[AusRace] Sportsbet 11/3

[L.B.Loveday]

See how the results format:

 

9 runners, 7 shortened, 2 lengthened, average early SB odds / final SB odds
=1.68 (68% "better")

Level stake return 43% (66% loss)

Betting to win $500 return 51% (49% loss) .

Two days total betting to win $500 (SB's MBL) +1221  - 1056 = +165, so
barring me has not caused me a major problem. Yet.

 


CANBERR        1 12 11.00  Banja Luka      

	

CLARE          5  2  2.90  Centurius      

	

ECHUCA         3 16 18.00  San Francisco Days  


GRAFTON        2 10  3.80  Riva Encore     

	

GRAFTON        8 17 26.00  Chantilly Chateau 


STONY C        1  6  3.40  Street Kid     

	

STONY C        5  2  3.40  Presumptuous      


STONY C        5 12  9.00  I Love Champagne   


STONY C        7  7  3.40  Brigadier      

	
					
Win $500

	

11.00 

4.80 

2.63

U

	132 

	

2.90 

3.00 

0.95

U

	250 

	

18.00 

15.00 

1.21

U

	36 

	

3.80 

2.45 

1.93

U

	345 

	

26.00 

41.00 

0.63

U

	13 

	

3.40 

2.40 

1.71

U

	357 

	

3.40 

1.90 

2.67

W

3.40 

556 

1056 


9.00 

4.60 

2.22

U

	139 

	

3.40 

3.00 

1.20

U

	250 

	
							
		
1.68

	3.40 

2076 

1056 

				
0.38 

	0.51 

 

SPOT THE "ERROR"? So common in touted systems claimed results - they don't
take account of how your bets would affect a dividend (TABs; which is why it
is better to bet with a bookie at TAB odds if they don't bet back, but how
do you know?) and deductions for late scratchings at fixed odds.

In this case there were 2 late scratchings in Stoney Creek 5, with SB
deduction 20% and 12%, making the returns even worse, and the 1.68 figure
lesser, but still high at 1.46.

 

 

From: Racing <racing-bounces at ausrace.com> On Behalf Of L.B.Loveday
Sent: Sunday, 11 March 2018 9:06 AM
To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
Subject: [AusRace] Sportsbet 11/3

 

Place Bets Sportsbet  11/03/18 09:04:41

 

    

CANBERR        1 12 11.00  Banja Luka      

CLARE          5  2  2.90  Centurius      

ECHUCA         3 16 18.00  San Francisco Days  

GRAFTON        2 10  3.80  Riva Encore     

GRAFTON        8 17 26.00  Chantilly Chateau 

STONY C        1  6  3.40  Street Kid     

STONY C        5  2  3.40  Presumptuous      

STONY C        5 12  9.00  I Love Champagne   

STONY C        7  7  3.40  Brigadier      

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