[AusRace] Racing Days - a system

[Tony Moffat]

Results from 31032019
6.3PL,L4.3P,6.1P,LL,L,16.2/4.1,8.70P,L,L,LL,4.0P,L4.20P,L,LL,L,L

23 BETS OUTLAY $46

6.3+4.3+6.1+16.2+4.1+8.7+4.0+4.20 = 53.9

53.9-46 = 7.9/46*100 = 17.17


16.20 is a win Sale R8

This the last of them - cheers

Tony

-----Original Message-----
From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of Tony Moffat
Sent: Saturday, March 30, 2019 9:30 PM
To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
Subject: Re: [AusRace] Racing Days - a system

Resultsfrom 30032019
L,LP4,LP6.8,L,L,L,L,L,L,L,L,L,L,L,L,L,L,W46.5/12LL,LLP17.7,L,L,LL,L,LL,L,L,L
LP5.8L,L,LLL,P8L,LW20/5.5L,L,LP5.6,LLL,L,LL,L

56 BETS, OUTLAY $112
return 4+6.8+46.5+12+17.7+5.8+8+20+5.5+5.6=$131.9
131.9-112=19.9/112*100 = 17.7% POI


1ST win PtMcq R4
2ND win Doomben R10

Cheers

Tony

-----Original Message-----
From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of Tony Moffat
Sent: Friday, March 29, 2019 7:21 PM
To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
Subject: Re: [AusRace] Racing Days - a system

Results from 29032019
Sapphire Coast R6 Highgate Hill 33/7 L
MuswellBrook R5 Mighty Like 20/5.5 L
MuswellBrook R5 Petrossian 26/6.3 P
Warrnambool R6 Manhattan Gangster 15/3.9 L MuswellBrook R6 Akasaki 22/3.7 L
MuswellBrook R6 Latin Boy 40.2/5.8 W MuswellBrook R6 Don't Tease Me 36/6.6 L
Warrnambool R6 Timor Gold 21/6.10 P Sapphire Coast R8 Mr Tindall 16/4.5 L
Sapphire Coast R8 Pinch Mountain 21/5.1 L MuswellBrook R7 Goldstream 58/13.8
L MuswellBrook R7 Got Unders 17/3.9 P Warrnambool R7 Harvard 33/7 P
MuswellBrook R8 Delechuzy 21/6 L MuswellBrook R8 Humboldt 30/7.5 L
Warrnambool R8 Multitude 35/6.5 L Warrnambool R8 Finn McCool 18/4.3 L
Cranbourne R5 Zedstar 45/5.30 L Cranbourne R6 Momentary 23/4.4 W Cranbourne
R7 Darabad 36/9 P Cranbourne R7 Murphys Delight 37/8.7 L

Cheers
Tony



-----Original Message-----
From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of Tony Moffat
Sent: Thursday, March 28, 2019 10:29 PM
To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
Subject: [AusRace] Racing Days - a system

This one went by several names,(deleted), but the two shown here pre-dated
that by 25 years or so.

The author was ? Molloy who advertised in the Sportsman, and for several
months, The Sporting Globe.

Results in the booklet are selective, back fitted, cherry picked, chosen to
show how the thing worked S/he wrote.

It is meant to be used on Metro racing, back in the day that was probably
all you got fields for anyway.

I'll expand some of the rules further down but

The original version :
Selection A : Comes from the runner in the first three weight bands in the
race, it might be top weight, or second or third top weight.
The other rule is your selection must be 14/1 or more. One selection to fit
the rules only, otherwise no bet and move on to the next eligible race.

Primary wager is 4 pounds to win, with a saver on the place.

This version has a racegoers hat, a fascinator?, printed on the cover.

The second, expanded version, has a drawing of Sandown racetrack, and is the
obverse of the first cover, that has been turned inside and the new cover
printed on its reverse.

The second version has a supplementary rule. A second runner, included
because of weight and selected because of price, is for place only. This
second, supplementary runner is also priced at 14/1, or more.

A problem arises because (a) the author specifies two (2) runners can be
bet/backed, then (b) discusses a third runner and gives a result for a third
runner also. Number 3 is not mentioned in the rules. I have used the third
runner in my results.
Presumably the extra (third) runner is selected at 15/1 or better.

Runners for inclusion can number up to 5, your betting choices are from
these 5, more than that then move onto the next race.

There is no betting suggestion for the second version - it has been removed
it seems.

The author is adamant that this is not a race to race, or day to day plan,
it is meant to be a plan for betting for the occasional racegoer with the
real likelihood of making some good money as well. The author writes that he
does not consider there is a system, plan, method or scheme which allows the
casual racegoer to make regular profits. There are several pages of
interesting maths surrounding the betting market, how this and the next
doubles are great ( all-up) and how to calculate a place dividend
((SP-1)/4))+1 and a sheet showing place dividends calculated for you, with a
line to rip along included.

The spelling misteaks are corrected in the second issue, Mooneey Valley is
spelt as it should be, and so is Caulfield, it was Cualfeild (which is neigh
on impossible to type, try it)

SUMMARY: A handicap race only, no wfa, sw, quality, special weights, just
handicaps, jump races allowed, hcp maidens allowed.

(1) Consider the first three runners listed in the weights - the top weight,
2nd top weight, third top weight.

 The selection comes from these runners PROVIDED it is priced at 14/1 pre
race - thinking morning line, or at any time in the betting.

(2) see (1) but now include runner numbers out to 5, and any of those priced
at 14/1 pre race.

Selection (A) is backed for a win, with a saver for a place Other selections
arising are backed for a place.

It seems, from working the plan over a few days, that a lot of races are
skipped, passed over, because of the steadfast rule(s).
The first 3, or first 5, runners are always present but the price excludes
them just as often.

Using place dividends for a result might mean you need a div greater than
the selections used + 1, minimum $4. The author doesn't discuss this in the
booklet- only win dividend greater than 14/1 - $15 now a days.

Some results: (L,W20,P12?,L,)-(W20LL,LL,W20)-(LLL,LL)-(P25L,LL,P14)-(P25)-
These are dated from the time of publication - late 60's.
Each bracket represents a days selections - P25 means Placed at 25/1, W20
means - I'm sure you can work it on from here. There are several pages of
results

Today 28032019 -
Rockhampton R3 GidUp Strop 28/7.50 L
Narromine R5 Good Host 95/16.90 P
Rockhampton R4 Dawlish 23/7.10 P
Donald R7 Keyser Soze 17/4.10 L
Narromine R6 Barricade 17/3.80 L
Hawkesbury R7 Eugenio 30/5.4 P
Included but a new rule definition needed Rockhampton R5 Fastnet Flyer
37/6.8 P Narromine R7 Thee Jenner 38/3.9 L Hawkesbury R8 Legistation L
Rockhampton R6 Cheeky Red 32/6.9 L Rockhampton R7 Helluva Hoff 48/9.8 P
Pakenham R6 Rewarding Effort 23/5 L Pakenham R8 Game Up Hardy 35/4.90 L
Pakenham R8 Alsvin 17/2.80 P too short?

Some healthy dividens in that lot. 





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