[AusRace] Front Page System - a system

Greg Conroy greg.j.conroy at gmail.com
Mon Oct 7 08:13:44 AEDT 2019


Nice to see Allen receive a mention.

I worked with him for many years (until he retired) but continued to correspond with him until he passed away.

He was also one of the first people to join www.rewardbet.com when I opened it up just to a few in the industry.

Every Melbourne Cup we’d (all his friends) receive his “Melbourne Cup Email” where he applied a number of various mechanical system checks to attempt to provide us all the winner.

Great guy - one memory of him was when I was walking back from lunch with him in Harris Street, Ultimo (where NSW TAB/Tab Limited) Head Office was … and he stopped to pick up a random bolt in the street.

I looked at him and he said, “I’ll keep that, never know when it’ll come in handy!”

Cheers, Greg
On 28 Aug 2019, 12:15 AM +1000, Tony Moffat <tonymoffat at bigpond.com>, wrote:
> And variation on a theme.
>
> Allen Windross wrote a thesis about gambling. It is available online, see:
> Betting by the Book - a study of systems adopted by bettors
> University of Western Sydney published March 2002. Mr Windross was CEO of
> TAB NSW and was an advocate of education for the punting masses.
>
> The Front Page system was developed, and written about, in the thesis, as
> were other plans (systems) but the Front Page was the only one developed,
> and offered for use.
>
> Without divulging anything much, your selection comes from the runner with a
> good jockey, a good trainer, a good last start finish, a good barrier, and a
> morning line price assessment under $21. It selected a runner in each race,
> you eliminated others using the rules until a single pick arrived. It
> worked, very well, assisted by a few long(er) priced winners early in the
> piece under review.
>
> The morning line price assessment clause is puzzling, a little, when surely
> the price is composed of elements like last start finish position, barrier,
> jockey, trainer so are we not doubling down on them?
>
> Anyways, there is a thesis on this, and we didn't write it so what do we
> know?
>
> BethelHall Publishing have a system similar to the Front Page System, except
> it pre-dates it by 30 years, more. In a hand assembled booklet, with
> oversized stapling, there are 3 pages of magic words, and 7 pages of ready
> to be used work sheets, one race to a page.
>
> Consider barriers out to 9 only. Ignore runners wider than 9 - so 10,11 etc.
> Consider last start finish positions out to ninth last start- 0 finish can
> be considered a ninth, it is plain the horse hasn't fired at all last start
> Rank the jockeys this race from their PLACE record.
> Rank runners this race from their PLACE record.
> Rank runners this race from their pre post price.
>
> The rankings were ADDED together and the runner with the least points total
> is the selection. There is no information about how to remove ties.
>
> Again, there is the price aspect as the final scoreline. Barriers figure
> loudly in systems, wide barriers are destructive to the chances of runners
> apparently. The author(s) write that all of the requested information is
> available in the fields pages of 'good' papers of the day. The place record
> of runners is one aspect which would not be readily available I am thinking.
>
> Scone R1 1st 1.4
> Mornington R1 1st 2.10
> MacKay R1 Trifecta in 1st 3
> Mornington R2 1st 2.20
> Mackay R2 1st 1.40
> Mornington R5 1st 2.50
> Scone R7 1st 2.10
> Mackay R6 1st 1.80
> The last races for Mackay
> Scone and Mornington failed to score a winner.
> Every other race seemed to have the winner in the first 2/3
> Those listed here are 1st picks.
>
> Cheers
>
> Tony
>
>
>
>
> ---
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