[AusRace] Good Betting and Racing Guide (GBRG) - Malcolm Knowles - a system

[sean mclaren]

hey tony

modellers these days , in most spheres; don't mind following in
the weather forecasters. they use ensembles ..... more than 1
forecaster; to arrive at a final forecast. a forecast with much
more accuracy. there will be weightings of course etc etc.
it's a simple concept. in racing a tipster's poll springs to mind.

cheers sean
etc; it's the

On Fri, Aug 28, 2020 at 12:55 PM Tony Moffat <tonymoffat at bigpond.com> wrote:

> Tally Moyston 'I'm Backing These' - a system.
>
> Tally Moyston used to be on the internet as a provider of horse racing tips
> - FREE - on a daily basis, before scratchings and more often before
> midnight
> the night before, if that makes sense.
>
> He? ranked each runner on earnings, the best/most got a one. Days since
> last
> start - most recent runner also got a one, barrier scores seemed to
> correspond with barrier allocation - barrier one scored one, and last start
> finish position was also ranked - a win got a one , 2nd a 2.
>
> Then he multiplied these values together and obtained a final score for
> each
> runner. So a top earner 1 * most recent start 1* barrier 1* last start
> finish position 1 = 1*1*1*1 resulted in 1 -the value for that runner.
>
> Tally was on air for that couple of hours also, you could text him? about
> things racing, rugby, fishing, shooting, and he was a Brainiac when it came
> to systems (choosing your procedure when betting) and he knew a lot of them
> by name, actions, inclinations, machinations, results, and he stated that a
> few of them worked, or, worked often enough to stay in the black at least,
> and what was needed was a mild progression staking plan which he got with
> Malcolm Knowles Power of Ten, manual entry, and perhaps later with the
> software version. Knowles incorporated equations, and more, to determine
> bet
> size, divisor, trend analysis, 'nudging' and bet recording. Essentially
> once
> your strike rate is established, it is entered as a value then moderated as
> results arrive, and if you score less than the average the software
> determines that your betting would assume the average, and do so in quick
> time, and it was just these occasions that the bets could be maximized. Ok,
> I have left most of the method of working out of that explanation, but
> Tally
> had his 'mild progression staking plan' and he was rapt.
>
> Malcolm Knowles was with The Wizard first up and crunched, and tabulated,
> shedloads of data relating to racing, published his findings and wrote and
> published 11 books appertaining to the punt. He went off freelance and
> formed Inracing which had data scores similar to The Wiz.
>
> Malcolms son Tristian had a cancer episode whilst young and to support
> research and treatment of junior age cancer victims Malcolm wrote and
> published The Good Betting and Racing Guide (GBRG) under the auspices of
> the
> Royal Alexandra Hospital for Children. He raised a lot of money for them,
> and continued supporting Tristian with his Kids Cancer Foundation. The
> Foundation is now closed. Tristian has a successful business career and is
> a
> gun wheelchair basketball player, and is a representative for Australia in
> several Olympic Games.
>
> The GBRG uses ratings to sum to a final score for each runner. Malcolm has
> provided tables of calculations (rating values) for API, Barrier, Days
> since
> last start, and Barrier. The book contains voluminous tables for barriers
> in
> metro racing, field size, prize money distribution, days since last start,
> pre-post to starting price conversions, in fact most common data fields are
> covered.
>
> The various input data rows are summed for each runner. Only runners
> totalling 40 points or more are considered, races less than 2000m only,
> there are runner number restrictions also, .
> Eg a runner finishing 5th in Sydney has a rating value of 9, running 4th is
> 9.4, running 6th is 5.9...
> A runner whose last start was 15-21 days ago has a rating value of 8.5,
> 11-14 days = 9.2, 22-28 days =9.6
> A runner starting in Barrier 5 at Canterbury has a rating value of 6.3,
> W.Farm - 11.5, R'hill - 10.4, Randwick 10.1
> The derivatives of these ratings are not given, nor explained, but they
> would be stats based.
>
> Now Tally (remember him?) reckoned the GBRG was the best thing ever and
> changed over his ratings from his own arithmetic to that of GBRG until he
> had an epiphany it seems. If GBRG rankings were higher than his own
> rankings
> the associated runner was almost always going to place, and they won
> somewhat better than 66% (he said). Ok you had to wait for the race, it
> wasn't every race like, but at least you could do your homework the evening
> before, sometimes on Thursday for Saturday. Tally moved on from the final
> summed score in GBRG. He ranked his top five or more in each race, and
> ranked the GBRG top five also. If GBRG exceeded his score, and the runner
> was at least rated by both methods,  this was the way to go.
>
> Tally is missing from the internet now, a  Google search reveals nothing
> and
> the same goes for Malcolm and his Inracing.
>
> Cheers
>
> Tony
>
>
>
>
>
>
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