[AusRace] Front Page System - a system

Tony Moffat tonymoffat at bigpond.com
Wed Aug 28 00:14:25 AEST 2019


And variation on a theme.

Allen Windross wrote a thesis about gambling. It is available online, see:
Betting by the Book - a study of systems adopted by bettors
University of Western Sydney published March 2002. Mr Windross was CEO of
TAB NSW and was an advocate of education for the punting masses.

The Front Page system was developed, and written about, in the thesis, as
were other plans (systems) but the Front Page was the only one developed,
and offered for use.

Without divulging anything much, your selection comes from the runner with a
good jockey, a good trainer, a good last start finish, a good barrier, and a
morning line price assessment under $21. It selected a runner in each race,
you eliminated others using the rules until a single pick arrived. It
worked, very well, assisted by a few long(er) priced winners early in the
piece under review. 

The morning line price assessment clause is puzzling, a little, when surely
the price is composed of elements like last start finish position, barrier,
jockey, trainer so are we not doubling down on them?

Anyways, there is a thesis on this, and we didn't write it so what do we
know?

BethelHall Publishing have a system similar to the Front Page System, except
it pre-dates it by 30 years, more. In a hand assembled booklet, with
oversized stapling, there are 3 pages of magic words, and 7 pages of ready
to be used work sheets, one race to a page.

Consider barriers out to 9 only. Ignore runners wider than 9 - so 10,11 etc.
Consider last start finish positions out to ninth last start- 0 finish can
be considered a ninth, it is plain the horse hasn't fired at all last start
Rank the jockeys this race from their PLACE record.
Rank runners this race from their PLACE record.
Rank runners this race from their pre post price. 

The rankings were ADDED together and the runner with the least points total
is the selection. There is no information about how to remove ties.

Again, there is the price aspect as the final scoreline. Barriers figure
loudly in systems, wide barriers are destructive to the chances of runners
apparently. The author(s) write that all of the requested information is
available in the fields pages of 'good' papers of the day. The place record
of runners is one aspect which would not be readily available I am thinking.

Scone R1 1st 1.4
Mornington R1 1st 2.10
MacKay R1 Trifecta in 1st 3
Mornington R2 1st 2.20
Mackay R2 1st 1.40
Mornington R5 1st  2.50
Scone R7 1st 2.10
Mackay R6 1st 1.80
The last races for Mackay
Scone and Mornington failed to score a winner.
Every other race seemed to have the winner in the first 2/3
Those listed here are 1st picks. 

Cheers

Tony




---
This email has been checked for viruses by AVG.
https://www.avg.com





More information about the Racing mailing list