[AusRace] Jockey Rating Thoughts
peter_dean34 at hotmail.com
Sun Sep 17 20:33:28 AEST 2017
Mike & Co,
Thanks for responding.
I was considering using the 6 month period so nice to hear that aligns with your experience. Run an update on a weekly basis, this may be more frequent than beneficial but is painless to do.
Thanks for the tip on the trainer, I have their ratings and consider in conjunction with jockeys but not in isolation as an alternative. Will run some analysis on my data and see if it lines up with your experience.
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From: Race Stats
Sent: Sunday, 17 September, 12:04 pm
Subject: Re: [AusRace] Jockey Rating Thoughts
To: AusRace Racing Discussion List
That doesn’t surprise me Mike, jockeys are only as good as the rides they get.
Trainers are only as good as the horses they get.
So if a trainer starts getting good horses, it reflects a purple patch for the stable and non stable jockeys which get given the rides.
From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of mikemcb at southcom.com.au
Sent: Sunday, 17 September 2017 11:34 AM
To: 'AusRace Racing Discussion List'
Subject: [AusRace] Jockey Rating Thoughts
Peter & Terry & Co
I have produced both Jockey and Trainer ratings since April 2016, firstly over a 3 month period, then 6 months, then 9 months, 12 months and recently 14 months.
The performance did appear to improve at 6 months but I have detected very little change since then.
To me the most interesting thing has been that my Trainer ratings outperform the Jockey ratings when it comes to profitable selections.
The Strike Rate for my Trainer ratings was fractionally lower but the POT% was almost twice as good as for the Jockey ratings.
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