[AusRace] Antithesis Plan - a system

[Tony Moffat]

Another of mine - again, a single form element polished and presented for
appraisal. Nothing new except the name maybe.

We had Ragozin and his bounce theory previously - a good effort(<4) may be
followed by  lesser one(>4), at least, and likely another lesser run before
a horse finds its' form again (this is his theory). 

Antithesis reverses the bounce theory, a little, saying a poor run is
corrected often by a better run next time, a 9 finish into a 2nd or 3rd
would be a typical scenario and with a heightened place dividend, just off
the 9th finish. The next run, the 2nd start  after the shocker, may be an
improvement also, at least it won't be a 9th. 

This the basis of the Plan, the 2nd run after a poor outing can be expected
to be a peak (of sorts).

The Everest: Trekking was one qualifier, 8th followed by 1 (which proves the
rule somewhat) and the sole candidate, 3rd $6.80
Caulfield Cup: 4,16 qualified -fail
There were others that scored - Miss Leonidas, Life Less Ordinary,
Dealmaker, High Cost, Better Reflection, Zac Attack, Heavens Deal, Octane,
Rolling Reign, Phantom Shadow, Plaisir, Fussdinado, Time Stalker, Wil John,
Toots is Tops, Perfect Peace, Lucky Plutus, Toymark, Graceful Gift, Serena
on Court, Ellofarock, and there were 14 or so no shows, most of those as
secondary picks (the second in a race when the other qualifier scored) and
sometimes there were two dividends in a race.

Sorry, not involved enough, perhaps not enough decimal points? - for those
read this

https://research-repository.griffith.edu.au/handle/10072/366832

The TracInvest Macro in Excelspeak is included which is good, real good -
thanks to them.
The reference/bibliography helps also

cheers

Tony





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