bigpond.com Sun Jul 26 10:35:13 2020 From: mickbarry at bigpond.com (mickbarry mickbarry) Date: Sun, 26 Jul 2020 10:35:13 +1000 (AEST) Subject: [AusRace] Gary Harley's Prayer Message-ID: <1ab32d87.f5957.173888b89ff.Webtop.96@bigpond.com> While listening to Sky?s live ?Thoroughbred Central? coverage of Wyong races during the week, co-presenter Gary Harley was heard to plead after a particularly lean day on the tip - ?Please God help me to pick the winner of the last?. Wow I thought, never have I heard that before on a racing program. Well it worked. Whilst the horses were parading Gary must have had a vision. He then changed his original tip to that of Vienna Rain. The angels must also have been listening as the horse was heavily backed in to start favourite. Into the home straight the leader left the fence to let Vienna Rain slip through for an easy win. Gary seemed to forget about his very public prayer when after the race he was heard to say- ?I don?t mean to skite but as soon as I saw that horse I ???..? May you be in heaven half an hour before the devil knows you are dead. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From norsaintpublishing at gmail.com Sun Jul 26 12:11:41 2020 From: norsaintpublishing at gmail.com (norsaintpublishing at gmail.com) Date: Sun, 26 Jul 2020 12:11:41 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] Gary Harley's Prayer In-Reply-To: <1ab32d87.f5957.173888b89ff.Webtop.96@bigpond.com> References: <1ab32d87.f5957.173888b89ff.Webtop.96@bigpond.com> Message-ID: Ha ha. Or getting tomorrow's papers a day early would do. On Sun, 26 Jul 2020 at 10:35, mickbarry mickbarry wrote: > While listening to Sky?s live ?Thoroughbred Central? coverage of Wyong > races during the week, co-presenter Gary Harley was heard to plead after a > particularly lean day on the tip - > ?Please God help me to pick the winner of the last?. > Wow I thought, never have I heard that before on a racing program. > Well it worked. > Whilst the horses were parading Gary must have had a vision. > He then changed his original tip to that of Vienna Rain. > The angels must also have been listening as the horse was heavily backed > in to start favourite. > Into the home straight the leader left the fence to let Vienna Rain slip > through for an easy win. > Gary seemed to forget about his very public prayer when after the race he > was heard to say- > ?I don?t mean to skite but as soon as I saw that horse I ???..? > May you be in heaven half an hour before the devil knows you are dead. > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From i8work at aussiebb.com.au Sun Jul 26 23:21:19 2020 From: i8work at aussiebb.com.au (i8work at aussiebb.com.au) Date: Sun, 26 Jul 2020 23:21:19 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] Gary Harley's Prayer In-Reply-To: References: <1ab32d87.f5957.173888b89ff.Webtop.96@bigpond.com> Message-ID: <1b2a12bb4595700f77bb32b8c7d596bf@aussiebb.com.au> (nice post mickbarry mickbarry) That paper thing happens to me every year....on Dec 24. On 2020-07-26 12:11, norsaintpublishing at gmail.com wrote: > Ha ha. Or getting tomorrow's papers a day early would do. > On Sun, 26 Jul 2020 at 10:35, mickbarry mickbarry > wrote: > >> While listening to Sky?s live ?Thoroughbred Central? coverage >> of Wyong races during the week, co-presenter Gary Harley was heard >> to plead after a particularly lean day on the tip - From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Mon Jul 27 11:09:16 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Mon, 27 Jul 2020 09:09:16 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Wealth - a system Message-ID: <000101d663b2$8cdb2930$a6917b90$@bigpond.com> Burpengary - I have always enjoyed reading and saying this - I went to school with Gary and he did that, loud too, almost to a point where you imagined he would have torn or strained something internal when he did. More importantly, Burpengary was the Post Office address for contact with a system seller which perhaps should have warning bells ringing before you sent your money away. Care of Post Office Burpengary doesn't appear, or seem, like a legitimate business address at all. In fact, to me, it was almost as if the seller did not want you to know who they were, where they were. Further, and don't worry about your concerns, how you feel about them, you had to send your money in two episodes to get the whole 'scheme' - pages 1 to 19 first after payment of $200 and provision of an addressed, reply paid, stamped envelope then upon the final payment you got the remaining pages and a display folder in which you placed your pages, the front piece, and the introduction and welcome page. So, firstly they don't trust you, and demonstrate this by hanging onto the crux of the 'scheme' until all the money has been paid, and all you have is your mindset about them, and the last payment secures you everything you need (or you are ever going to get). Page 11 is missing in my copies, both of them, only one of which is in the display folder, the other is stapled and there is reference to communication sent to 'Care of/' asking for page 11 and I am unsure of the result, although no page 11 is present. It's ok, somewhat, as postage was not required after payment of the second instalment. The remaining papers and the folder were sent, postage free, but not page 11 (it might be important). There is no advertisement for this 'scheme'. It may be that your contact details were piggybacked off another subscription, or system purchase, or contact with another organization. On the welcome page, under the heading 'meet our staff, there is a photo of a horse, with a girl in the saddle (or where the saddle would be, ordinarily) and the girl seems to be wearing nothing, no clothing on the lower half although she has jockey colours, goggles, cap and cap cloth. The colours are non-descript, red, with a yellow shoulder slash and yellow cuffs and a maltese cross on the front and it's easy to spot, let me tell you, that cross, being out in front like that. The buttons are prominent too, it may be a trot driver jacket also, although the model is on a (race) horse. She is whipping herself. Anyways, you got included in the mailout, advising you of this 'once in a lifetime opportunity' because it has come to their notice that you are a 'discerning, erudite punter', (both of them mean 'good') and, yes, it is costly, but that keeps the 'silly people' away. They ask if you backed the winners of the Doomben Cup, Doomben 10000, Stradbroke and don't say they did, and if they did, or didn't, did they use scheme for that. No, it's just LOOK what the winners paid and there is a list of 23 prices purporting to be winning dividends, but no names, dates, race names, just the prices. Seriously, these people could give system sellers a bad name. Two people may have paid up and waited for the postman and I have their copies. I paid $4 for one, and got the other with a bulk buy of 7 systems collection off Ebay, for $20, and I also had to pay postage!. (1) Consider only winners on the course. Course and distance winners are discarded. (2) Consider runners who finished up to 5th last start within 29 days - NOTE these can include the course/distance winners discarded under rule (1) (3) Senior riders only, no apprentice riders to be considered - runner discarded. (4) Local (Queensland they mean) runners only (5) Only Queensland races are to be considered for inclusion. That's it. That is the 'scheme' you paid for and waited for the postman, twice. There are nine other 'schemes' included. One line systems working off a single aspect of form, last start within 7 days, top weight favorite, best form runner in the first 6 runners, and others of this kind. Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Mon Jul 27 14:55:24 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Mon, 27 Jul 2020 14:55:24 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] V'landys will show a degree of verisimilitude Message-ID: <000001d663d2$27428080$75c78180$@ozemail.com.au> Peter V'landys alleges he was 'ambushed' on racehorse cruelty by the ABC Racing NSW boss Peter V'landys alleges he repeatedly asked the ABC what material the public broadcaster had showing racehorse cruelty but was "kept in the dark" before an expose was aired on 730. Derrick Krusche , The Daily Telegraph Subscriber only | July 27, 2020 11:56am AAP0:57 Racing chief appalled by horse slaughter Racing Australia chief executive Barry O'Farrell said he was "appalled" that healthy Australian racehorses are being slaughtered but insisted it's up to state govern... Racing supremo Peter V'landys has accused the ABC of "ambushing" him during an expose on alleged racehorse cruelty. The boss of Racing NSW is suing the public broadcaster for defamation over a story last year on 730, which alleged hundreds of racehorses were being sent to slaughterhouses in NSW and Queensland. Barrister Bruce McClintock, SC, told the Federal Court on Monday the ABC had refused to show Mr V'landys undercover videos of the facilities before his interview - in which he said he had no knowledge of the practice taking place in NSW - was intercut with the disturbing footage. "It's a significant part of our case that the ABC ambushed my client," he told the court. "What they did was they interviewed him and he repeatedly asked in the course of the interview, and this can be shown by the camera tapes, what material they had showing the appalling treatment of racehorses. "The journalist in question declined to show him that footage . so he was completely in the dark. "When they came to broadcast the segments of the interview they intercut that footage with the footage of my client." Mr V'landys lawyers allege the ABC did not disclose they had already obtained the covert footage before he sat down with a journalist and deprived him of a chance to explain his organisation has no sway over Queensland, where the alleged mass killings were occurring. Mr McClintock argued the 730 segment was deliberately cut to "make my client look bad". The segment sparked protests outside Royal Randwick racecourse after it aired. Picture: Mark Metcalfe "They showed my client, contrary to the fact, to be a liar and also contrary to the fact, to have a callous disregard for the incidents of extraordinary cruelty to racehorses which were being shown before during and after the material with him," he said. "It was an ambush, we rather think it was a deliberate ambush and that this footage was deliberately cut in to make my client look bad. V'Landys' lawyer argued that the interview was edited to make the Racing chief "look bad". "He has a long history of working with the welfare of retired racehorses." Barrister Clarissa Amato, acting on behalf of the ABC, questioned what damages could be awarded to Mr V'Landys if he had never viewed the program as he has previously said. "Assuming it's accepted, as Mr V'landys seems to say in his outline, that he has not in fact seen the program, he's never viewed it, the question becomes are aggravated damages for hurt feelings available to an applicant who has not viewed the matter complained of," she said. But Mr McClintock said Mr V'Landys was well aware of the content of the program and was thinking about showing him the footage for the first time when he took to the witness box. "Even though he hasn't seen the program, he's very well aware of what the content was," he said. "Things may change in relation to my client seeing the footage - I think it would assist to see my client's reaction in the witness box . I suspect he will show a degree of verisimilitude." The matter will return to court at a later date. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From robbie at robbiewaterhouse.com Tue Jul 28 04:56:14 2020 From: robbie at robbiewaterhouse.com (Robbie Waterhouse) Date: Tue, 28 Jul 2020 04:56:14 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] FW: V'landys will show a degree of verisimilitude Message-ID: <089a01d66447$9a1ce990$ce56bcb0$@robbiewaterhouse.com> I'm not sure McClintock's "V'landys will show a degree of verisimilitude" means what he means it to mean. I don't think, in the normal sense of the phrase, a Court would approve of evidence only showing a "degree of verisimilitude". Rob W From: Racing > On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Monday, 27 July 2020 2:55 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] V'landys will show a degree of verisimilitude Peter V'landys alleges he was 'ambushed' on racehorse cruelty by the ABC Racing NSW boss Peter V'landys alleges he repeatedly asked the ABC what material the public broadcaster had showing racehorse cruelty but was "kept in the dark" before an expose was aired on 730. Derrick Krusche , The Daily Telegraph Subscriber only | July 27, 2020 11:56am AAP0:57 Racing chief appalled by horse slaughter Racing Australia chief executive Barry O'Farrell said he was "appalled" that healthy Australian racehorses are being slaughtered but insisted it's up to state govern... Racing supremo Peter V'landys has accused the ABC of "ambushing" him during an expose on alleged racehorse cruelty. The boss of Racing NSW is suing the public broadcaster for defamation over a story last year on 730, which alleged hundreds of racehorses were being sent to slaughterhouses in NSW and Queensland. Barrister Bruce McClintock, SC, told the Federal Court on Monday the ABC had refused to show Mr V'landys undercover videos of the facilities before his interview - in which he said he had no knowledge of the practice taking place in NSW - was intercut with the disturbing footage. "It's a significant part of our case that the ABC ambushed my client," he told the court. "What they did was they interviewed him and he repeatedly asked in the course of the interview, and this can be shown by the camera tapes, what material they had showing the appalling treatment of racehorses. "The journalist in question declined to show him that footage . so he was completely in the dark. "When they came to broadcast the segments of the interview they intercut that footage with the footage of my client." Mr V'landys lawyers allege the ABC did not disclose they had already obtained the covert footage before he sat down with a journalist and deprived him of a chance to explain his organisation has no sway over Queensland, where the alleged mass killings were occurring. Mr McClintock argued the 730 segment was deliberately cut to "make my client look bad". The segment sparked protests outside Royal Randwick racecourse after it aired. Picture: Mark Metcalfe "They showed my client, contrary to the fact, to be a liar and also contrary to the fact, to have a callous disregard for the incidents of extraordinary cruelty to racehorses which were being shown before during and after the material with him," he said. "It was an ambush, we rather think it was a deliberate ambush and that this footage was deliberately cut in to make my client look bad. V'Landys' lawyer argued that the interview was edited to make the Racing chief "look bad". "He has a long history of working with the welfare of retired racehorses." Barrister Clarissa Amato, acting on behalf of the ABC, questioned what damages could be awarded to Mr V'Landys if he had never viewed the program as he has previously said. "Assuming it's accepted, as Mr V'landys seems to say in his outline, that he has not in fact seen the program, he's never viewed it, the question becomes are aggravated damages for hurt feelings available to an applicant who has not viewed the matter complained of," she said. But Mr McClintock said Mr V'Landys was well aware of the content of the program and was thinking about showing him the footage for the first time when he took to the witness box. "Even though he hasn't seen the program, he's very well aware of what the content was," he said. "Things may change in relation to my client seeing the footage - I think it would assist to see my client's reaction in the witness box . I suspect he will show a degree of verisimilitude." The matter will return to court at a later date. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From lloveday at ozemail.com.au Tue Jul 28 06:33:10 2020 From: lloveday at ozemail.com.au (L.B.Loveday) Date: Tue, 28 Jul 2020 06:33:10 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] FW: V'landys will show a degree of verisimilitude In-Reply-To: <089a01d66447$9a1ce990$ce56bcb0$@robbiewaterhouse.com> References: <089a01d66447$9a1ce990$ce56bcb0$@robbiewaterhouse.com> Message-ID: <002901d66455$25fc2e50$71f48af0$@ozemail.com.au> McClintock's use of " verisimilitude" somewhat flummoxed me, which is why I highlighted it as the Subject. I don't think, in the normal sense of the phrase, a Court would approve of evidence only showing a "degree of verisimilitude". I hope not! LBL From: Racing On Behalf Of Robbie Waterhouse Sent: Tuesday, 28 July 2020 4:56 AM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' Subject: [AusRace] FW: V'landys will show a degree of verisimilitude I'm not sure McClintock's "V'landys will show a degree of verisimilitude" means what he means it to mean. I don't think, in the normal sense of the phrase, a Court would approve of evidence only showing a "degree of verisimilitude". Rob W From: Racing > On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday Sent: Monday, 27 July 2020 2:55 PM To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' > Subject: [AusRace] V'landys will show a degree of verisimilitude Peter V'landys alleges he was 'ambushed' on racehorse cruelty by the ABC Racing NSW boss Peter V'landys alleges he repeatedly asked the ABC what material the public broadcaster had showing racehorse cruelty but was "kept in the dark" before an expose was aired on 730. Derrick Krusche , The Daily Telegraph Subscriber only | July 27, 2020 11:56am AAP0:57 Racing chief appalled by horse slaughter Racing Australia chief executive Barry O'Farrell said he was "appalled" that healthy Australian racehorses are being slaughtered but insisted it's up to state govern... Racing supremo Peter V'landys has accused the ABC of "ambushing" him during an expose on alleged racehorse cruelty. The boss of Racing NSW is suing the public broadcaster for defamation over a story last year on 730, which alleged hundreds of racehorses were being sent to slaughterhouses in NSW and Queensland. Barrister Bruce McClintock, SC, told the Federal Court on Monday the ABC had refused to show Mr V'landys undercover videos of the facilities before his interview - in which he said he had no knowledge of the practice taking place in NSW - was intercut with the disturbing footage. "It's a significant part of our case that the ABC ambushed my client," he told the court. "What they did was they interviewed him and he repeatedly asked in the course of the interview, and this can be shown by the camera tapes, what material they had showing the appalling treatment of racehorses. "The journalist in question declined to show him that footage . so he was completely in the dark. "When they came to broadcast the segments of the interview they intercut that footage with the footage of my client." Mr V'landys lawyers allege the ABC did not disclose they had already obtained the covert footage before he sat down with a journalist and deprived him of a chance to explain his organisation has no sway over Queensland, where the alleged mass killings were occurring. Mr McClintock argued the 730 segment was deliberately cut to "make my client look bad". The segment sparked protests outside Royal Randwick racecourse after it aired. Picture: Mark Metcalfe "They showed my client, contrary to the fact, to be a liar and also contrary to the fact, to have a callous disregard for the incidents of extraordinary cruelty to racehorses which were being shown before during and after the material with him," he said. "It was an ambush, we rather think it was a deliberate ambush and that this footage was deliberately cut in to make my client look bad. V'Landys' lawyer argued that the interview was edited to make the Racing chief "look bad". "He has a long history of working with the welfare of retired racehorses." Barrister Clarissa Amato, acting on behalf of the ABC, questioned what damages could be awarded to Mr V'Landys if he had never viewed the program as he has previously said. "Assuming it's accepted, as Mr V'landys seems to say in his outline, that he has not in fact seen the program, he's never viewed it, the question becomes are aggravated damages for hurt feelings available to an applicant who has not viewed the matter complained of," she said. But Mr McClintock said Mr V'Landys was well aware of the content of the program and was thinking about showing him the footage for the first time when he took to the witness box. "Even though he hasn't seen the program, he's very well aware of what the content was," he said. "Things may change in relation to my client seeing the footage - I think it would assist to see my client's reaction in the witness box . I suspect he will show a degree of verisimilitude." The matter will return to court at a later date. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From tonymoffat at bigpond.com Fri Jul 31 18:15:55 2020 From: tonymoffat at bigpond.com (Tony Moffat) Date: Fri, 31 Jul 2020 16:15:55 +0800 Subject: [AusRace] Crafty Cruiser - is that it? Message-ID: <000401d66712$d092c440$71b84cc0$@bigpond.com> I hope so - after 157 starts and a million and a bit. He is 12 tomorrow and that excludes him from running (I think). He was entered to day but scratched, and had been scratched a couple of times also. I backed him in a listed handicap (Ansett?) at Mornington and he won and paid well but that seems like two utes ago now. He has always paid well it seems and recently has been running off at $41+. As I said, I hope so. Cheers Tony -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com From norsaintpublishing at gmail.com Fri Jul 31 21:46:50 2020 From: norsaintpublishing at gmail.com (norsaintpublishing at gmail.com) Date: Fri, 31 Jul 2020 21:46:50 +1000 Subject: [AusRace] Crafty Cruiser - is that it? In-Reply-To: <000401d66712$d092c440$71b84cc0$@bigpond.com> References: <000401d66712$d092c440$71b84cc0$@bigpond.com> Message-ID: Five years ago he won at Flemington at about 25/1. I was casually perusing the Racing & Sports Workpages and noticed he came out on top, using their ratings etc . Went out to dinner on the Friday night, drank far too much and spent the next day in the foetal position. Woke up late in the day to discover said Crafty had landed and I'd missed the damned race. Juvenile I know but always kept one eye on him after that. Needless to say, I don't think the opportunity ever arrived again. On Fri, 31 Jul 2020 at 18:16, Tony Moffat wrote: > I hope so - after 157 starts and a million and a bit. He is 12 tomorrow and > that excludes him from running (I think). He was entered to day but > scratched, and had been scratched a couple of times also. > > I backed him in a listed handicap (Ansett?) at Mornington and he won and > paid well but that seems like two utes ago now. He has always paid well it > seems and recently has been running off at $41+. > > As I said, I hope so. > > Cheers > > Tony > > > -- > This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. > https://www.avg.com > > > _______________________________________________ > Racing mailing list > Racing at ausrace.com > http://ausrace.com/mailman/listinfo/racing_ausrace.com > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: