[AusRace] Calculating deductions from payouts in cases of horses scratched at the barrier
Nick at Twonix
nick.aubrey at twonix.com
Thu Oct 12 13:01:26 AEDT 2017
Hi Mike,
Thanks for dobbing me in :( On a sort of working holiday in Cairns NQ and have just finished playing golf at beautiful Paradise Palms GC.
Hi Tony, my first thought is that a variable deductions should only apply on the PLACE portion of an EACH WAY bet where the PLA CE odds are defined at say one quarter of the WIN odds (Note Odds not DIVY).
But if you got 2.50 FIXED standalone for the PLACE (no WIN bet) then mathematically speaking a uniform deduction should apply. But perhaps the answer is hidden in the terms and conditions of WA on course bookies .
Cheers,
AN
Nick Aubrey
Director
Tel: +61 (2) 9011 5264 | Mobile: 0403 496 971| Email: nick at nickaubey.com <mailto:nick at nickaubey.net>
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From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of mikemcb at southcom.com.au
Sent: Thursday, 12 October 2017 8:46 AM
To: chiron1 at iinet.net.au; 'AusRace Racing Discussion List' <racing at ausrace.com>
Subject: Re: [AusRace] Calculating deductions from payouts in cases of horses scratched at the barrier
Welcome back Tony it has been a long time!
Your query sounds like it is perfectly matched to the skills of Nick so we will eagerly await his answer.
Keep winning
Mike.
From: Racing [mailto:racing-bounces at ausrace.com] On Behalf Of chiron1 at iinet.net.au <mailto:chiron1 at iinet.net.au>
Sent: Thursday, 12 October 2017 5:36 AM
To: racing at ausrace.com <mailto:racing at ausrace.com>
Subject: [AusRace] Calculating deductions from payouts in cases of horses scratched at the barrier
Greetings ausracers. Long time no post. Was looking through recent postings
in the archive a few days ago. Ausrace is still collectively the best pool of knowledge
on all things racing. Have a question for the mathematically inclined, if anyone can help.
Had a small successful punt at Belmont today which had to be reduced from the
face value because there was a scratching at the barrier.
The scratched horse (St Bel) was at approx. $11.5/12.0win when it was withdrawn
(shortly before start time).
My bet was with an on-course bookie and had a face value of $100 exactly (place bet). Post race the
winning horse WITH BOOKIES, was paid out less 8c in $1 for win and less 11c in $1 for place;
2nd horse was paid less 11c in $1 for place and 3rd horse less 14c in $1 for place.... as said, ONLY
WITH ON COURSE BOOKIES.
Why the variation in rate for the 3rd place?
The TAB fixed odds service which I think is provided by William Hill, paid less 8c win for the winner
and less 8c place for all 3 placegetters.
The fixed odds TAB prices (win and place) were very similar to the on course bookies' market.... literally only
very small SP variations. The answer is probably staring me in the face but I can't see why the place deduction
rate is variable instead of fixed for all 3 place dividends ala the TAB fixed odds figure.
The 3 placegetters were (memory) at PLACE ODDS of $2.50, $2.70, $5.00 PRIOR to the scratching.
Anyone?
Regards, Tony
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