[AusRace] "Blake Shinn's results from his last 50 rides are astounding" Really?

[sean mclaren]

thanks again Len for this interesting insight.

On Sat, Jul 13, 2019 at 5:00 PM L.B.Loveday <lloveday at ozemail.com.au> wrote:

> Inside mail: All the big bets, work whispers and bookies’ tips for
> Rosehill Gardens
>
> Champion jockey Blake Shinn’s results from his last 50 rides are
> astounding and he is set for another successful day at Rosehill Gardens.
>
> *Ray Thomas*, Racing editor, The Daily Telegraph
>
> Subscriber only
>
> |
>
> Champion jockey Blake Shinn continues to ride in peerless form and is set
> for another successful day at Rosehill Gardens.
>
> Shinn’s results from his last 50 rides makes for stunning reading.
>
> During this period, he has ridden 13 winners or a strike-rate of 26 per
> cent winners to rides. He has also ridden 14 seconds and seven third
> placings.
>
> *********************
>
> I make it 14 winners, 14 seconds and 6 thirds, but let's not quibble.
>
>
>
> The 14 winners have returned for $1 on each:
>
>
>
> SP (SOP) 30.6
>
> Best final price of the 10 bookmakers I monitor:  33.2
>
> At my normalised 100% prices: 36.0
>
>
>
> That is you* lose* a massive 39% at level stake SP and that's
> "astounding", "stunning", peerless! In line with that is 7 of the 50 were
> odds on, and only 3 won.
>
>
>
> I'm not knocking Shinn, just the writer.
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